Global Economy Journal最新文献_第3页

TRENDS IN MIGRATION, UNEMPLOYMENT AND POPULATION: A POST-COVID-19 FORECAST OF CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT IN THE GAMBIA 移民、失业和人口趋势:新冠疫情后冈比亚能力发展预测

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Global Economy Journal Pub Date : 2020-12-03 DOI: 10.1142/s2194565920500189

R. Ayeni, Emmanuel Oluwatobi Shaib

{"title":"TRENDS IN MIGRATION, UNEMPLOYMENT AND POPULATION: A POST-COVID-19 FORECAST OF CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT IN THE GAMBIA","authors":"R. Ayeni, Emmanuel Oluwatobi Shaib","doi":"10.1142/s2194565920500189","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s2194565920500189","url":null,"abstract":"As a developing economy, three major economic problems witnessed in the Gambia are the growing unemployment rate, migration (immigration and rural-urban drift) leading to urban population growth and the growing semi-skilled working population in the face of unemployment This study seeks to answer the question of how the Gambian economy can plan to overcome these problems, coupled with post-COVID-19 global economic shocks, through a technically planned capacity development In this paper, the trends in variables representing capacity development indicators, migration, unemployment and working population in the Gambia are studied using the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model To project a system of interrelationship among these variables in the Gambia, the study employs the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) forecast analysis for the period between 1990 and 2019, thereafter generates a five-year forecast The findings confirm that investment into the educational sector in developing economies is bound to yield increasing return to scale in the next five years Investment into education, training and skill acquisition, if done, will attract the transfer of technical and managerial skills and technology for the purpose of building up general national capacity in such a developing economy © 2025 World Scientific Publishing Company","PeriodicalId":44015,"journal":{"name":"Global Economy Journal","volume":" 76","pages":"1-21"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2020-12-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72379304","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN LATIN AMERICAN COUNTRIES: THE ROLE OF BANKING CRISES AND FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION 拉丁美洲国家金融发展与经济增长的关系:银行危机与金融自由化的作用

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Global Economy Journal Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI: 10.1142/S2194565920500232

A. Santana

引用次数: 3

CONVERGENCE PATTERNS IN CRYPTOCURRENCY MARKETS: EVIDENCE FROM CLUB CONVERGENCE 加密货币市场的趋同模式:来自俱乐部趋同的证据

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Global Economy Journal Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI: 10.1142/S2194565920500220

P. K. Sahoo

引用次数: 3

INDIA–CHINA TRADE IN LIGHT AND HEAVY MANUFACTURING SECTOR: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS 印中轻、重制造业贸易:可计算一般均衡分析

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Global Economy Journal Pub Date : 2020-11-20 DOI: 10.1142/S2194565920500141

Saba Ismail, Shahid Ahmed

{"title":"INDIA–CHINA TRADE IN LIGHT AND HEAVY MANUFACTURING SECTOR: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS","authors":"Saba Ismail, Shahid Ahmed","doi":"10.1142/S2194565920500141","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/S2194565920500141","url":null,"abstract":"The trade relations between India and China have been intensified since 2001. The aim of this paper is to examine the effects of tariff reduction by India and China on bilateral imports in light and heavy manufacturing sectors. The results are evaluated in terms of welfare, output, employment and the potential trade flows between India and China in CGE framework using the GTAP-model. GTAP database version 10, covering 141 countries/regions and 65 sectors, with a base year of 2014, have been used. Overall results show that India and China’s trade relation has improved in last two decades, but still there is a lot of untapped potential to bring the welfare gains for both trading partners. This study concludes that deeper integration by tariff reduction on imports of light manufacturing and heavy manufacturing sectors between India and China may not be welfare enhancing for India, however there are substantial welfare gain for China. The study suggests that a well calculated and strategically negotiated tariff reduction in light and heavy manufacturing sectors may create a win–win situation for both partners. The study argues that China should offer a preferential market access to India for mutually beneficial and welfare enhancing engagements for both countries.","PeriodicalId":44015,"journal":{"name":"Global Economy Journal","volume":"306 1","pages":"2050014"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2020-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"75669582","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

THE EFFECTS OF GOLD, STOCK MARKETS AND GEOPOLITICAL UNCERTAINTY ON BITCOIN PRICES AND VOLATILITY 黄金、股市和地缘政治的不确定性对比特币价格和波动性的影响

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Global Economy Journal Pub Date : 2020-11-10 DOI: 10.1142/s2194565920500207

N. Kyriazis