Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan最新文献

Model Makro-Ekonometrika Postur Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Negara (APBN) Indonesia

Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Pub Date : 2022-07-18 DOI: 10.31685/kek.v5i3.959

R. K. Sitepu

{"title":"Model Makro-Ekonometrika Postur Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Negara (APBN) Indonesia","authors":"R. K. Sitepu","doi":"10.31685/kek.v5i3.959","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31685/kek.v5i3.959","url":null,"abstract":"This research aims to develop a Macro-Econometric Model of State Budget Posture and its Application for Impact Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy. The approach used is the Macro-Econometric model, also known as the Indonesian State Budget Posture model. The time span of the data series observation is from 1990â€“2019. The Macro-Econometric Model which is used for APBN Posture is a system of simultaneous equations which is estimated of using two stages least squares (2SLS) method, while the solution to solve the system of equations used the Newton method. The results of the analysis show that economic growth is 2.11 percent, but under the pessimistic scenario, the contraction growth is -2.94%, while in the moderate scenario the contraction is -1.88 percent in 2020. The budget deficit in 2020 is estimated at 6.41 percent of GDP. A budget deficit of below 3 percent of GDP is expected to be achieved in 2023. For the 2020-2024 period, the primary balance is negative, which indicates that the government does not have funds to finance debt interest, so the new debt is also used to pay debt interest. It is more appropriate to finance the budget deficit from domestic sources of funds in order to avoid fluctuations in rupiah exchange rate fluctuations.","PeriodicalId":426920,"journal":{"name":"Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan","volume":"59 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-07-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126568095","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Pelaksanaan Penyanderaan Wajib Pajak 分析影响纳税人实施人质劫持的因素

Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Pub Date : 2021-12-31 DOI: 10.31685/kek.v5i3.489

Arfin Arfin

引用次数: 0

Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Konsumsi Rokok di Indonesia 分析影响印尼香烟消费的因素

Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Pub Date : 2021-11-08 DOI: 10.31685/kek.v5i2.1005

Ghany Vhiera Nizamie, Achmad Kautsar

{"title":"Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Konsumsi Rokok di Indonesia","authors":"Ghany Vhiera Nizamie, Achmad Kautsar","doi":"10.31685/kek.v5i2.1005","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31685/kek.v5i2.1005","url":null,"abstract":"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisa faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi konsumsi rokok di Indonesia. Variabel dalam penelitian ini terdiri dari konsumsi rokok yaitu perokok berat dan perokok ringan sebagai variabel dependen dan tingkat pendidikan, pendapatan, status pekerjaan, usia, jenis kelamin, serta status pekerjaan sebagai variabel independen. Penelitian ini merupakan penelitian kuantitatif. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder yang berasal dari Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS 5) dengan 5600 responden terpilih. Metode analisis yang digunakan yaitu analisis regresi logit. Hasil dari penelitian ini yaitu tingkat pendidikan, pendapatan, status pekerjaan, usia, dan jenis kelamin signifikan berpengaruh terhadap konsumsi rokok. Hasil estimasi yaitu meningkatnya tingkat pendidikan akan menurunkan probabilitas perokok berat sebesar 2,52 persen, peningkatan pendapatan meningkatkan probabilitas perokok berat sebesar 3,74 persen, status pekerjaan informal menurunkan probabilitas perokok berat sebesar 1,9 persen, bertambahnya usia meningkatkan probabilitas perokok berat sebesar 1,35 persen, dan jenis kelamin laki-laki meningkatkan probabilitas sebesar 13,22 persen. Status pernikahan tidak signifikan terhadap konsumsi rokok.","PeriodicalId":426920,"journal":{"name":"Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan","volume":"39 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123639319","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 2

Kajian Kerentanan Ekonomi Indonesia terhadap Pandemi COVID-19

Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Pub Date : 2021-08-23 DOI: 10.31685/kek.v5i2.679

Budhi Fatanza Wiratama, F. Nasida

引用次数: 2

Economy-wide impacts of zero-rated VAT on exports of business services in Indonesia: A CGE analysis 零税率增值税对印尼商业服务出口的整体经济影响:一项CGE分析

Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Pub Date : 2021-08-23 DOI: 10.31685/kek.v5i2.525

Tri Bayu Sanjaya

引用次数: 0

Probability of Default Bank Umum di Indonesia: Alternatif dalam Implementasi Sisitem Premi Deferensial

Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Pub Date : 2021-08-12 DOI: 10.31685/kek.v5i1.531

Nugroho Agung Wijoyo

{"title":"Probability of Default Bank Umum di Indonesia: Alternatif dalam Implementasi Sisitem Premi Deferensial","authors":"Nugroho Agung Wijoyo","doi":"10.31685/kek.v5i1.531","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31685/kek.v5i1.531","url":null,"abstract":"The Indonesian Deposit Insurance Corporation (LPS) initially imposed the flat rate premium system, the same premium rate for all banks, which is 0.2% of the total third party funds (DPK) of commercial banks. However; when there is a change in the value of deposits guaranteed, LPS needs to change from the flat rate premium system to the Differential Premium System. This study uses Probability of Default (PoD), derived from the Merton Model (1974), for each individual Commercial Bank in Indonesia in implementing the Differential Premium System as the mandate of Article 15 paragraph (1) of the Law. Thus, each individual bank will pay a premium in accordance with the probability of default to LPS. This study finds that the average of probability of default of all commercial banks in the period 2002-2014 reaches 57.12%. Bank that has the smallest average Probability of Default (PoD) is Bank 151Â with a PoD of 14.10% and an AA category rating. The second position is Bank 427 with a PoD of 18.20% and a rating of A. While the third position is Bank 14 with a PoD of 18.70% also with a rating of A. This study finds that the Differential Premium System in Indonesia can be implemented, given that LPS revenue will not be reduced much or at least close to the flat rate premium system, when LPS imposes the Differential Premium System.","PeriodicalId":426920,"journal":{"name":"Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan","volume":"7 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128241543","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Efisiensi Administrasi Pajak sebagai Strategi Peningkatan Kemudahan Berusaha di Indonesia 税收管理效率作为一种改善印尼就业的战略

Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Pub Date : 2021-08-12 DOI: 10.31685/kek.v5i1.707

Muhammad Wiryo Susilo

{"title":"Efisiensi Administrasi Pajak sebagai Strategi Peningkatan Kemudahan Berusaha di Indonesia","authors":"Muhammad Wiryo Susilo","doi":"10.31685/kek.v5i1.707","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31685/kek.v5i1.707","url":null,"abstract":"The COVID-19 pandemic threatens the world's investment climate, including Indonesia. Indonesia is required to increase its business ease ranking so that it can compete in attracting investment. Tax administration has an important role as one of the factors determining the ease of doing business according to the World Bank. The ease of paying taxes in Indonesia has continued to increase from time to time but is still lagging behind other countries. This study aims to analyze the efficiency of tax administration in relation to the ease of doing business in Indonesia; enrich the literature on tax administration efficiency policies; and provide recommendations for improvement of ease of doing business through efficiency of tax administration based on tax administration theory and relevant concepts of ease of doing business. This research uses a descriptive qualitative approach. The results showed that the ease of paying taxes in Indonesia is still low and there are three indicators that need to be improved, namely payment, time and filling index. The author recommends simplifying tax payment types, utilizing cashless payment methods through digital services and using Artificial Intelligence in making tax decisions.","PeriodicalId":426920,"journal":{"name":"Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan","volume":"475 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122739059","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Transformasi Hijau dan Implikasinya terhadap Daya Saing Berkelanjutan 它对可持续竞争能力的转变和影响

Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Pub Date : 2021-08-10 DOI: 10.31685/kek.v5i1.787

Kanetasya Sabilla

{"title":"Transformasi Hijau dan Implikasinya terhadap Daya Saing Berkelanjutan","authors":"Kanetasya Sabilla","doi":"10.31685/kek.v5i1.787","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31685/kek.v5i1.787","url":null,"abstract":"Transformasi Hijau dan Implikasinya terhadap Daya Saing BerkelanjutanAbstractThis paper examines the linkage of green transformation and competitive advantage at the global level using constant market share and global value chain analysis. Constant market share analysis is used to measure a countryâ€™s trade contribution by comparing a countryâ€™s export growth with world export growth. Global value chain analysis is also employed to strengthen the constant market share analysis by looking at the role of green transformation in boosting the Indonesian competitiveness in the global supply chain. To achieve the objective of this study, data was collected from secondary sources such as the United Nations Comtrade Database and Asian Development Bank multi-regional input-output (ADB MRIO) for the period of 2000-2018. Constant market share analysis shows that dirty manufactured products from Indonesia can no longer be relied on to compete in the US and European markets due to the increasingly stringent environmental standards and regulations in those countries. Meanwhile, global value chain analysis finds that the clean manufacturing industry has higher competitiveness than the gross manufacturing industry at the global market level. For this reason, this study concludes that the future of Indonesia's manufacturing industry to compete at the global level is in the hand of the clean manufacturing industry.Keywords: green transformation; competitiveness; environmental regulation;Â constant market share analysis;Â global value chain analysisJEL Classification: F14, F18, Q56","PeriodicalId":426920,"journal":{"name":"Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan","volume":"35 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116571941","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Kualitas Pemerintahan Daerah dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Inklusif di Jawa Timur 东爪哇地方政府的质量和经济增长包容

Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Pub Date : 2021-08-10 DOI: 10.31685/kek.v5i1.581

Ferry Prasetyia

引用次数: 0

Bagaimana Peluang Pengguna E-commerce, E-banking dan Internet di Indonesia?

Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Pub Date : 2021-07-23 DOI: 10.31685/kek.v4i3.755

M. Abrar

引用次数: 4