Management Research and Practice最新文献

{"title":"Flood risk perceptions in the Dutch province of Zeeland : does the public still support current policies?","authors":"J. Krywkow, T. Filatova, A. Veen","doi":"10.1201/9780203883020.ch177","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1201/9780203883020.ch177","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":43561,"journal":{"name":"Management Research and Practice","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2009-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"65942498","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Development of a damage and casualties tool for river floods in northern Thailand","authors":"J. Leenders, J. Wagemaker, A. Roelevink, T. Rientjes, G. Parodi","doi":"10.1201/9780203883020.ch202","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1201/9780203883020.ch202","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":43561,"journal":{"name":"Management Research and Practice","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2009-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"65942509","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The importance of spill conceptualizations and head loss coefficients in a quasi two-dimensional approach for river inundation modelling","authors":"Mauricio Villazón, P. Willems","doi":"10.1201/9780203883020.ch37","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1201/9780203883020.ch37","url":null,"abstract":"In a quasi two-dimensional approach, floodplains are modelled by means of a one-dimensional hydrodynamic modelling system through a network of fictitious river branches linked to the main river with spills. This paper analyses the effect of different spill model conceptualizations as well as the effect of selected head loss coefficients. A reduced area of the river Dender in Belgium was implemented in three different river modelling packages: Mike11, InfoWorks-RS and HEC-RAS. Simulations were conducted for three historical flood events and eight synthetic events. Evaluation and comparison was made for the maximum volume of water that passes through the banks to the flood branches, the peak discharges and the water levels in the floodplains. Varying the spill’s head loss coefficients shows variations less than 10 cm for the water level inside the floodplain, while the differences in results between the three modelling packages are as large as 25 cm.","PeriodicalId":43561,"journal":{"name":"Management Research and Practice","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2008-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"65942557","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A framework for Decision Support Systems for flood event management-application to the Thames and the Schelde Estuaries","authors":"D. Lumbroso, M. Mens, M. Vat","doi":"10.1201/9780203883020.ch30","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1201/9780203883020.ch30","url":null,"abstract":"There is a clear need for flood event managers to be able to improve the coordination of their response to flood events. The development of a flood event management Decision Support System (DSS) could assist flood event managers in this by providing information on the flood hazard, the receptors at risk and evacuation routes. This paper describes the development of a general framework for DSSs for flood event management. This framework has been piloted in the Thames Estuary in the UK and the Schelde Estuary in the Netherlands, resulting in the development of two prototype DSSs. Consultation with end users in the UK and the Netherlands indicated that a DSS for flood event management should provide the following: a database of “pre-run” flood events; mapping of the flood hazard; location of the receptors at risk (e.g. people, buildings, critical infrastructure); and details of safe havens and evacuation routes. The two DSSs allow users to compare hazards and risks related to flood event management, using the outputs from hydrodynamic and traffic management models.","PeriodicalId":43561,"journal":{"name":"Management Research and Practice","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2008-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"65942516","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A comparison of evacuation models for flood event management application on the Schelde and Thames Estuaries","authors":"M. Mens, M. V. D. Vat, D. Lumbroso","doi":"10.1201/9780203883020.ch130","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1201/9780203883020.ch130","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":43561,"journal":{"name":"Management Research and Practice","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2008-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"65942459","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A method for developing long-term strategies for flood risk management","authors":"K. D. Bruijn, M. Mens, F. Klijn","doi":"10.1201/9780203883020.ch90","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1201/9780203883020.ch90","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":43561,"journal":{"name":"Management Research and Practice","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2008-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"65942572","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Climate change impact on hydrological extremes along rivers in Belgium","authors":"O. Boukhris, P. Willems","doi":"10.1201/9780203883020.ch127","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1201/9780203883020.ch127","url":null,"abstract":"A methodology to analyze potential climate change impacts on hydrological extremes along rivers in Flanders (Belgium) has been developed. The results show that hydrological modelling techniques driven by climate modelling techniques and climate change scenarios enable a prediction of the long-term evolution of the hydrological system of the studied area. The hydrological system behaviour of the river Dender basin in the Scheldt River Basin District is modeled for an observed historical period and for a future change from the control period (1961-1990) to the predicted period (2071-2100) under forcing of a modified (predicted) climate. The climate induced impact on hydrological extremes is assessed through the comparison of key variables of the hydrological system for the two periods (e.g., runoff peaks, low flow values, overland flow and potential evapotranspiration). The modelling procedure is completed through 24 climate model simulations highly resolute (derived from the PRUDENCE climate project), local scale lumped conceptual hydrological models (NAM of DHI), hydrodynamic models (MIKE11 of DHI) and models for topographical information (DEM: Digital Elevation Models) and risk calculation models covering the studied area. An appropriate downscaling method has been developed counting for variable statistical properties as intensity and frequency. Follo wing this method, potential climate change scenarios for Flanders have been created based on sequences of low, mean and high variation factors for rainfall and potential evapotranspiration. The modelling results show significant reduction of the low flows due to a considerable hydrological regime modification. As for hourly high flows (flood risk), the results range from increasing to decreasing depending on the climate change scenario and counting for a large uncertainty. Overland flow follows similar patterns as for the high flows while evapotranspiration shows systematic increase as a result of regional warming. A statistical method has been implemented for the quantification of the modelling uncertainties induced by the created climate change scenarios. Also a sensitivity analysis has been performed on the climate change scenarios to assess their degree of sensitivity to the process used to generate them and the degree of sensitivity of the hydrological response in turn. has potentially a major impact, especially on economy and human life. These problems are enhanced by a climate change induced modification of the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events as well as periods with low rainfall volumes. The Scheldt River Basin District is likely to be sensitive to potential climate change impacts where the hydrological regime is strongly influenced by water accumulation variation throughout the different sub-basins. A modification of the prevalent climate, especially the variables of rainfall and evapotranspiration, can considerably affect this regime and induce important impacts on the wa","PeriodicalId":43561,"journal":{"name":"Management Research and Practice","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2007-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"65942448","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The Application of Group Technology Principles to Service Operations: A Case Study","authors":"S. Siha, B. Lutz","doi":"10.1016/s1067-5671(97)06022-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s1067-5671(97)06022-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":43561,"journal":{"name":"Management Research and Practice","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"1997-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"56453133","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}