{"title":"Implications of World Peak Population for Canada","authors":"A. Bélanger, B. Edmonston","doi":"10.25336/CSP29372","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.25336/CSP29372","url":null,"abstract":"The last century witnessed the fastest population growth in human history, but this is now ending.2 Recent 2017 United Nations population projections assume that current fertility levels of 2.5 children per woman will decrease to 2.2 in 2050 and to a below-replacement level of 1.99 in 2100 (United Nations 2017).3 Estimated at 7.2 billion in 2013, the world’s population is expected to continue to grow, but at a much slower pace. It will eventually peak at slightly more than 11 billion in the 22nd century, and thereafter slowly decrease for the first time in several centuries. Under the United Nations’ low-fertility assumption, world population would peak even sooner, at 8.7 billion in about 2050 and decrease to 7.3 billion by 2100. Today’s current population is increasing by 1.1 per cent per year, compared to almost 2 per cent as recently as 1970–75. By the end of the current century, in 2095–2100, the United Nations expects world population growth to decrease to 0.1 per cent per year; however, peak population size does not occur in this century, according to the 2017 United Nations’ medium-fertility population projections. By 2095–2100, world population growth is small but still positive. If the United Nations’ rates are extrapolated beyond 2100, world population growth would decrease to zero in about 2110 (by linear extrapolation) or 2115 (by exponential extrapolation). Even though world fertility is projected to fall below replacement levels by 2100, the younger age distribution in some high-fertility countries provides “momentum” for continued population growth past 2100. Nevertheless, global world population growth is expected to cease by 2075 in all regions except Africa and Oceania.","PeriodicalId":44334,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Studies in Population","volume":"45 1","pages":"1-10"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2018-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.25336/CSP29372","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42773716","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Nurturing the next Canadian generation: The case for labour market research","authors":"K. Mcquillan","doi":"10.25336/CSP29373","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.25336/CSP29373","url":null,"abstract":"As rates of population and labour force growth slow in Canada, the country faces important challenges in promoting economic growth and sustaining prosperity. Among the most important public issues are increasing labour force participation rates among groups with low or declining rates of work and reforming education to better prepare graduates for the jobs of the new economy. At the same time, Canada needs to respond to the shifting geography of work. The concentration of employment in a limited number of major urban centres is driving young people to seek work in high-cost cities, while many smaller cities and regions face the prospect of economic and demographic decline. Alors que les taux de population et la croissance de la population active ralentissent au Canada, le pays devra relever d’importants defis pour promouvoir la croissance economique et maintenir la prosperite. Les plus importantes questions d’ordre public porteront, entre autres, sur le taux de participation, au sein de la population active, de groupes presentant des taux d’emploi faibles ou en declin et la reforme de l’education afin de mieux preparer les diplomes aux emplois de la nouvelle economie. Le Canada doit, en meme temps, aborder la geographie changeante du travail. La concentration des emplois dans quelques grands centres urbains pousse les jeunes a chercher du travail dans les villes ou le cout est eleve, alors que les villes plus petites et les regions sont confrontees au declin economique et demographique. Mots-cles : population et environnement; climat; utilisation d’energie; pointe de population","PeriodicalId":44334,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Studies in Population","volume":"45 1","pages":"19-23"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2018-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.25336/CSP29373","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46593134","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The well-being of families in Canada’s future","authors":"B. Laplante","doi":"10.25336/CSP29376","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.25336/CSP29376","url":null,"abstract":"The author argues that the well-being of families in Canada’s future is uncertain because families are losing the central position that was traditionally theirs. Most of the changes that occurred in and around families over the last third of the 20th century came from changes in values (from survival to personal development, from collectivity-oriented to individual-oriented), in gender relations (rising education, labour force participation, and economic independence of women), and in the legal framework that deals with family life. Such changes are still having an impact on families and this impact will likely not diminish. But more than anything else, Canadian society is moving towards a model in which immigration rather than reproduction is the main source of population growth, thus reducing the importance of the family for the development of policies. This, and the increasing political importance given to environmental issues, might further displace the family as a priority for policymaking and the allocation of public resources, and thus impair the future well-being of families.","PeriodicalId":44334,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Studies in Population","volume":"45 1","pages":"24-32"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2018-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.25336/CSP29376","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47958781","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Population and Society: An Introduction to Demography","authors":"S. Bah","doi":"10.25336/CSP29400","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.25336/CSP29400","url":null,"abstract":"By Dudley L. Poston, Jr, Leon F. BouvierNew York: Cambridge University Press, 2017ISBN 1107042674, 9781107042674, 532 pages","PeriodicalId":44334,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Studies in Population","volume":"45 1","pages":"97-99"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2018-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.25336/CSP29400","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44254544","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Spatial Mobility, Migration, and Living Arrangements","authors":"B. Edmonston","doi":"10.25336/CSP29399","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.25336/CSP29399","url":null,"abstract":"Edited by Can M. Aybek, Johannes Huinink, and Raya Muttarak Cham, Heidelberg, New York, Dordrecht, London: Springer, 2015 ISBN 9783319100203","PeriodicalId":44334,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Studies in Population","volume":"45 1","pages":"107-109"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2018-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.25336/CSP29399","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45969528","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Maximum Canada: What do Canadians wish to maximize?","authors":"R. Beaujot, L. Patterson","doi":"10.25336/CSP29396","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.25336/CSP29396","url":null,"abstract":"Review of Doug Saunders, Maximum Canada: Why 35 million Canadians are not enough. Knopf Canada, 2017","PeriodicalId":44334,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Studies in Population","volume":"45 1","pages":"67-78"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2018-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.25336/CSP29396","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41626654","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Population Change in the United Kingdom","authors":"B. Edmonston","doi":"10.25336/CSP29398","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.25336/CSP29398","url":null,"abstract":"Edited by Tony Champion and Jane FalkinghamLondon and New York: Rowman and Littlefield International, 2016","PeriodicalId":44334,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Studies in Population","volume":"45 1","pages":"104-106"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2018-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.25336/CSP29398","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42364265","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The end (of growth) is nigh","authors":"W. Rees","doi":"10.25336/CSP29380","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.25336/CSP29380","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44334,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Studies in Population","volume":"45 1","pages":"89-92"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2018-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.25336/CSP29380","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49203304","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Information Geometry and Population Genetics: The Mathematical Structure of the Wright - Fisher Model","authors":"Ranjita Pandey","doi":"10.25336/CSP29385","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.25336/CSP29385","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44334,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Studies in Population","volume":"45 1","pages":"93-94"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2018-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.25336/CSP29385","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41642124","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}