{"title":"The Price of Flexible Jobs: Wage Differentials between Permanent and Flexible Jobs in the Netherlands","authors":"Cindy Biesenbeek, Maikel Volkerink","doi":"10.1007/s10645-023-09429-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10645-023-09429-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46156,"journal":{"name":"Economist-Netherlands","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134953932","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Distortions in Investment Timing and Quantity in Real Options with Asymmetric Information","authors":"Maarten van Oosterhout, Gijsbert Zwart","doi":"10.1007/s10645-023-09428-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10645-023-09428-w","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract We analyze real options investment under asymmetric information on investment costs, where decisions not only involve investment timing, but also investment quantity. A principal, the regulator, offers a menu of contracts to the agent (the regulated firm). The regulated firm has better information on costs than the regulator, and the optimal regulation trades off distortions in investment decisions and informational rents left to the firm. In a non-dynamic situation, it is well known that optimal contracts involve downward distortions on investment quantity. In the dynamic, real options situation, distortions also occur in investment timing: a high-cost firm’s investment will be delayed beyond the optimal time, until revenues reach a higher investment threshold. We explore the effect on investment quantity in this real option regulation under various assumptions on the stochastic process for revenues. On the one hand, the higher investment threshold tends to increase investment quantities, whereas screening of high-cost firms would favour reducing their investment quantity. We find a simple sufficient condition for the latter, quantity-reducing, effect to dominate, and show that it is satisfied for a wide range of commonly used stochastic processes.","PeriodicalId":46156,"journal":{"name":"Economist-Netherlands","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135092380","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Call for Papers: Special Issue on \"Scientific Insights to Deliver Sustainable Growth and Full Employment\"","authors":"","doi":"10.1007/s10645-023-09426-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10645-023-09426-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46156,"journal":{"name":"Economist-Netherlands","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135730371","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Call for Papers: Special Issue on “Inequality in the Housing Market”","authors":"","doi":"10.1007/s10645-023-09427-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10645-023-09427-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46156,"journal":{"name":"Economist-Netherlands","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135854586","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Foreign Supply Shocks and the Structure of Trade in a Small Open Economy","authors":"Jonas Böschemeier, Karsten Mau","doi":"10.1007/s10645-023-09425-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10645-023-09425-z","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract We evaluate how imports of a small open economy adjusted to foreign supply disruptions in the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. Exploiting information on the timing, stringency, and persistence of coronavirus containment measures, we estimate their impact on the value and composition of imports. About half of the total contraction is attributed to foreign supply-sided disruptions. Contractions were more pronounced in concentrated import markets, but more severe contractions were prevented by trade partner substitution. We document systematic reallocation of market shares towards countries with large supply capacity and low COVID-19 incidence rates in the second half of 2020.","PeriodicalId":46156,"journal":{"name":"Economist-Netherlands","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135591010","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economist-NetherlandsPub Date : 2023-01-01Epub Date: 2023-04-29DOI: 10.1007/s10645-023-09421-3
Steven Brakman, Harry Garretsen, Tristan Kohl
{"title":"EXITitis in the UK: Gravity Estimates in the Aftermath of Brexit.","authors":"Steven Brakman, Harry Garretsen, Tristan Kohl","doi":"10.1007/s10645-023-09421-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10645-023-09421-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union has had disruptive effects on international trade. As part of its 'Global Britain' strategy in the wake of Brexit, the UK is pursuing a series of Free Trade Agreements with countries around the world, including Canada, Japan, Korea, Mexico, Norway, Switzerland, Turkey and possibly the United States. Closer to home, the UK is under mounting pressure to dissuade Scotland, Northern Ireland and Wales from seeking independence to regain the severed ties with the EU. We analyze the economic consequences of these scenarios with a state-of-the-art structural gravity model for major economies around the world. We find that 'Global Britain' yields insufficient trade creation to compensate for Brexit-induced trade losses. Our results also reveal that secession from the UK in itself would inflict greater post-Brexit economic harm on the devolved nations of Great Britain. Nevertheless, these effects could be offset when secession from the UK is combined with regained EU membership.</p>","PeriodicalId":46156,"journal":{"name":"Economist-Netherlands","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10147905/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9481404","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nils Verheuvel, Joost Witteman, Marilou Vlaanderen
{"title":"Synthetic Control Method for Dutch Policy Evaluation.","authors":"Nils Verheuvel, Joost Witteman, Marilou Vlaanderen","doi":"10.1007/s10645-022-09417-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10645-022-09417-5","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>We apply the synthetic control method to a case study of the Dutch State Treasury Agency's funding policy. We study empirically what effect a change in funding strategy by the Dutch treasury had on market conditions. First, our results suggest that introducing more uncertainty to the funding policy, by means of a target range for capital market issuances, does not lead to a higher risk premium on Dutch government debt. Second, our paper shows that the synthetic control method, or the related constrained regression, is more suitable than a difference-in-differences method for this particular case study. The synthetic control method and constrained regression only include control units that are similar to the Netherlands. The difference-in-differences estimator includes all control countries, even ones that are not similar to the Netherlands. The difference-in-differences estimates incorrectly suggest that introducing more uncertainty in the funding policy leads to a higher risk premium. This shows that synthetic control and constrained regression are in some cases more suitable than a standard difference-in-differences. Furthermore, the synthetic control and constrained regression results hold when time and unit placebo tests are applied, whereas difference-in-differences results are not robust for this case study.</p>","PeriodicalId":46156,"journal":{"name":"Economist-Netherlands","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9806815/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10751493","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economist-NetherlandsPub Date : 2023-01-01Epub Date: 2023-02-16DOI: 10.1007/s10645-023-09418-y
Gert Bijnens, Shyngys Karimov, Jozef Konings
{"title":"Does Automatic Wage Indexation Destroy Jobs? A Machine Learning Approach.","authors":"Gert Bijnens, Shyngys Karimov, Jozef Konings","doi":"10.1007/s10645-023-09418-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10645-023-09418-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This paper analyzes the impact of automatic wage indexation on employment. To boost competitiveness and increase employment, Belgium suspended its automatic wage indexation system in 2015. This resulted in a 2% fall in real wages for all workers. In the absence of a suitable control group, we use machine learning for the counterfactual analysis. We artificially construct the control group for a difference-in-difference analysis based on the pre-treatment evolution of treated firms. We find a positive impact on employment of 1.2%, which corresponds to a labor demand elasticity of - 0.6. This effect is more pronounced for manufacturing firms, where the elasticity reaches - 1. These results show that a suspension of the automatic wage indexation mechanism can be effective in preserving employment.</p>","PeriodicalId":46156,"journal":{"name":"Economist-Netherlands","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9932419/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10774659","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economist-NetherlandsPub Date : 2023-01-01Epub Date: 2022-12-22DOI: 10.1007/s10645-022-09416-6
Dirk Schoenmaker, Hans Stegeman
{"title":"Can the Market Economy Deal with Sustainability?","authors":"Dirk Schoenmaker, Hans Stegeman","doi":"10.1007/s10645-022-09416-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10645-022-09416-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The central question in this paper is whether a market economy can theoretically and empirically deal with sustainability. A system analysis of the current neoclassical theory shows that the system components (goal function, interaction mechanisms, actors and outcomes) are predominantly defined in terms of economic growth and facilitated by market exchange. This fosters (over)production and consumption of private goods, crowding out public goods and preservation of the commons. The one size fits all 'economic mechanism design' cannot deliver social outcomes regarding sustainability. The explicit recognition that an economy has different domains (ecological, social, economic) broadens the options for incorporating sustainability within the economic system. This richer framework allows us to analyse the economic problem at hand: an efficient economic system in an inclusive society within biophysical boundaries. We show that the alternative for market economics does not only have to be government intervention but can also include private forms of collective decision-making.</p>","PeriodicalId":46156,"journal":{"name":"Economist-Netherlands","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9779941/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10761507","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economist-NetherlandsPub Date : 2022-01-01Epub Date: 2022-09-26DOI: 10.1007/s10645-022-09411-x
Hendrik P van Dalen, Kène Henkens
{"title":"Trust and Distrust in Pension Providers in Times of Decline and Reform: Analysis of Survey Data 2004-2021.","authors":"Hendrik P van Dalen, Kène Henkens","doi":"10.1007/s10645-022-09411-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10645-022-09411-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Trust in pension providers by participants is essential because pension providers try to fulfill their pension promises in a fundamentally uncertain world. Reforms and crises are therefore the ultimate testing ground for pension trust. In this paper we estimate with repeated cross-sectional survey data how trust and distrust in Dutch pension funds and the government have evolved over the period 2004-2021 and what the impact of financial stability on trust in these two institutions has been. Financial stability of pension funds, measured by their funding ratio, is shown to affect trust positively, but it does not decrease distrust significantly. Based on the estimation results, achieving a situation where the majority of the adult population trusts pension funds is likely to be attained at funding ratios of 115 or higher. Financial stability of government (measured by government debt/GDP ratio) does not affect either trust or distrust levels. Underlying drivers of distrust and trust such as personal characteristics are also notable: self-employed are more prone to distrust pension funds than employees. Women are more than men likely to take a neutral position.</p>","PeriodicalId":46156,"journal":{"name":"Economist-Netherlands","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9510197/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"40393333","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}