East Asian Economic Review最新文献_第5页

Foreign Exchange Rate Uncertainty in Korea 韩国的汇率不确定性

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East Asian Economic Review Pub Date : 2020-06-30 DOI: 10.11644/kiep.eaer.2020.24.2.375

S. Lee

引用次数: 0

The Health Impact of, and access to, New Drugs in Korea 韩国新药对健康的影响和获取途径

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East Asian Economic Review Pub Date : 2020-06-30 DOI: 10.11644/kiep.eaer.2020.24.2.374

F. Lichtenberg

{"title":"The Health Impact of, and access to, New Drugs in Korea","authors":"F. Lichtenberg","doi":"10.11644/kiep.eaer.2020.24.2.374","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11644/kiep.eaer.2020.24.2.374","url":null,"abstract":"We perform an econometric assessment of the role that pharmaceutical innovation— the introduction and use of new drugs—has played in improving the health of Koreans, by investigating whether diseases for which more new drugs were launched had larger subsequent increases in longevity and smaller subsequent increases in hospitalization. Drugs launched during 1993-2012 are estimated to have increased mean age at death from all diseases by 1.71 years between 1995 and 2015 and 1.09 years between 2005 and 2015. We also estimate that new drugs increased the five-year relative survival rate from all cancers combined by 23.2 percentage points—78.5% of the total increase—between 1993-1995 and 2011-2015, and that new drugs launched during 2008-2010 reduced the number of hospital days in 2017 by 13.0 million. If the drugs launched during 2003-2012 had had no effect on other medical expenditure in 2015, the cost per life-year gained would not have exceeded 6332 USD. Therefore, even if we ignore the effect of new drugs on hospital utilization, the drugs launched during 2003-2012 were very cost–effective, overall. When reduced hospital utilization is accounted for, the evidence indicates that, in the long run, pharmaceutical innovation was cost-saving as well as life-year saving.","PeriodicalId":41122,"journal":{"name":"East Asian Economic Review","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2020-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49259226","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Connectedness among Northeast Asian Housing Markets and Business Cycles 东北亚房地产市场与经济周期的连通性

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East Asian Economic Review Pub Date : 2020-06-30 DOI: 10.11644/kiep.eaer.2020.24.2.376

Hahn-Shik Lee, Woori Lee

引用次数: 1

Cross-Border Asset Pledgeability for Enhanced Financial Stability 加强金融稳定的跨境资产质押能力

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East Asian Economic Review Pub Date : 2020-03-31 DOI: 10.11644/kiep.eaer.2020.24.1.373

Gongpil Choi

引用次数: 0

Global Value Chain in East Asia Under "New Normal": Ideology- Technology-Institution Nexus “新常态”下的东亚全球价值链：意识形态与技术制度的关系

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East Asian Economic Review Pub Date : 2020-03-31 DOI: 10.11644/kiep.eaer.2020.24.1.370

Byung-il Choi

{"title":"Global Value Chain in East Asia Under \"New Normal\": Ideology- Technology-Institution Nexus","authors":"Byung-il Choi","doi":"10.11644/kiep.eaer.2020.24.1.370","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11644/kiep.eaer.2020.24.1.370","url":null,"abstract":"This paper analyzes how the current Global Value Chain (GVC) of East Asia has been established, and attempts to project the future trajectory of GVC under New Normal in the global trading system. For this purpose, the framework of Ideology-TechnologyInstitution nexus is presented with focus on the dynamics of interplay between ideology and technology, duly recognizing the dual-aspect of technology- a platform for business and also for national defense. The paper analyzes how the Information and Communication Technology (ICT) of the 1990s played a role of “facilitator” in shaping the GVC of East Asia, where China plays ‘factory for final assembly’ and the US plays ‘the largest consumer’. Under New Normal, digital technology is likely to play the opposite role of “disrupting” the GVC of East Asia, unlike ICT. The paper explores the mechanism behind this great disruption. What is driving New Normal is the US-China power competition, seeking for dominance in East Asia and beyond. This paper argues that New Normal is not temporary shock, but will last for some time. Under this presumption, the paper presents three scenarios for the future trajectory of GVC in East Asia.","PeriodicalId":41122,"journal":{"name":"East Asian Economic Review","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2020-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44246106","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 3

Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Continuous-time Diffusion Models for Exchange Rates 汇率连续时间扩散模型的最大似然估计

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East Asian Economic Review Pub Date : 2020-03-31 DOI: 10.11644/kiep.eaer.2020.24.1.372

Seungmoon Choi, Jaebum Lee

{"title":"Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Continuous-time Diffusion Models for Exchange Rates","authors":"Seungmoon Choi, Jaebum Lee","doi":"10.11644/kiep.eaer.2020.24.1.372","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11644/kiep.eaer.2020.24.1.372","url":null,"abstract":"Five diffusion models are estimated using three different foreign exchange rates to find an appropriate model for each. Daily spot exchange rates expressed as the prices of 1 euro, 1 British pound and 100 Japanese yen in US dollars, respectively denoted by USD/EUR, USD/GBP, and USD/100JPY, are used. The maximum likelihood estimation method is implemented after deriving an approximate log-transition density function (log-TDF) of the diffusion processes because the true log-TDF is unknown. Of the five models, the most general model is the best fit for the USD/GBP, and USD/100JPY exchange rates, but it is not the case for the case of USD/EUR. Although we could not find any evidence of the mean-reverting property for the USD/EUR exchange rate, the USD/GBP, and USD/ 100JPY exchange rates show the mean-reversion behavior. Interestingly, the volatility function of the USD/EUR exchange rate is increasing in the exchange rate while the volatility functions of the USD/GBP and USD/100Yen exchange rates have a U-shape. Our results reveal that more care has to be taken when determining a diffusion model for the exchange rate. The results also imply that we may have to use a more general diffusion model than those proposed in the literature when developing economic theories for the behavior of the exchange rate and pricing foreign currency options or derivatives.","PeriodicalId":41122,"journal":{"name":"East Asian Economic Review","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2020-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138516888","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Inspecting Driving Forces of Business Cycles in Korea 分析韩国经济周期的动力

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East Asian Economic Review Pub Date : 2019-12-31 DOI: 10.11644/kiep.eaer.2019.23.4.369

Yongseung Jung

引用次数: 0

Declining Fixed Investment and Increasing Financial Investment of Korean Corporations 韩国企业的固定投资减少，金融投资增加

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East Asian Economic Review Pub Date : 2019-12-31 DOI: 10.11644/kiep.eaer.2019.23.4.367

Daehwan Kim, Sunhee Kwon, Jai-Won Ryou

{"title":"Declining Fixed Investment and Increasing Financial Investment of Korean Corporations","authors":"Daehwan Kim, Sunhee Kwon, Jai-Won Ryou","doi":"10.11644/kiep.eaer.2019.23.4.367","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11644/kiep.eaer.2019.23.4.367","url":null,"abstract":"This paper aims to determine factors causing the stagnation of Korean firms’ fixed investment after the global financial crisis, using panel data for the period of 1999-2016. Fixed investment remained sensitive to cash flow and Tobin’s q although their effects decreased after the global financial crisis. A decreasing trend of cash flow and an increase in Tobin’s q since the early 2000’s imply that the worsening cash flow was a major factor behind the sluggish investment after the crisis. Meanwhile, debt-equity ratio remained significant for non-chaebol affiliated firms, reflecting disparity in access to external financing. Volatility of stock returns also became insignificant after the crisis, casting doubt on the argument that uncertainty was a major factor contributing to the decline of fixed investment. Analysis of financial investment confirmed the significant effect of cash flow, larger than that on financial investment than on fixed investment. In particular, debt repayment and other financial investment, except share repurchase, were sensitive to cash flow. However, the substitution of fixed investment by financial investment is a consequence, rather than a cause of declining fixed investment.","PeriodicalId":41122,"journal":{"name":"East Asian Economic Review","volume":"7 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2019-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138496283","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Cultural Exchange and Its Externalities on Korea-Africa Relations: How Does the Korean Wave Affect the Perception and Purchasing Behavior of African Consumers? 文化交流及其对韩非关系的外部性:韩流如何影响非洲消费者的认知和购买行为?

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East Asian Economic Review Pub Date : 2019-12-31 DOI: 10.11644/kiep.eaer.2019.23.4.368

Haggai Kennedy Ochieng, Sungsoo Kim

{"title":"Cultural Exchange and Its Externalities on Korea-Africa Relations: How Does the Korean Wave Affect the Perception and Purchasing Behavior of African Consumers?","authors":"Haggai Kennedy Ochieng, Sungsoo Kim","doi":"10.11644/kiep.eaer.2019.23.4.368","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11644/kiep.eaer.2019.23.4.368","url":null,"abstract":"The Korean wave has become a global phenomenon whose effect has been widely studied in Asia, Europe and the US. However the presumption of cultural distance makes it appear unlikely that the Korean wave could gain traction among African consumers of cultural products. As such, a dearth of evidence exists on the effects of the wave in Africa. This paper examines the effect of the wave in East African countries employing both descriptive and Probit model analyses. The results show that, contrary to conventional beliefs, most Africans surveyed perceive value proximity with Korea through the values conveyed in Korean dramas, movies and music. Confucius values, such as filial piety, family love and respect for the elderly are the most appealing to the East African audience. Importantly, contact with Korean wave contents contributes to the respondents’ disposition to form favorable attitude towards Korea. The African consumers of Korea’s cultural products are equally likely to purchase other Korean commercial products. These results remotely suggest that Hallyu may be a tool for advancing Korea’s soft power towards Africa and could generate positive economic externalities.","PeriodicalId":41122,"journal":{"name":"East Asian Economic Review","volume":"7 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2019-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138496282","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Data-Mining Bootstrap Procedure with Potential Predictors in Forecasting Models: Evidence from Eight Countries in the Asia-Pacific Stock Markets 预测模型中具有潜在预测因子的数据挖掘自举程序:来自亚太八个国家股票市场的证据

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East Asian Economic Review Pub Date : 2019-12-31 DOI: 10.11644/kiep.eaer.2019.23.4.366

Hojin Lee

引用次数: 0