PLoS Medicine最新文献

{"title":"Risk of placenta previa in assisted reproductive technology: A Nordic population study with sibling analyses.","authors":"Eirik Landsverk, Kjersti Westvik-Johari, Ulla-Britt Wennerholm, Christina Bergh, Frederik Kyhl, Anne Lærke Spangmose, Ditte Vassard, Anja Pinborg, Kristiina Rönö, Mika Gissler, Sindre Hoff Petersen, Signe Opdahl","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004536","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004536","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>A higher risk of placenta previa after assisted reproductive technology (ART) is well established. The underlying mechanisms are poorly understood, but may relate to embryo culture duration, cryopreservation, and cause of infertility. Within-mother analyses, where each woman is her own control (i.e., sibling design), help disentangle treatment contributions from maternal confounders that are stable between pregnancies. We aimed to investigate the risk of placenta previa in pregnancies achieved after ART according to embryo culture duration, cryopreservation, and infertility factors while accounting for stable maternal factors using within-mother analyses.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We used linked nationwide registry data from Denmark (1994 to 2014), Finland (1990 to 2014), Norway (1988 to 2015), and Sweden (1988 to 2015). All women who gave their first birth during the study period at age 20 years or older were eligible and contributed up to 4 deliveries (singleton or multifetal) occurring between 22 and 44 weeks of gestation, excluding deliveries where maternal age exceeded 45 years. We used multilevel logistic regression to compare risk of placenta previa after ART (n = 139,694 deliveries) versus natural conception (n = 5,614,512 deliveries), both at the population level and within mothers, adjusting for year of delivery, maternal age, parity, and country. We categorized ART according to culture duration, embryo cryopreservation, and infertility factors. Population level risk of placenta previa was higher for ART versus natural conception (odds ratio [OR], 4.16; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.96-4.37). Controlling for stable maternal factors, the association attenuated, but risk remained higher for ART versus natural conception (OR within mothers, 2.64; 95% CI, 2.31-3.02). Compared to naturally conceived, a larger difference in risk was seen for pregnancies from fresh embryos than for pregnancies from frozen embryos. Further categorization by culture duration showed the largest risk difference after fresh blastocyst transfer, and the smallest after frozen cleavage stage embryo transfer, which persisted in sensitivity analyses (including restriction to singletons). When stratified according to infertility factors at the population level, women with endometriosis conceiving by ART had the highest risk of placenta previa (OR, 9.35; 95% CI, 8.50-10.29), whereas women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) conceiving by ART had the lowest risk (OR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.12-2.09), compared to natural conception. Within mothers, we found a higher risk of placenta previa after ART compared to natural conception for women with endometriosis (OR, 2.08; 95% CI, 1.50-2.90), but not for women with PCOS (OR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.41-1.89 [unadjusted due to sparse data]). However, within-mother analyses are restricted to multiparous women with deliveries after different conception methods. Therefore, findings from these a","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 2","pages":"e1004536"},"PeriodicalIF":15.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11835333/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143123877","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Long-term drought and risk of infant mortality in Africa: A cross-sectional study.","authors":"Pin Wang, Tormod Rogne, Joshua L Warren, Ernest O Asare, Robert A Akum, N'datchoh E Toure, Joseph S Ross, Kai Chen","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004516","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004516","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>As extreme events such as drought and flood are projected to increase in frequency and intensity under climate change, there is still large missing evidence on how drought exposure potentially impacts mortality among young children. This study aimed to investigate the association between drought and risk of infant mortality in Africa, a region highly vulnerable to climate change that bears the heaviest share of the global burden.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>In this cross-sectional study, we obtained data on infant mortality in 34 African countries during 1992-2019 from the Demographic and Health Surveys program. We measured drought by the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index at a timescale of 24 months and a spatial resolution of 10 × 10 km, which was further dichotomized into mild and severe drought. The association between drought exposure and infant mortality risk was estimated using Cox regression models allowing time-dependent covariates. We further examined whether the association varied for neonatal and post-neonatal mortality and whether there was a delayed association with drought exposure during pregnancy or infancy. The mean (standard deviation) number of months in which children experienced any drought during pregnancy and survival period (from birth through death before 1 year of age) was 4.6 (5.2) and 7.3 (7.4) among cases and non-cases, respectively. Compared to children who did not experience drought, we did not find evidence that any drought exposure was associated with an increased risk of infant mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] [1.00, 1.04], p = 0.072). When stratified by drought severity, we found a statistically significant association with severe drought (HR: 1.04; 95% CI [1.01, 1.07], p = 0.015), but no significant association with mild drought (HR: 1.01; 95% CI [0.99, 1.03], p = 0.353), compared to non-exposure to any drought. However, when excluding drought exposure during pregnancy, the association with severe drought was found to be non-significant. In addition, an increased risk of neonatal mortality was associated with severe drought (HR: 1.05; 95% CI [1.01, 1.10], p = 0.019), but not with mild drought (HR: 0.99; 95% CI [0.96, 1.02], p = 0.657).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Exposure to long-term severe drought was associated with increased infant mortality risk in Africa. Our findings urge more effective adaptation measures and alleviation strategies against the adverse impact of drought on child health.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1004516"},"PeriodicalIF":15.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11785314/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143071320","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Ovarian cancer prevention through opportunistic salpingectomy during abdominal surgeries: A cost-effectiveness modeling study.","authors":"Angela Kather, Habib Arefian, Claus Schneider, Michael Hartmann, Ingo B Runnebaum","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004514","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004514","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Background: &lt;/strong&gt;There is indication that the fallopian tubes might be involved in ovarian cancer pathogenesis and their removal reduces cancer risk. Hence, bilateral salpingectomy during hysterectomy or sterilization, so called opportunistic salpingectomy (OS), is gaining wide acceptance as a preventive strategy. Recently, it was discussed whether implementation of OS at other gynecologic surgery, e.g., cesarean section, endometriosis excision or myomectomy and even at non-gynecologic abdominal surgery such as cholecystectomy or appendectomy for women with completed family could be feasible. This modeling analysis evaluated the clinical and economic potential of OS at gynecologic and abdominal surgeries.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Methods and findings: &lt;/strong&gt;A state transition model representing all relevant health states (healthy, healthy with hysterectomy or tubal ligation, healthy with other gynecologic or non-gynecologic abdominal surgery, healthy with hysterectomy and salpingectomy, healthy with salpingectomy, healthy with hysterectomy and salpingo-oophorectomy, ovarian cancer and death) was developed and informed with transition probabilities based on inpatient case numbers in Germany (2019). Outcomes for women aged 20-85 years were simulated over annual cycles with 1,200,000 million individuals. We compared four strategies: (I) OS at any suitable abdominal surgery, (II) OS only at any suitable gynecologic surgery, (III) OS only at hysterectomy or sterilization, and (IV) no implementation of OS. Primary outcome measures were prevented ovarian cancer cases and deaths as well as the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Volume of eligible interventions in strategy I was 3.5 times greater than in strategy III (286,736 versus 82,319). With strategy IV as reference, ovarian cancer cases were reduced by 15.34% in strategy I, 9.78% in II, and 5.48% in III. Setting costs for OS to €216.19 (calculated from average OS duration and operating room minute costs), implementation of OS would lead to healthcare cost savings as indicated by an ICER of €-8,685.50 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained for strategy I, €-8,270.55/QALY for II, and €-4,511.86/QALY for III. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated stable results over a wide range of input parameters with strategy I being the superior approach in the majority of simulations. However, the extent of cancer risk reduction after OS appeared as the critical factor for effectiveness. Preventable ovarian cancer cases dropped to 4.07% (I versus IV), 1.90% (II versus IV), and 0.37% (III versus IV) if risk reduction would be &lt;27% (hazard ratio [HR] &gt; 0.73). ICER of strategies I and II was lower than the 2× gross domestic product per capita (GDP/C) (€94,366/QALY, Germany 2022) within the range of all tested parameters, but strategy III exceeded this threshold in case-risk reduction was &lt;35% (HR &gt; 0.65). The study is limited to data from the inpatient sector and direct medical costs.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1004514"},"PeriodicalIF":15.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11781718/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143068757","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Cost-effectiveness of leveraging existing HIV primary health systems and community health workers for hypertension screening and treatment in Africa: An individual-based modeling study.","authors":"Matthew D Hickey, James Ayieko, Jane Kabami, Asiphas Owaraganise, Elijah Kakande, Sabina Ogachi, Colette I Aoko, Erick M Wafula, Norton Sang, Helen Sunday, Paul Revill, Loveleen Bansi-Matharu, Starley B Shade, Gabriel Chamie, Laura B Balzer, Maya L Petersen, Diane V Havlir, Moses R Kamya, Andrew N Phillips","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004531","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004531","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity and mortality is increasing in Africa, largely due to undiagnosed and untreated hypertension. Approaches that leverage existing primary health systems could improve hypertension treatment and reduce CVD, but cost-effectiveness is unknown. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of population-level hypertension screening and implementation of chronic care clinics across eastern, southern, central, and western Africa.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We conducted a modeling study to simulate hypertension and CVD across 3,000 scenarios representing a range of settings across eastern, southern, central, and western Africa. We evaluated 2 policies compared to current hypertension treatment: (1) expansion of HIV primary care clinics into chronic care clinics that provide hypertension treatment for all persons regardless of HIV status (chronic care clinic or CCC policy); and (2) CCC plus population-level hypertension screening of adults ≥40 years of age by community health workers (CHW policy). For our primary analysis, we used a cost-effectiveness threshold of US $500 per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) averted, a 3% annual discount rate, and a 50-year time horizon. A strategy was considered cost-effective if it led to the lowest net DALYs, which is a measure of DALY burden that takes account of the DALY implications of the cost for a given cost-effectiveness threshold. Among adults 45 to 64 years, CCC implementation would improve population-level hypertension control (the proportion of people with hypertension whose blood pressure is controlled) from mean 4% (90% range 1% to 7%) to 14% (6% to 26%); additional CHW screening would improve control to 44% (35% to 54%). Among all adults, CCC implementation would reduce ischemic heart disease (IHD) incidence by 10% (3% to 17%), strokes by 13% (5% to 23%), and CVD mortality by 9% (3% to 15%). CCC plus CHW screening would reduce IHD by 28% (19% to 36%), strokes by 36% (25% to 47%), and CVD mortality by 25% (17% to 34%). CHW screening was cost-effective in 62% of scenarios, CCC in 31%, and neither policy was cost-effective in 7% of scenarios. Pooling across setting-scenarios, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were $69/DALY averted for CCC and $389/DALY averted adding CHW screening to CCC.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Leveraging existing healthcare infrastructure to implement population-level hypertension screening by CHWs and hypertension treatment through integrated chronic care clinics is expected to reduce CVD morbidity and mortality and is likely to be cost-effective in most settings across Africa.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1004531"},"PeriodicalIF":15.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11805449/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143034609","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Comparative cardiometabolic safety and effectiveness of aripiprazole in people with severe mental illness: A target trial emulation.","authors":"Alvin Richards-Belle, Naomi Launders, Sarah Hardoon, Al Richards, Kenneth K C Man, Neil M Davies, Elvira Bramon, Joseph F Hayes, David P J Osborn","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004520","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004520","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Background: &lt;/strong&gt;There is limited and conflicting evidence on the comparative cardiometabolic safety and effectiveness of aripiprazole in the management of severe mental illness. We investigated the hypothesis that aripiprazole has a favourable cardiometabolic profile, but similar effectiveness when compared to olanzapine, quetiapine, and risperidone.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Methods and findings: &lt;/strong&gt;We conducted an observational emulation of a head-to-head trial of aripiprazole versus olanzapine, quetiapine, and risperidone in UK primary care using data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. We included adults diagnosed with severe mental illness (i.e., bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, and other non-organic psychoses) who were prescribed a new antipsychotic between 2005 and 2017, with a 2-year follow-up to 2019. The primary outcome was total cholesterol at 1 year (cardiometabolic safety). The main secondary outcome was psychiatric hospitalisation (effectiveness). Other outcomes included body weight, blood pressure, all-cause discontinuation, and mortality. Analyses adjusted for baseline confounders, including sociodemographics, diagnoses, concomitant medications, and cardiometabolic parameters. We included 26,537 patients (aripiprazole, n = 3,573, olanzapine, n = 8,554, quetiapine, n = 8,289, risperidone, n = 6,121). Median (IQR) age was 53 (42-67) years, 55.4% were female, 82.3% White, and 18.0% were diagnosed with schizophrenia. Patients prescribed aripiprazole had similar total cholesterol levels after 1 year to those prescribed olanzapine (adjusted mean difference [aMD], -0.03, 95% CI, -0.09 to 0.02, p = 0.261), quetiapine (aMD, -0.03, 95% CI, -0.09 to 0.03, p = 0.324), and risperidone (aMD, -0.01, 95% CI, -0.08 to 0.05, p = 0.707). However, there was evidence that patients prescribed aripiprazole had better outcomes on other cardiometabolic parameters, such as body weight and blood pressure, especially compared to olanzapine. After additional adjustment for prior hospitalisation, patients prescribed aripiprazole had similar rates of psychiatric hospitalisation as those prescribed olanzapine (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.91, 95% CI, 0.82 to 1.01, p = 0.078), quetiapine (aHR, 0.94, 95% CI, 0.85 to 1.04, p = 0.230), or risperidone (aHR, 1.01, 95% CI, 0.91 to 1.12, p = 0.854).&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Conclusions: &lt;/strong&gt;Data from our large, powered, diverse, real-world target trial emulation sample, followed over 2 years, suggest that adults diagnosed with severe mental illness prescribed aripiprazole have similar total cholesterol 1 year after first prescription compared to those prescribed olanzapine, quetiapine, and risperidone. However, patients prescribed aripiprazole had better outcomes on some other cardiometabolic parameters, and there was little evidence of differences in effectiveness. Our findings inform a common clinical dilemma and contribute to the evidence base for real-world clinical decision-making on antipsychotic c","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1004520"},"PeriodicalIF":15.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11778676/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143030159","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Child mortality in England after national lockdowns for COVID-19: An analysis of childhood deaths, 2019-2023.","authors":"David Odd, Sylvia Stoianova, Tom Williams, Peter Fleming, Karen Luyt","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004417","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004417","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Background: &lt;/strong&gt;During the COVID-19 pandemic children and young people (CYP) mortality in England reduced to the lowest on record, but it is unclear if the mechanisms which facilitated a reduction in mortality had a longer lasting impact, and what impact the pandemic, and its social restrictions, have had on deaths with longer latencies (e.g., malignancies). The aim of this analysis was to quantify the relative rate, and causes, of childhood deaths in England, before, during, and after national lockdowns for COVID-19 and its social changes.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Methods and findings: &lt;/strong&gt;Deaths of all children (occurring before their 18th birthday) occurring from April 2019 until March 2023 in England were identified. Data were collated by the National Child Mortality Database. Study population size and the underlying population profile was derived from 2021 Office of National Statistics census data Mortality for each analysis year was calculated per 1,000,000 person years. Poisson regression was used to test for an overall trend across the time period and tested if trends differed between April 2019 to March 2021 (Period 1)) and April 2021 to March 2023 (Period 2: after lockdown restrictions). This was then repeated for each category of death and demographic group. Twelve thousand eight hundred twenty-eight deaths were included in the analysis. Around 59.4% of deaths occurred under 1 year of age, 57.0% were male, and 63.9% were of white ethnicity. Mortality rate (per 1,000,000 CYP per year) dropped from 274.2 (95% CI 264.8-283.8) in 2019-2020, to 242.2 (95% CI 233.4-251.2) in 2020-2021, increasing to 296.1 (95% CI 286.3-306.1) in 2022-2023. Overall, death rate reduced across Period 1 (Incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0.96 (95% CI 0.92-0.99)) and then increased across Period 2 (IRR 1.12 (95% CI 1.08-1.16)), and this pattern was also seen for death by Infection and Underlying Disease. In contrast, rate of death after Intrapartum events increased across the first period, followed by a decrease in rate in the second (Period 1 IRR 1.15 (95% CI 1.00-1.34)) versus Period 2 (IRR 0.78 (95% CI 0.68-0.91), pdifference = 0.004). Rates of death from preterm birth, trauma and sudden unexpected deaths in infancy and childhood (SUDIC), increased across the entire 4-year-study period (preterm birth, IRR 1.03 (95% CI 1.00-1.07); trauma IRR 1.12 (95% CI 1.06-1.20); SUDIC IRR 1.09 (95% CI 1.04-1.13)), and there was no change in the rate of death from Malignancy (IRR 1.01 (95% CI 0.95-1.06)). Repeating the analysis, split by child characteristics, suggested that mortality initially dropped and subsequently rose for children between 1 and 4 years old (Period 1 RR 0.85 (95% CI 0.76-0.94) versus Period 2 IRR 1.31 (95% CI 1.19-1.43), pdifference &lt; 0.001. For Asian, black and Other ethnic groups, we observed increased rates of deaths in the period 2021-2023, and a significant change in trajectory of death rates between Periods 1 and 2 (Asian (Period 1 IRR 0.93 (95","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1004417"},"PeriodicalIF":15.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11756792/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143030156","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Persistent symptoms and clinical findings in adults with post-acute sequelae of COVID-19/post-COVID-19 syndrome in the second year after acute infection: A population-based, nested case-control study.","authors":"Raphael S Peter, Alexandra Nieters, Siri Göpel, Uta Merle, Jürgen M Steinacker, Peter Deibert, Birgit Friedmann-Bette, Andreas Nieß, Barbara Müller, Claudia Schilling, Gunnar Erz, Roland Giesen, Veronika Götz, Karsten Keller, Philipp Maier, Lynn Matits, Sylvia Parthé, Martin Rehm, Jana Schellenberg, Ulrike Schempf, Mengyu Zhu, Hans-Georg Kräusslich, Dietrich Rothenbacher, Winfried V Kern","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004511","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1004511","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Background: &lt;/strong&gt;Self-reported health problems following severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection are common and often include relatively non-specific complaints such as fatigue, exertional dyspnoea, concentration or memory disturbance and sleep problems. The long-term prognosis of such post-acute sequelae of COVID-19/post-COVID-19 syndrome (PCS) is unknown, and data finding and correlating organ dysfunction and pathology with self-reported symptoms in patients with non-recovery from PCS is scarce. We wanted to describe clinical characteristics and diagnostic findings among patients with PCS persisting for &gt;1 year and assessed risk factors for PCS persistence versus improvement.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Methods and findings: &lt;/strong&gt;This nested population-based case-control study included subjects with PCS aged 18-65 years with (n = 982) and age- and sex-matched control subjects without PCS (n = 576) according to an earlier population-based questionnaire study (6-12 months after acute infection, phase 1) consenting to provide follow-up information and to undergo comprehensive outpatient assessment, including neurocognitive, cardiopulmonary exercise, and laboratory testing in four university health centres in southwestern Germany (phase 2, another 8.5 months [median, range 3-14 months] after phase 1). The mean age of the participants was 48 years, and 65% were female. At phase 2, 67.6% of the patients with PCS at phase 1 developed persistent PCS, whereas 78.5% of the recovered participants remained free of health problems related to PCS. Improvement among patients with earlier PCS was associated with mild acute index infection, previous full-time employment, educational status, and no specialist consultation and not attending a rehabilitation programme. The development of new symptoms related to PCS among participants initially recovered was associated with an intercurrent secondary SARS-CoV-2 infection and educational status. Patients with persistent PCS were less frequently never smokers (61.2% versus 75.7%), more often obese (30.2% versus 12.4%) with higher mean values for body mass index (BMI) and body fat, and had lower educational status (university entrance qualification 38.7% versus 61.5%) than participants with continued recovery. Fatigue/exhaustion, neurocognitive disturbance, chest symptoms/breathlessness and anxiety/depression/sleep problems remained the predominant symptom clusters. Exercise intolerance with post-exertional malaise (PEM) for &gt;14 h and symptoms compatible with myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome were reported by 35.6% and 11.6% of participants with persistent PCS patients, respectively. In analyses adjusted for sex-age class combinations, study centre and university entrance qualification, significant differences between participants with persistent PCS versus those with continued recovery were observed for performance in three different neurocognitive tests, scores for","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1004511"},"PeriodicalIF":15.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143030164","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Diagnostic properties of differing BP thresholds for adverse pregnancy outcomes in standard-risk nulliparous women: A secondary analysis of SCOPE cohort data.","authors":"Laura Slade, Maya Blackman, Hiten D Mistry, Jeffrey N Bone, Milly Wilson, Nuhaat Syeda, Lucilla Poston, Peter von Dadelszen, Laura A Magee","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004471","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004471","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Background: &lt;/strong&gt;In 2017, the American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) lowered blood pressure (BP) thresholds to define hypertension in adults outside pregnancy. If used in pregnancy, these lower thresholds may identify women at increased risk of adverse outcomes, which would be particularly useful to risk-stratify nulliparous women. In this secondary analysis of the SCOPE cohort, we asked whether, among standard-risk nulliparous women, the ACC/AHA BP categories could identify women at increased risk for adverse outcomes.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Methods and findings: &lt;/strong&gt;Included were pregnancies in the international SCOPE cohort with birth at ≥20 weeks' gestation, 2004 to 2008. Women were mostly of white ethnicity, in their 20s, and of normal-to-overweight body mass index (BMI). Excluded were pregnancies ending in fetal loss at &lt;20 weeks' gestation, and those terminated at any point in pregnancy. Women were categorized by highest BP during pregnancy, using ACC/AHA criteria: normal (BP &lt;120/80 mmHg), \"Elevated BP\" (BP 120 to 129 mmHg/&lt;80 mmHg), \"Stage-1 hypertension\" (systolic BP [sBP] 130 to 139 mmHg or diastolic BP [dBP] 80 to 89 mmHg), and \"Stage-2 hypertension\" that was non-severe (sBP 140 to 159 mmHg or dBP 90 to 109 mmHg) or severe (sBP ≥160 mmHg or dBP ≥110 mmHg). Primary outcomes were preterm birth (PTB), low birthweight, postpartum hemorrhage, and neonatal care admission. Adjusted relative risks (aRRs) and diagnostic test properties were calculated for each outcome, according to: each BP category (versus \"normal\"), and using the lower limit of each BP category as a cut-off. RRs were adjusted for maternal age, BMI, smoking, ethnicity, and alcohol use. Of 5,628 women in SCOPE, 5,597 were included in this analysis. When compared with normotension, severe \"Stage 2 hypertension\" was associated with PTB (24.0% versus 5.3%; aRR 4.88, 95% confidence interval, CI [3.46 to 6.88]), birthweight &lt;10th centile (24.4% versus 8.8%; aRR 2.70 [2.00 to 3.65]), and neonatal unit admission (32.9% versus 8.9%; aRR 3.40 [2.59 to 4.46]). When compared with normotension, non-severe \"Stage 2 hypertension\" was associated with birthweight &lt;10th centile (16.1% versus 8.8%; aRR 1.82 [1.45 to 2.29]) and neonatal unit admission (15.4% versus 8.9%; aRR 1.65 [1.31 to 2.07]), but no association with adverse outcomes was seen with BP categories below \"Stage 2 hypertension.\" When each BP category was assessed as a threshold for diagnosis of abnormal BP (compared with BP values below), only severe \"Stage 2 hypertension\" had a useful (good) likelihood ratio (LR) of 5.09 (95% CI [3.84 to 6.75]) for PTB. No BP threshold could rule-out adverse outcomes (i.e., had a negative LR &lt;0.2). Limitations of our analysis include lack of ethnic diversity and use of values from clinical notes for BP within 2 weeks before birth. This study was limited by: its retrospective nature, not all women having BP recorded at all visits, and the lack of detail ","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1004471"},"PeriodicalIF":15.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11798451/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143025300","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Physical health in young males and risk of chronic musculoskeletal, cardiovascular, and respiratory diseases by middle age: A population-based cohort study.","authors":"Aleksandra Turkiewicz, Karin Magnusson, Simon Timpka, Ali Kiadaliri, Andrea Dell'Isola, Martin Englund","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004517","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004517","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Background: &lt;/strong&gt;Cardiovascular, respiratory, and musculoskeletal disease are among the leading causes of disability in middle-aged and older people. Health and lifestyle factors in youth have known associations with cardiovascular or respiratory disease in adulthood, but largely unknown associations with musculoskeletal disease.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Methods and findings: &lt;/strong&gt;We included approximately 40,000 18-year-old Swedish males, who completed their conscription examination in 1969 to 1970, followed up until age of 60 years. Exposures of interest were physical health: body mass and height, blood pressure, pulse at rest, muscle strength, cardiorespiratory fitness, and hematocrit; self-reported lifestyle: smoking, alcohol, and drug use; self-reported health: overall, headache and gastrointestinal. We followed the participants through the Swedish National Patient Register for incidence of common musculoskeletal (osteoarthritis, back pain, shoulder lesions, joint pain, myalgia), cardiovascular (ischemic heart disease, atrial fibrillation), and respiratory diseases (asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, bronchitis). We analyzed the associations using general estimating equations Poisson regression with all exposures included in one model and adjusted for parental education and occupation. We found that higher body mass was associated with higher risk of musculoskeletal (risk ratio [RR] per 1 standard deviation [SD] 1.12 [95% confidence interval, CI 1.09, 1.16]), cardiovascular (RR 1.22 [95% CI 1.17, 1.27] per 1 SD) and respiratory diseases (RR 1.14 [95% CI 1.05, 1.23] per 1 SD). Notably, higher muscle strength and cardiorespiratory fitness were associated with higher risk of musculoskeletal disease (RRs 1.08 [95% CI 1.05, 1.11] and 1.06 [95% CI 1.01, 1.12] per 1 SD difference in exposure), while higher cardiorespiratory fitness was protective against both cardiovascular and respiratory diseases (RRs 0.91 [95% CI 0.85, 0.98] and 0.85 [95% CI 0.73, 0.97] per 1 SD exposure, respectively). We confirmed the adverse effects of smoking, with risk ratios when comparing 11+ cigarettes per day to non-smoking of 1.14 (95% CI 1.06, 1.22) for musculoskeletal, 1.58 (95% CI 1.44, 1.74) for cardiovascular, and 1.93 (95% CI 1.60, 2.32) for respiratory diseases. Self-reported headache (category \"often\" compared to \"never\") was associated with musculoskeletal diseases (RR 1.38 [95% CI 1.21, 1.58]) and cardiovascular diseases (RR 1.29 [95% CI 1.07, 1.56]), but had an inconclusive association with respiratory diseases (RR 1.13 [95% CI 0.79, 1.60]). No large consistent associations were found for other exposures. The most notable associations with specific musculoskeletal conditions were for cardiorespiratory fitness and osteoarthritis (RR 1.23 [95% CI 1.15, 1.32] per 1 SD) and for muscle strength and back pain (RR 1.18 [95% CI 1.12, 1.24] per 1 SD) or shoulder diseases (RR 1.27 [95% CI 1.19, 1.36] per 1 SD). The main limitations include lack of ","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1004517"},"PeriodicalIF":15.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11793790/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143014720","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Estimating the impact of school closures on the COVID-19 dynamics in 74 countries: A modelling analysis.","authors":"Romain Ragonnet, Angus E Hughes, David S Shipman, Michael T Meehan, Alec S Henderson, Guillaume Briffoteaux, Nouredine Melab, Daniel Tuyttens, Emma S McBryde, James M Trauer","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004512","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004512","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>School closures have been a prominent component of the global Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) response. However, their effect on viral transmission, COVID-19 mortality and health care system pressure remains incompletely understood, as traditional observational studies fall short in assessing such population-level impacts.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We used a mathematical model to simulate the COVID-19 epidemics of 74 countries, incorporating observed data from 2020 to 2022 and historical school closure timelines. We then simulated a counterfactual scenario, assuming that schools remained open throughout the study period. We compared the simulated epidemics in terms of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections, deaths, and hospital occupancy pressure. We estimated that school closures achieved moderate to significant burden reductions in most settings over the period 2020 to 2022. They reduced peak hospital occupancy pressure in nearly all countries, with 72 out of 74 countries (97%) showing a positive median estimated effect, and median estimated effect ranging from reducing peak hospital occupancy pressure by 89% in Brazil to increasing it by 19% in Indonesia. The median estimated effect of school closures on COVID-19 deaths ranged from a 73% reduction in Thailand to a 7% increase in the United Kingdom. We estimated that school closures may have increased overall COVID-19 mortality (based on median estimates) in 9 countries (12%), including several European nations and Indonesia. This is attributed to changes in population-level immunity dynamics, leading to a concentration of the epidemic during the Delta variant period, alongside an upward shift in the age distribution of infections. While our estimates were associated with significant uncertainty, our sensitivity analyses exploring the impact of social mixing assumptions revealed robustness in our country-specific conclusions. The main study limitations include the fact that analyses were conducted at the national level, whereas school closure policies often varied by region. Furthermore, some regions, including Africa, were underrepresented due to insufficient data informing the model.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Our analysis revealed nuanced effects of school closures on COVID-19 dynamics, with reductions in COVID-19 impacts in most countries but negative epidemiological effects in a few others. We identified critical mechanisms for consideration in future policy decisions, highlighting the unpredictable nature of emerging variants and potential shifts in infection demographics associated with school closures.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1004512"},"PeriodicalIF":15.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11793732/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143014713","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}