{"title":"A game-theoretic framework for concurrent technology roadmap planning using best-response techniques","authors":"K. Smirnova, A. Golkar, R. Vingerhoeds","doi":"10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369615","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369615","url":null,"abstract":"Technology roadmapping provides a tool for technology planning and selecting what to pursue in what timeframes. In this paper, a game-theoretic framework for technology roadmap planning is proposed to address the enumeration, selection and evaluation of possible evolution paths for technology roadmapping characterized by an iterative and competitive technology development process between companies within one tradespace. More specifically, the framework including companies as game players demonstrates the most favorable reactions to each other's technology development by approximated best response functions. Next, the selection process of optimal development paths is carried out to evaluate the possible payoffs using backward induction. Finally, a case is studied to demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed approach.","PeriodicalId":438488,"journal":{"name":"2018 Annual IEEE International Systems Conference (SysCon)","volume":"52 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-05-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114714128","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Promoting innovation through systems thinking and systems design","authors":"A. Azemi","doi":"10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369600","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369600","url":null,"abstract":"The goal of this work is to show the relationship between innovation and systems thinking by examining the published work in the areas of innovation. We will identify key common requirements between innovation and systems thinking and propose the idea of using systems thinking as a way to promote and enhance innovation. Finally, we propose teaching design process as a practical way to introduce and inspire systems thinking in an engineering curriculum.","PeriodicalId":438488,"journal":{"name":"2018 Annual IEEE International Systems Conference (SysCon)","volume":"30 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116939942","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
K. Werner, C. Raymond, Sai Kumar, A. Aukerman, Thomas Ryan, R. Valerdi
{"title":"Application and refinement of the early lifecycle cost estimation model: A case study of the JLTV","authors":"K. Werner, C. Raymond, Sai Kumar, A. Aukerman, Thomas Ryan, R. Valerdi","doi":"10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369578","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369578","url":null,"abstract":"The United States Department of Defense (DoD) is continuously improving its fiscal stewardship. Engineered Resilient Systems (ERS) strives to provide the DoD with comprehensive analysis of systems throughout the acquisition process. In this pursuit of this financial efficiency, ERS has decided to build a cost complement through parametric modeling. While there already have been strides towards better cost estimation techniques, the Early Lifecycle Cost Estimation (ELCE) model represents a unique attempt to provide a cost estimate for an entire system lifecycle at a pre-milestone A (PMA) stage. This paper specifically demonstrates the ELCE model using cost data from the Joint Light Tactical Vehicle (JLTV), establishing the ability of the model to expand beyond initial calibration of the first proof of concept. Utilizing the uniquely engineered inputs for PM-A cost estimation, this research demonstrated the capability of the model to predict lifecycle cost for multiple systems. As a second proof of concept, the JLTV demonstrates the expandability of the ELCE model, which identifies a potential method for improvement in current PM-A cost estimation techniques.","PeriodicalId":438488,"journal":{"name":"2018 Annual IEEE International Systems Conference (SysCon)","volume":"26 7","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"120907038","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Authentication pedigree scheme for supply chain","authors":"Manki Min, Sunho Lim, Yi Liu, Hyeun Joong Yoon","doi":"10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369525","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369525","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we present a novel idea of multilayer aggregate authentication scheme that can be used in any distribution phase of supply chain for more accurate tracking of packages and for innovative authentication of the hierarchy of packages. With minimal modification cost, our scheme can be adapted to any existing cryptographic hash chain based authentication schemes such as RFID-based scheme. By allowing the aggregate authentication of multiple layers (for example a bigger package and its smaller inner packages) at once, our scheme provides more reliable and accurate way to track the packages and effectively thwarts the counterfeiters at every phase of the supply chain. Our scheme also enables any entity in the entire supply chain including the producers, transporters, distributors, sellers, and even consumers to easily authenticate the authenticity of a package/product along its packaging hierarchy.","PeriodicalId":438488,"journal":{"name":"2018 Annual IEEE International Systems Conference (SysCon)","volume":"20 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133247187","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Thomas Glock, Björn Sillmann, M. Kobold, Sebatian Rebmann, E. Sax
{"title":"Model-based validation and testing of industry 4.0 plants","authors":"Thomas Glock, Björn Sillmann, M. Kobold, Sebatian Rebmann, E. Sax","doi":"10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369563","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369563","url":null,"abstract":"One of the major technical aspects of Industry 4.0 (I4.0) is the decentralized task and function distribution based on a service-oriented approach. This leads to new challenges by using the existing technologies and planning methods of I4.0 industrial plants. The validation of such dynamic serviceoriented architectures requires new validation methods to ensure the correct functionality of the I4.0 plant. The interactions of distributed functions and the integration of functions on several devices play an important role in planning, configuration, and validation of such plants. This work presents a new approach of a continuous model-based validation and testing method of I4.0 plant service-oriented architectures. The method allows to reuse existing functional tests of services and to adjust them with the help of the model-based information of a plant architecture model.","PeriodicalId":438488,"journal":{"name":"2018 Annual IEEE International Systems Conference (SysCon)","volume":"72 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126079036","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Real-time face recognition in HD videos: Algorithms and framework","authors":"Mayank Jobanputra, Axat Chaudhary, Saumil Shah, Ratnik Gandhi","doi":"10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369529","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369529","url":null,"abstract":"Computation of high dimensional data in real-time is a challenging task. In this paper, we consider the problem of detecting and recognizing faces in a real-time high definition video. We show time and accuracy of various incremental dimensionality reduction and incremental learning algorithms for face recognition and present a system architecture for implementing these algorithms. Further, we show that approximation in face detection can speed up the recognition time with minor loss in accuracy. We present our speedup results with the help of low cost GPUs. We also design a benchmark high definition multi subject video database and show our results over this benchmark.","PeriodicalId":438488,"journal":{"name":"2018 Annual IEEE International Systems Conference (SysCon)","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116032696","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"INCOSE SE handbook v3.2 and v4.0 analysis of context diagrams set","authors":"Aditya Akundi, Eric Smith, T. Tseng, Ileana Rubio","doi":"10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369497","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369497","url":null,"abstract":"Growing interest observed in the Associate Systems Engineering Professional (ASEP) certification among students and faculty in the Systems Engineering Programs has led the authors to analyze the SE Handbook. In this paper, an effort in the analysis of The International Council on Systems Engineering (INCOSE) Systems Engineering (SE) Handbook versions 3.2 and 4.0 using network abstractions to understand and identify central concepts of SE processes is portrayed by examining only the Context Diagram figures, each of which depicts a set of Activities (a Process) that transforms inputs (Inputs, Controls, and Enablers) into outputs (Outputs). The network representation of the said helped in detecting key life cycle processes and information transferors of SE handbook versions 3.2 and 4.0, along with identifying central communities of SE Handbook.","PeriodicalId":438488,"journal":{"name":"2018 Annual IEEE International Systems Conference (SysCon)","volume":"43 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129857783","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Towards a risk analysis method for systems-of-systems based on systems thinking","authors":"J. Axelsson, A. Kobetski","doi":"10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369501","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369501","url":null,"abstract":"The characteristics of systems-of-systems (SoS) present fundamental challenges regarding properties such as safety, security, reliability, and robustness. This is due to the SoS nature where a collection of independent systems cooperate to fulfil certain high-level objectives. Risk analysis is thus an important activity in SoS engineering. This paper presents a risk analysis method which extends the existing STAMP safety analysis method that is based on systems thinking. Our extensions are aimed at coping with other risks than safety, and the usage is tailored to SoS. The method aims at deriving requirements on the constituent systems that will reduce the emergent risks on the SoS as a whole. The method has been applied to a case study of vehicle platooning.","PeriodicalId":438488,"journal":{"name":"2018 Annual IEEE International Systems Conference (SysCon)","volume":"9 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114347531","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Detecting unintended consequences in engineering systems: What can we learn from multi-scale modeling?","authors":"Joana L. F. P. Cardoso, Michael J. Pennock","doi":"10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369594","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369594","url":null,"abstract":"Engineering systems such as transportation, healthcare and energy systems provide critical functions for modern society, but they are growing in both technical and social complexity. As a result, unintended design and policy consequences are becoming more common. Some of these consequences are the aftermath of systems being in the vicinity of critical thresholds, which can trigger abrupt transitions from one system state to another. In models, these thresholds correspond to bifurcations in their predicted behavior. In this paper we investigate whether multi-scale modeling, i.e. the use of distinct models at different scales, has the potential to aid in the discovery of bifurcations in engineering systems. To accomplish this, we reviewed and analyzed the literature on how multi-scale modeling is applied in the physical sciences including biology, material sciences, and physics. What we found is that despite their intended use for discovery, multi-scale models are largely constructed by tuning linkages among the scales to reproduce critical thresholds that have already been discovered empirically. This suggests the need for additional research to develop a systematic approach to introduce hypothesized linkage relationships to generate candidate bifurcations in our models. Such an approach could enable computational models to better inform engineers, managers and policy makers of the range of potential consequences of design and policy decisions.","PeriodicalId":438488,"journal":{"name":"2018 Annual IEEE International Systems Conference (SysCon)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115795624","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Revisiting task complexity: A comprehensive framework","authors":"M. Efatmaneshnik, Holly A. H. Handley","doi":"10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369533","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SYSCON.2018.8369533","url":null,"abstract":"This paper sets out a framework for measuring task complexity. The presented framework is different from other task complexity measurement frameworks in that rather than focusing on the contributing factors to complexity, the focus is on the fine tuning the measurement context. The contributors to complexity at any given context are two things: the size of whatever is represented in the task context, which is the objective complexity; and the distance of those representations from a reference set (or representation) for simplicity. Anything contributing to reference for simplicity is necessarily subjective depending on factors such as familiarity, past experience, training, personal conditions, such as motivation physical and mental abilities etc. The framework promotes a shift from a focus on complexity clarification on simplicity clarification, thus promoting both gross and systemic as well as personalized approaches to alleviating complexity.","PeriodicalId":438488,"journal":{"name":"2018 Annual IEEE International Systems Conference (SysCon)","volume":"18 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115084089","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}