{"title":"Modeling Matters: Comparing the Presumptive Sentence Versus Base Offense Level Approaches for Estimating Racial/Ethnic Effects on Federal Sentencing","authors":"Bryan Holmes, Ben Feldmeyer","doi":"10.1007/s10940-023-09573-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-023-09573-0","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2023-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48037197","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"To Blend in or Hide Out? A Network Analysis on Maritime Criminal Co-voyages in Taiwan","authors":"Yen-Sheng Chiang, Yi-Chun Chang, Wei Weng","doi":"10.1007/s10940-023-09572-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-023-09572-1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"70 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135643004","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Economic Booms and Recidivism","authors":"Ozkan Eren, Emily C. Owens","doi":"10.1007/s10940-023-09571-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-023-09571-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"1 1","pages":"1-30"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2023-05-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47845924","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Addressing the ‘Dirty Little Secret’ of Deterrence: Testing the Effects of Increased Police Presence on Perceptions of Arrest Risk","authors":"Rebecca Bucci","doi":"10.1007/s10940-023-09570-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-023-09570-3","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"1 1","pages":"1-32"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2023-04-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42592827","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Identification Problems in Probabilistic Measures of Perceived Arrest Risk: Estimating a Partially-Identified Certainty Effect","authors":"Benjamin C. Hamilton","doi":"10.1007/s10940-023-09569-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-023-09569-w","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"1 1","pages":"1-26"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2023-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45681054","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Addressing Ethnic Differences in the Validity of Self-reported Criminal Behaviour Through a Social Desirability Measure","authors":"Willemijn E. Bezemer, Marise Ph. Born, A. Leerkes","doi":"10.1007/s10940-023-09567-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-023-09567-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"1 1","pages":"1-28"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2023-02-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43687709","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Correction to: An Algorithmic Assessment of Parole Decisions","authors":"Hannah S. Laqueur, Ryan W. Copus","doi":"10.1007/s10940-023-09568-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-023-09568-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"1 1","pages":"1"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2023-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46333874","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ariel G Stone, C. Lloyd, B. Spivak, N. Papalia, R. Serin
{"title":"Trajectories of Change in Acute Dynamic Risk Ratings and Associated Risk for Recidivism in Paroled New Zealanders: A Joint Latent Class Modelling Approach","authors":"Ariel G Stone, C. Lloyd, B. Spivak, N. Papalia, R. Serin","doi":"10.1007/s10940-022-09566-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-022-09566-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"1 1","pages":"1-41"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2023-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43263701","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Is Police Misconduct Contagious? Non-trivial Null Findings from Dallas, Texas.","authors":"Cohen R Simpson, David S Kirk","doi":"10.1007/s10940-021-09532-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10940-021-09532-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>Understanding if police malfeasance might be \"contagious\" is vital to identifying efficacious paths to police reform. Accordingly, we investigate whether an officer's propensity to engage in misconduct is associated with her direct, routine interaction with colleagues who have themselves engaged in misbehavior in the past.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Recognizing the importance of analyzing the actual social networks spanning a police force, we use data on collaborative responses to 1,165,136 \"911\" calls for service by 3475 Dallas Police Department (DPD) officers across 2013 and 2014 to construct daily networks of front-line interaction. And we relate these cooperative networks to <i>reported and formally sanctioned</i> misconduct on the part of the DPD officers during the same time period using repeated-events survival models.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Estimates indicate that the risk of a DPD officer engaging in misconduct is not associated with the disciplined misbehavior of her ad hoc, on-the-scene partners. Rather, a greater risk of misconduct is associated with past misbehavior, officer-specific proneness, the neighborhood context of patrol, and, in some cases, officer race, while departmental tenure is a mitigating factor.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Our observational findings-based on data from one large police department in the United States-ultimately suggest that actor-based and ecological explanations of police deviance should not be summarily dismissed in favor of accounts emphasizing negative socialization, where our study design also raises the possibility that results are partly driven by unobserved trait-based variation in the situations that officers find themselves in. All in all, interventions focused on individual officers, including the termination of deviant police, may be fruitful for curtailing police misconduct-where early interventions focused on new offenders may be key to avoiding the escalation of deviance.</p>","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"39 2","pages":"425-463"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8754082/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9498630","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Guangwen Song, Yanji Zhang, Wim Bernasco, Liang Cai, Lin Liu, Bo Qin, Peng Chen
{"title":"Residents, Employees and Visitors: Effects of Three Types of Ambient Population on Theft on Weekdays and Weekends in Beijing, China.","authors":"Guangwen Song, Yanji Zhang, Wim Bernasco, Liang Cai, Lin Liu, Bo Qin, Peng Chen","doi":"10.1007/s10940-021-09538-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-021-09538-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>The residential population of an area is an incomplete measure of the number of people that are momentarily present in the area, and of limited value as an indicator of exposure to the risk of crime. By accounting for the mobility of the population, measures of ambient population better reflect the momentary presence of people. They have therefore become an alternative indicator of exposure to the risk of crime. This study considers the heterogeneity of the ambient population by distinguishing residents, employees and visitors as different categories, and explores their differential impact on thefts, both on weekdays and weekends.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analyze one-year of police recorded thefts across 2104 1 km<sup>2</sup> grid cells in a central area in Beijing, China. Controlling for the effects of attractiveness, accessibility, and guardianship, we estimate a series of negative binominal models to investigate the differential effects of the three groups (residents, employees and visitors) in the ambient population on crime frequencies, both on weekdays and during weekends and holidays.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Overall, larger ambient populations imply larger theft frequencies. The effect of visitors is stronger than the effects of residents and employees. The effects of residents and employees vary over the course of the week. On weekdays, the presence of residents is more important, while the reverse holds true during weekends and holidays.</p><p><strong>Discussion: </strong>The effects of ambient population on thefts vary by its composition in terms of social roles. The larger role of visitors is presumably because in addition to being potential victims, residents and employees may also exercise informal social control. In addition, they spend more time indoors than where risk of theft is lower, while visitors might spend more time outdoors and may also bring about greater anonymity and weaken informal social control.</p>","PeriodicalId":48080,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Quantitative Criminology","volume":"39 2","pages":"385-423"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8638235/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9854343","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}