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Dr Z's NFL Guidebook最新文献

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ELO Team Strength Ratings: Predicting Win Probabilities and Point Spreads in NFL Games in 2017-2018 ELO球队实力评级:预测2017-2018年NFL比赛的获胜概率和分差
Dr Z's NFL Guidebook Pub Date : 2018-09-05 DOI: 10.1142/9789813276505_0017
W. Ziemba, L. MacLean
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引用次数: 0
The 2015-2016 Season, Playoffs and the Super Bowl 2015-2016赛季，季后赛和超级碗
Dr Z's NFL Guidebook Pub Date : 2018-09-05 DOI: 10.1142/9789813276505_0013
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引用次数: 0
Misconceptions of the media and the value of proper analysis 对媒体的误解和正确分析的价值
Dr Z's NFL Guidebook Pub Date : 2018-09-05 DOI: 10.1142/9789813276505_0004
W. Ziemba, L. MacLean
{"title":"Misconceptions of the media and the value of proper analysis","authors":"W. Ziemba, L. MacLean","doi":"10.1142/9789813276505_0004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/9789813276505_0004","url":null,"abstract":"In this chapter we discuss a number of interesting ideas including some from the class notes of our late colleague Tom Cover, a Professor of Statistics and Electrical Engineering at Stanford University. Tom took ill and died at the age of 73 in 2016. He taught a course in Sports Statistics and interested numerous students in the topic. Analytics is popular in today’s sports analysis, and Tom was ahead of his time in bringing mathematics and statistics to decision making in sports.","PeriodicalId":414742,"journal":{"name":"Dr Z's NFL Guidebook","volume":"39 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122067309","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Why NFL football is interesting & the plan for this book 为什么NFL足球很有趣&这本书的计划
Dr Z's NFL Guidebook Pub Date : 2018-09-05 DOI: 10.1142/9789813276505_0001
W. Ziemba, L. MacLean
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引用次数: 0
How the Playoffs are organized and the 2009-2010 Playoffs and Super Bowl 季后赛是如何组织的，2009-2010季后赛和超级碗是如何组织的
Dr Z's NFL Guidebook Pub Date : 2018-09-05 DOI: 10.1142/9789813276505_0007
W. Ziemba, L. MacLean
{"title":"How the Playoffs are organized and the 2009-2010 Playoffs and Super Bowl","authors":"W. Ziemba, L. MacLean","doi":"10.1142/9789813276505_0007","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/9789813276505_0007","url":null,"abstract":"The following sections are included:How the playoffs workThe 2010 NFL Super BowlSuper Bowl Playoff Ratings","PeriodicalId":414742,"journal":{"name":"Dr Z's NFL Guidebook","volume":"4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126809272","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The 2012-2013 Playoffs and the Super Bowl 2012-2013年季后赛和超级碗
Dr Z's NFL Guidebook Pub Date : 2018-09-05 DOI: 10.1142/9789813276505_0010
W. Ziemba, L. MacLean
{"title":"The 2012-2013 Playoffs and the Super Bowl","authors":"W. Ziemba, L. MacLean","doi":"10.1142/9789813276505_0010","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/9789813276505_0010","url":null,"abstract":"We take this up after week 16 in late December 2013 and finish on February 2, 2014 after the Super Bowl. There was one more week to play and then each team will have played 16 games with one week off. Some observations.","PeriodicalId":414742,"journal":{"name":"Dr Z's NFL Guidebook","volume":"38 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124930891","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
FRONT MATTER 前页
Dr Z's NFL Guidebook Pub Date : 2018-09-05 DOI: 10.1142/9789813276505_fmatter
{"title":"FRONT MATTER","authors":"","doi":"10.1142/9789813276505_fmatter","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/9789813276505_fmatter","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":414742,"journal":{"name":"Dr Z's NFL Guidebook","volume":"21 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131811690","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Elo Team Strength Ratings: Two Versions Elo团队实力评级:两个版本
Dr Z's NFL Guidebook Pub Date : 2018-09-05 DOI: 10.1142/9789813276505_0005
W. Ziemba, L. MacLean
{"title":"Elo Team Strength Ratings: Two Versions","authors":"W. Ziemba, L. MacLean","doi":"10.1142/9789813276505_0005","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/9789813276505_0005","url":null,"abstract":"The following sections are included:The Swetye Elo Method: which team will win a given football game?The Swetye Elo Power Ratings for NFL teamsThe 538 Elo Power Ratings for NFL teamsAn example was the 2008 Super BowlAn educated guess that paid offElo ratings and the probability of winningEvaluating the Elo Ratings","PeriodicalId":414742,"journal":{"name":"Dr Z's NFL Guidebook","volume":"12 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133700106","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Analytical Tools: Arbitrage, mean reversion, risk arbitrage and the favorite-longshot bias 分析工具:套利、均值回归、风险套利和偏好长线偏好
Dr Z's NFL Guidebook Pub Date : 2018-09-05 DOI: 10.1142/9789813276505_0006
W. Ziemba, L. MacLean
{"title":"Analytical Tools: Arbitrage, mean reversion, risk arbitrage and the favorite-longshot bias","authors":"W. Ziemba, L. MacLean","doi":"10.1142/9789813276505_0006","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/9789813276505_0006","url":null,"abstract":"You can hedge bets as the odds change based on the current score and field position. My experience is that the sports betting market is more efficient than the financial markets, so therefore harder to beat. Of course, die hard efficient market types will like to forget that efficient markets has taken a severe beating in the 1987 and 2007-2009 stock market crashes. They simply cannot explain these events, nor the consistent high returns of some superior investors.","PeriodicalId":414742,"journal":{"name":"Dr Z's NFL Guidebook","volume":"82 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123807609","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Analysis, predictions, results and betting 2017-2018 分析，预测，结果和投注2017-2018
Dr Z's NFL Guidebook Pub Date : 2018-09-05 DOI: 10.1142/9789813276505_0015
{"title":"Analysis, predictions, results and betting 2017-2018","authors":"","doi":"10.1142/9789813276505_0015","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/9789813276505_0015","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":414742,"journal":{"name":"Dr Z's NFL Guidebook","volume":"36 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132773961","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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