{"title":"Shock Value: Bill Smoothing and Energy Price Pass-Through","authors":"Catherine Hausman","doi":"10.3386/w24558","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3386/w24558","url":null,"abstract":"Energy prices are volatile, affect every consumer and industry in the economy, and are impacted by regulations including gas taxes and carbon pricing. Like the pass-through literature in general, the growing energy pass-through literature focuses on marginal prices. However, multi-part pricing is common in energy retail pricing. I examine the retail natural gas market, showing that while marginal prices exhibit full or nearly full pass-through, fixed fees exhibit negative pass-through. This is consistent with the stated desire by utilities and regulators to prevent \"bill shock.\" I discuss implications for pass-through estimation and for proposed alternative pricing structures for regulated utilities.","PeriodicalId":400187,"journal":{"name":"EnergyRN: Energy Economics (Topic)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129861247","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
A. T. Atasoy, Marjolein J. W. Harmsen - van Hout, R. Madlener
{"title":"Strategic Demand Response to Dynamic Pricing: A Lab Experiment for the Electricity Market","authors":"A. T. Atasoy, Marjolein J. W. Harmsen - van Hout, R. Madlener","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3221747","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3221747","url":null,"abstract":"Despite the efforts of restructuring power markets over the last decades, the lack of demand response in the retail electricity markets remains a significant concern. Possible demand response would help to reduce prices and volatility by better matching supply and demand through improved price signals. In this paper we develop a laboratory tool to experimentally investigate the demand response in the electricity market. The baseline treatment constitutes a two-period ‘wait-or-buy’ game with an exogenous first period, an automated supplier, and twenty subject buyers. While the seller offers a fixed number of a product in the market, consumers decide on purchasing the product immediately or waiting until the next period, taking (i) price uncertainty and (ii) inventory risk into account. This treatment captures demand response in the retail market with scarce products. We design an additional treatment by removing the inventory constraint and introducing a devaluation rule, where consumers only bear the price risk – thus mimicking the demand response in the electricity market. We find that in both retail and electricity market treatments consumers play on average the equilibrium predictions and buy strategically. However, there are systematic deviations from rationality in both settings, i.e., consumers buy too soon or wait too long.","PeriodicalId":400187,"journal":{"name":"EnergyRN: Energy Economics (Topic)","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126866952","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Nordic/Baltic Spot Electric Power System Price: Univariate Nonlinear Impulse-Response Analysis","authors":"P. Solibakke","doi":"10.21314/JEM.2018.172","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21314/JEM.2018.172","url":null,"abstract":"This paper revisits the conditional mean and volatility density characteristics of the system price settled by the Nordic/Baltic spot electric power market (1993–2017). The main aim of this paper is an analysis of the nonlinear impulse-response features (shocks) in the nonstorable commodity market. Initially, we extract all deterministic seasonality and nonstationary trend and scale features from the series. A strictly stationary model reports serial correlation for the mean, and clustering, asymmetry and level effects for the volatility. For the mean, the impulse-response analysis reports linear and symmetric mean reversion for any price movements. For the volatility, small price movements show symmetric and decreasing volatility. In contrast, for larger absolute price movements, the volatility shows a nonlinear increase as well as fast-growing negative asymmetries. The impulse persistence is therefore relatively short. With the entrance of renewables into the energy market, the subperiod 2008–17 reports major systematic changes in the mean, volatility, asymmetry and persistence. In fact, the renewables era has changed the fundamental features of the Nordic/Baltic electricity market.","PeriodicalId":400187,"journal":{"name":"EnergyRN: Energy Economics (Topic)","volume":"96 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-02-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122602546","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Simona Bigerna, C. Bollino, Maria Chiara D’Errico, Paolo Polinori
{"title":"The Ideal Competitive Electricity Market. A Simulation for Italy","authors":"Simona Bigerna, C. Bollino, Maria Chiara D’Errico, Paolo Polinori","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3415774","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3415774","url":null,"abstract":"Liberalization in the electricity markets has been characterized by oligopoly conditions and exercise of market power, largely studied in the empirical literature on the supply side. This paper provides a new contribution to the literature on the electricity market presenting a theoretical and empirical model to construct a competitive equilibrium, estimating market power both on the supply and demand side of the day-ahead electricity market. This model provides a useful analysis tool for the policy-maker to implement pro-competitive regulation, explicitly measuring the welfare loss associated with non-competitive market conditions. Results show the effect of non-competitive equilibria for the hourly markets in the period 2013-2014. In an ideal competitive market, prices would be lower than historical prices by about 2-5% and quantities would be higher by about 0.5-1%.","PeriodicalId":400187,"journal":{"name":"EnergyRN: Energy Economics (Topic)","volume":"5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126950408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Promoting Supplier's Environmental Innovation via Emission Taxation","authors":"Bosung Kim, Sang Won Kim, K. Park","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3094878","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3094878","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract With growing concerns about pollutant emissions from manufacturing processes, market-based instruments with emission taxation have become increasingly popular by many governments to incentivize firms' emission reduction efforts. In some industries, however, the amount of pollutant emissions from manufacturers largely depends on the quality of the raw materials provided by their suppliers. In that case, motivating the suppliers' environmental innovation efforts could be crucial for an effective regulatory control of pollutant emissions. Nevertheless, many governments adopt the “polluter pays” principle and impose emission taxes on the manufacturers rather than the suppliers. Hence, a key question for the regulator is whether placing an emission tax burden on manufacturers can effectively incentivize their suppliers' environmental innovation efforts through supply chain contracts that are often times chosen by profit-maximizing manufacturers. Thus motivated, this paper studies the impact of supply chain contracts on suppliers' environmental innovation in the presence of emission taxation. We consider two variants of the wholesale price contract, which are commonly used in this type of settings: the quality requirement contract and the cost sharing contract. We show that the economic incentive of the manufacturer and the environmental incentive of the regulator may not coincide (i.e., the profit-maximizing manufacturer may prefer the quality requirement contract whereas the environmental innovation is much higher under the cost sharing contract). We then show that increasing a tax pressure may discourage the supplier's innovation efforts. More importantly, our results show that a very mild level of tax intensity can maximize the supplier's investment in environmental innovation effectively. We also find that the double counting of emissions (i.e., charging the emission tax on the supplier as well) may discourage suppliers' environmental innovation.","PeriodicalId":400187,"journal":{"name":"EnergyRN: Energy Economics (Topic)","volume":"16 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116757230","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
M. Hesamzadeh, Juan Rosellón, S. Gabriel, I. Vogelsang
{"title":"A Simple Regulatory Incentive Mechanism Applied to Electricity Transmission Pricing and Investment","authors":"M. Hesamzadeh, Juan Rosellón, S. Gabriel, I. Vogelsang","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3070064","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3070064","url":null,"abstract":"The informationally simple approach to incentive regulation applies mechanisms that translate the regulator's objective function into the firm's profit-maximizing objective. These mechanisms come in two forms, one based on subsidies/taxes, the other based on constraints/price caps. In spite of a number of improvements and a good empirical track record simple approaches so far remain imperfect. The current paper comes up with a new proposal, called H-R-G-V, which blends the two traditions and is shown in simulations to apply well to electricity transmission pricing and investment. In particular, it induces immediately optimal pricing/investment but is not based on subsidies. In the transmission application, the H-R-G-V approach is based on a bilevel optimization with the transmission company (Transco) at the top and the independent system operator (ISO) at the bottom level. We show that H-R-G-V, while not perfect, marks an improvement over the other simple mechanisms and a convergence of the two traditions. We suggest ways to deal with remaining practical issues of demand and cost functions changing over time.","PeriodicalId":400187,"journal":{"name":"EnergyRN: Energy Economics (Topic)","volume":"12 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133264918","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Interplay between Liberalisation and Decarbonisation in the European Internal Energy Market","authors":"Anna Marhold","doi":"10.2139/SSRN.3015809","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.3015809","url":null,"abstract":"This contribution explores the interplay between liberalisation and decarbonisation of the European electricity market. The focus of this piece is to see whether liberalisation of the EU electricity market, in Europe realised by means of the unbundling regime, inherently promotes decarbonisation of the grid. In other words, it seeks to explore if decarbonisation of the electrical grid is a positive externality of liberalising the market, absent of any other policies promoting the scale up of renewables in the grid. To this end, it examines existing economic and econometric literature on the issue and places it in the greater context of internal energy market legislation and European energy policy.","PeriodicalId":400187,"journal":{"name":"EnergyRN: Energy Economics (Topic)","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125011410","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
M. Fowlie, Catherine Wolfram, A. Spurlock, A. Todd, Patrick Baylis, Peter A. Cappers
{"title":"Default Effects and Follow-On Behavior: Evidence from an Electricity Pricing Program","authors":"M. Fowlie, Catherine Wolfram, A. Spurlock, A. Todd, Patrick Baylis, Peter A. Cappers","doi":"10.3386/W23553","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3386/W23553","url":null,"abstract":"We study default effects in the context of a residential electricity pricing program. We implement a large-scale randomized controlled trial in which one treatment group is given the option to opt-in to time-based pricing while another is defaulted into the program but allowed to opt-out. We provide dramatic evidence of a default effect – a significantly higher fraction of households defaulted onto the time-based pricing plan enroll in the program, even though opting out simply involved making a phone call or clicking through to a website. A distinguishing feature of our empirical setting is that we observe follow-on behavior subsequent to the default manipulation. Specifically, we observe customers’ electricity consumption in light of the pricing plan they face. This, in conjunction with randomization of the default provision, allows us to separately identify the electricity consumption response of “complacent” households (i.e., those who only enroll in time-based pricing if assigned to the opt-out treatment). We find that the complacent households do reduce electricity use during higher priced peak periods, though significantly less on average compared to customers who actively opt in. However, with complacents comprising approximately 75 percent of the population, we observe significantly larger average demand reductions among consumers assigned to the opt-out group. We examine the extent to which the behavioral responses we observe are consistent with a standard model of switching costs, or with alternative mechanisms including inattention, and preferences constructed based on contextual features of the choice setting.","PeriodicalId":400187,"journal":{"name":"EnergyRN: Energy Economics (Topic)","volume":"144 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123471675","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Unbundling of Ancillary Service: How Does Price Discrimination of Main Service Matter?","authors":"Yao Cui, Izak Duenyas, Özge Sahin","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2724138","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2724138","url":null,"abstract":"We consider a setting where the firm sells a main service (e.g., air travel) and an ancillary service (e.g., baggage delivery) to two types of consumers (high-type and low-type, e.g., business travelers and leisure travelers). We study the firm's decision of whether to unbundle the ancillary service from the main service and charge separate prices. We analyze two types of firms: firms that use uniform pricing of main service and firms that use discriminatory pricing of main service. Our analysis highlights the differences in the structure of optimal ancillary service strategies between the two types of firms. First, a uniform-pricing firm unbundles the ancillary service if the consumers that value the main service higher are also very likely to purchase the ancillary service. On the other hand, a discriminatory-pricing firm unbundles the ancillary service if the consumers that value the main service higher are not very likely to purchase the ancillary service. Second, under uniform pricing, as the firm's proportion of high-type consumers increases, unbundling is more likely to be optimal if the correlation between consumers' main service valuations and ancillary service valuations is high, and bundling is more likely to be optimal if the correlation is low. On the contrary, under discriminatory pricing, as the firm's proportion of high-type consumers increases, bundling is more likely to be optimal if the correlation is high and unbundling is more likely to be optimal if the correlation is low. The differences hinge on the rationale that under uniform pricing, unbundling allows the firm to extract more ancillary surplus from high-type consumers; whereas under discriminatory pricing, bundling allows the firm to extract more ancillary surplus from high-type consumers. Finally, we use these findings to discuss industry practice.","PeriodicalId":400187,"journal":{"name":"EnergyRN: Energy Economics (Topic)","volume":"22 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116191090","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Prospects for Activity in the UKCS to 2050 Under 'Lower for Longer' Oil and Gas Price Scenarios, and the Unexploited Potential","authors":"A. Kemp, L. Stephen","doi":"10.2139/SSRN.3035838","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.3035838","url":null,"abstract":"Using financial simulation modelling, including the Monte Carlo technique, this study makes projections of long term activity in the UK Continental Shelf under \"lower for longer\" oil and gas price scenarios. These were (1) $50 per barrel, and 40 pence per therm, and (2) $60 and 50 pence, all in real terms. The Monte Carlo technique was employed to project the distributions of discoveries from new exploration and the development and operating costs. The modelling was also conducted on a full data set of sanctioned fields, probable and possible fields, and technical reserves to project production, investment costs, operating costs and decommissioning costs to 2050. The modelling was undertaken separately for the 5 main producing areas of the UKCS. Key findings were that by 2050 up to 11 billion barrels of oil equivalent (bn boe) could be economically produced with a large unexploited potential of c. 5 bn boe, mostly located in small fields.","PeriodicalId":400187,"journal":{"name":"EnergyRN: Energy Economics (Topic)","volume":"387 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122874909","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}