Shaylah Mutschler, Marcin Pilinski, Sean Bruinsma, Eric Sutton, W Kent Tobiska, Delores Knipp, Tzu-Wei Fang, Steve Casali, Vishnuu Mallik, Brandon DiLorenzo, Christian Siemes
{"title":"A Survey of Current Operations-Ready Thermospheric Density Models for Drag Modeling in LEO Operations.","authors":"Shaylah Mutschler, Marcin Pilinski, Sean Bruinsma, Eric Sutton, W Kent Tobiska, Delores Knipp, Tzu-Wei Fang, Steve Casali, Vishnuu Mallik, Brandon DiLorenzo, Christian Siemes","doi":"10.1007/s40295-025-00558-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40295-025-00558-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In Low Earth Orbit (LEO), atmospheric drag is the largest contributor to trajectory prediction error. The current thermospheric density model used by the Combined Space Operations Center (CSpOC) in operations is the High Accuracy Satellite Drag Model (HASDM). Since HASDM is not available for use outside of the US Government, satellite operators are left to determine what publicly available, open-source density model they should integrate into their internal operational software. Given the ever more challenging nature of operations in LEO, it is imperative for satellite operators to update legacy density models to a state-of-the-art density model to provide improved trajectory predictions for collision risk assessment and vital day-to-day operational decisions. This article outlines four operations-ready thermospheric density models, describing their performance, computation time, required space weather inputs, and notes for implementation. Operations-ready models include the Drag Temperature Model (DTM), the Jacchia-Bowman 2008 (JB2008) model, the US Naval Research Laboratory Mass Spectrometer and Incoherent Scatter radar 2.0 (NRLMSIS 2.0) model, and the Thermosphere-Ionosphere-Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIE-GCM). US Government operational density models, HASDM and the Whole Atmosphere Model and Ionosphere Plasmasphere Electrodynamics (WAM-IPE) model, are included for comparison. Models are evaluated against <i>global</i> HASDM density and <i>local</i> GRACE-FO satellite accelerometer densities and Swarm mission densities. Additionally, comparisons between HASDM and WAM-IPE nowcast and forecast density are revealed for the first time publicly.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40295-025-00558-8.</p>","PeriodicalId":50009,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Astronautical Sciences","volume":"73 2","pages":"32"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12995994/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147488171","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Davide Farnocchia, Marco Fenucci, Fabrizio Bernardi, Lisa Bedini, Alessia Bertolucci, Steven R Chesley, Paul W Chodas, Maxime Devogèle, Laura Faggioli, Francesco Gianotto, Marco Micheli, Ryan S Park, Giovanni B Valsecchi
{"title":"The Impact Hazard Assessment for Near-Earth Asteroid 2024 YR<sub>4</sub>.","authors":"Davide Farnocchia, Marco Fenucci, Fabrizio Bernardi, Lisa Bedini, Alessia Bertolucci, Steven R Chesley, Paul W Chodas, Maxime Devogèle, Laura Faggioli, Francesco Gianotto, Marco Micheli, Ryan S Park, Giovanni B Valsecchi","doi":"10.1007/s40295-026-00576-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40295-026-00576-0","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Discovered by the ATLAS survey on December 27, 2024, asteroid 2024 YR<sub>4</sub> represented one of the most significant impact risks ever detected. Roughly 60 m in size, this asteroid reached a 3% probability of impacting the Earth on December 22, 2032. We discuss the orbit and impact analyses carried by the three impact monitoring systems Sentry, Aegis, and NEODyS. The orbit solution proved to be remarkably stable and the impact probability behaved according to expectations as the uncertainty decreased thanks to additional observations, i.e., the impact probability initially increased as the Earth remained within the core of the uncertainty region and then dropped as the Earth moved towards the tail and eventually outside of the uncertainty region. Although the risk of an Earth impact has been ruled out, there remains a 4% probability of a lunar impact on December 22, 2032. To confirm or more likely rule out that possibility, we need to wait until new astrometric data become available, e.g., during the 2028 apparition.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40295-026-00576-0.</p>","PeriodicalId":50009,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Astronautical Sciences","volume":"73 2","pages":"28"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12963224/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147379253","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Optimal Finite Difference Angular Velocity Estimation for Spacecraft.","authors":"Jack P Leo, John P Enright","doi":"10.1007/s40295-026-00570-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40295-026-00570-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This paper presents a practical, computationally efficient approach to spacecraft angular velocity estimation using the finite difference (FD) differentiation of star tracker attitude measurements. Intended for gyro-free applications such as within the star tracker processors themselves, this technique is not reliant on external sensors. Although prior studies have proposed similar finite difference techniques, this study provides a more accurate and rigorous model of angular velocity covariance. Additionally, we derive an analytical model of optimal measurement timing to balance noise and bias in the finite difference estimates. A series of simulations validates the revised covariance models and benchmarks the performance of the finite difference rate estimator against a conventional Multiplicative Extended Kalman Filter (MEKF). Although the FD estimates show significant latency-induced bias, the standard deviation of the measurements are improved by 40% or more compared to the MEKF.</p>","PeriodicalId":50009,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Astronautical Sciences","volume":"73 2","pages":"16"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12920723/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147272145","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Generating Planar Trajectories for Neptunian System Exploration Using Motion Primitives.","authors":"Giuliana E Miceli, Natasha Bosanac","doi":"10.1007/s40295-025-00545-z","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40295-025-00545-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This paper uses a motion primitive approach to automatically generate constrained spacecraft trajectories for Neptunian system exploration. Motion primitives are generated as smaller building blocks of motion that summarize periodic orbits and arcs along stable and unstable manifolds of selected orbits in the Neptune-Triton circular restricted three-body problem. The sequential composability of these motion primitives is represented by a graph that also incorporates path and maneuver constraints. This graph is searched using a k-best paths algorithm to generate multiple motion primitive sequences. These sequences are transformed into an array of geometrically diverse initial guesses. After corrections and optimization, the resulting tradespace of continuous, constrained trajectories with impulsive maneuvers is analyzed. This approach is applied to two planar trajectory design scenarios in the Neptunian system: high-energy insertion into a Neptune-centered science orbit after interplanetary arrival and low-energy transfers between science orbits centered around each of Neptune and Triton.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40295-025-00545-z.</p>","PeriodicalId":50009,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Astronautical Sciences","volume":"73 1","pages":"11"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12891113/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146183234","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Michael Krause, Ava Thrasher, Priyal Soni, Liam Smego, Reuben Isaac, Jennifer Nolan, Micah Pledger, E Glenn Lightsey, W Jud Ready, John Christian
{"title":"LONEStar: The Lunar Flashlight Optical Navigation Experiment.","authors":"Michael Krause, Ava Thrasher, Priyal Soni, Liam Smego, Reuben Isaac, Jennifer Nolan, Micah Pledger, E Glenn Lightsey, W Jud Ready, John Christian","doi":"10.1007/s40295-024-00452-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40295-024-00452-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This paper documents the results from the highly successful Lunar flashlight Optical Navigation Experiment with a Star tracker (LONEStar). Launched in December 2022, Lunar Flashlight (LF) was a NASA-funded technology demonstration mission. After a propulsion system anomaly prevented capture in lunar orbit, LF was ejected from the Earth-Moon system and into heliocentric space. NASA subsequently transferred ownership of LF to Georgia Tech to conduct an unfunded extended mission to demonstrate further advanced technology objectives, including LONEStar. From August to December 2023, the LONEStar team performed on-orbit calibration of the optical instrument and a number of different OPNAV experiments. This campaign included the processing of nearly 400 images of star fields, Earth and Moon, and four other planets (Mercury, Mars, Jupiter, and Saturn). LONEStar provided the first on-orbit demonstrations of heliocentric navigation using only optical observations of planets. Of special note is the successful in-flight demonstration of (1) instantaneous triangulation with simultaneous sightings of two planets with the LOST algorithm and (2) dynamic triangulation with sequential sightings of multiple planets.</p>","PeriodicalId":50009,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Astronautical Sciences","volume":"71 4","pages":"33"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11249573/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141635557","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Author Correction: An Interpolated Second-Order Relative Motion Model for Gateway","authors":"D. Cunningham, R. Russell","doi":"10.1007/s40295-023-00401-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40295-023-00401-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":50009,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Astronautical Sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45964902","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
M. Mikhailov, A. N. Lapin, A. Sokolovskiy, V. Neshchimenko, S. A. Yuryev
{"title":"Optical Properties and Photostability of Microsized TiO2 Powders Modified with its Own Nano- and Hollow Particles","authors":"M. Mikhailov, A. N. Lapin, A. Sokolovskiy, V. Neshchimenko, S. A. Yuryev","doi":"10.1007/s40295-023-00404-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40295-023-00404-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":50009,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Astronautical Sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46577749","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Local Lyapunov Exponent Augmented Differential Corrections Process for Cislunar Trajectory Targeting","authors":"Brennan Blumenthal, R. Sood","doi":"10.1007/s40295-023-00396-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40295-023-00396-6","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":50009,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Astronautical Sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-08-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45038817","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Revisiting Universal Variables for Robust, Analytical Orbit Propagation Under the Vinti Potential","authors":"A. Biria","doi":"10.1007/s40295-023-00385-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40295-023-00385-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":50009,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Astronautical Sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45250670","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A Physic-Informed Neural Network Approach to Orbit Determination","authors":"A. Scorsoglio, Luca Ghilardi, R. Furfaro","doi":"10.1007/s40295-023-00392-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40295-023-00392-w","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":50009,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Astronautical Sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44541134","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}