Investment Management and Financial Innovations最新文献

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Exploring the impact of cash flow, company size, and debt on financial performance in corporations 探讨现金流、公司规模和债务对公司财务绩效的影响
Investment Management and Financial Innovations Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.22
Arta Hoti Arifaj, Vlora Berisha, Fisnik Morina, Elsa Avdyli
{"title":"Exploring the impact of cash flow, company size, and debt on financial performance in corporations","authors":"Arta Hoti Arifaj, Vlora Berisha, Fisnik Morina, Elsa Avdyli","doi":"10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.22","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.22","url":null,"abstract":"This paper investigates the impact of operating cash flows, company size, and debt (including both cash and operating flows) on the financial performance of Kosovo’s ten most prominent publicly traded companies. Various analytical techniques were employed for hypothesis testing, including OLS linear regression analysis, correlation analysis between variables, and statistical tests such as the T-test and Ratio test. The financial performance analysis involves utilizing Return on Assets (ROA) as the dependent variable, while the independent variables encompass operating cash flows (CFO), firm size, and financial leverage.The study’s findings reveal noteworthy insights. Although cash flow (p > 0.05) is not observed to have a significant impact, larger company size (p < 0.01) is associated with diminished financial performance. Conversely, higher debt leverage (p < 0.01) is linked to enhanced financial performance. Consequently, the results underscore the significant economic implications that firm size and financial leverage hold for the financial performance of corporations in Kosovo, as indicated by ROA.The observation that firms size plays a substantial role in financial performance aligns cohesively with established economic theory. As companies expand, they often encounter challenges related to efficient resource management.","PeriodicalId":39060,"journal":{"name":"Investment Management and Financial Innovations","volume":"89 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78406350","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Analysis of the contribution of IFRS to improving the relevance of financial performance measures: A comparative study with Moroccan Accounting Standards 国际财务报告准则对改善财务绩效指标相关性的贡献分析:与摩洛哥会计准则的比较研究
Investment Management and Financial Innovations Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.21
Adil Laouane, Mohamed Torra
{"title":"Analysis of the contribution of IFRS to improving the relevance of financial performance measures: A comparative study with Moroccan Accounting Standards","authors":"Adil Laouane, Mohamed Torra","doi":"10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.21","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.21","url":null,"abstract":"The implementation of the international accounting framework has led to a new philosophy of estimating and valuing the financial performance of companies. In this respect, the accounting indicators derived from financial statements constitute the classic measures of performance evaluation, such as ROE, ROA, BPA, and Payout. However, their usefulness is contested in the face of market-based indicators like TSR, MVA, PBR, and dividend yield. This paper aims to assess the effect of adopting IFRS on the relevance of financial performance measures through a comparative approach with Moroccan GAAP. At the empirical level, the use of multiple regressions on panel data remains strongly solicited to test the informational relevance of these indicators. In number, there are 115 observations collected from IFRS-adopting companies and 418 observations from non-adopting companies over the period 2013–2022. The study revealed a significant impact of the adoption of IFRS on the informational relevance of accounting indicators (adjusted R2(IFRS) = 71.12% against adjusted R2(Moroccan GAAP) = 55.03%). However, this study found a less significant effect of IFRS on the degree of relevance of stock market performance indicators (adjusted R2 (IFRS) = 50.36% versus adjusted R2(Moroccan GAAP) = 63.84 %). The study also showed a significant effect of IFRS on the complementarity between accounting and stock market performance indicators to explain the total shareholder return (adjusted R2(IFRS) = 69.02% against adjusted R2(Moroccan GAAP) = 58.01%).","PeriodicalId":39060,"journal":{"name":"Investment Management and Financial Innovations","volume":"55 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79585029","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Financial literacy and financial attitude on financial management behavior: An examination of the mediating role of the behavioral intention of students at private universities in Indonesia 财务素养和财务态度对财务管理行为的影响:印尼私立大学学生行为意向的中介作用研究
Investment Management and Financial Innovations Pub Date : 2023-09-06 DOI: 10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.20
Sri Fitri, Indonesia Muhammad, Jufrizen Shareza Hafiz, entan-© Sri, Fitri Wahyuni, Radiman, Muhammad Shareza, Jufrizen Hafiz, Sri Fitri Wahyuni, Hafiz, .Acc Lecturer
{"title":"Financial literacy and financial attitude on financial management behavior: An examination of the mediating role of the behavioral intention of students at private universities in Indonesia","authors":"Sri Fitri, Indonesia Muhammad, Jufrizen Shareza Hafiz, entan-© Sri, Fitri Wahyuni, Radiman, Muhammad Shareza, Jufrizen Hafiz, Sri Fitri Wahyuni, Hafiz, .Acc Lecturer","doi":"10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.20","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.20","url":null,"abstract":"Financial management behavior is an implementation action of planning and managing a person’s financial resources, both in consumption and investment activities, which can show a person’s characteristics in financial management based on the risks that arise so that each needs good control. This study aims to determine the impact of financial literacy and financial attitude on financial management behavior, mediated by the behavioral intentions of university students. The participants in this study are undergraduate students currently enrolled at prestigious private universities in Medan (North Sumatra, Indonesia). This study’s population and sample consisted of students from the Faculty of Economics and Business at Private Universities in North Sumatra, Indonesia. Purposive and snowball sampling were used with data collection techniques, namely online questionnaires. The Likert scale measures indicators in responses to statements and questions. There were 150 respondents for this study’s data collection. The findings of the study indicate that financial literacy influences financial management behavior and behavioral intentions (p < 0.05). Financial attitude affects financial management behavior (p < 0.05), financial attitude does not affect behavioral intentions (p > 0.05), and behavioral intention affects Financial Management Behavior (p < 0.05). Behavioral intentions do not mediate the effect of financial literacy on Financial Management Behavior (p > 0.05), and the effect of financial attitudes on Financial Management Behavior is not mediated by behavioral intentions (p > 0.05).\u0000AcknowledgmentsThis study is supported by all levels of management at Universitas Muhammadiyah Sumatera Utara for funding Fundamental research in 2022 and thanks also to the ranks of the Institute of Research and Community Service (LPPM) Universitas Muhammadiyah Sumatera Utara.","PeriodicalId":39060,"journal":{"name":"Investment Management and Financial Innovations","volume":"107 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85578452","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Relationship between cash holding and capital structure of Vietnamese public companies in the COVID-19 pandemic context 新冠疫情背景下越南上市公司现金持有量与资本结构的关系
Investment Management and Financial Innovations Pub Date : 2023-09-05 DOI: 10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.18
Pham Thi Lan Anh, Dang Ngoc Hung, Vu Thi Thanh Binh
{"title":"Relationship between cash holding and capital structure of Vietnamese public companies in the COVID-19 pandemic context","authors":"Pham Thi Lan Anh, Dang Ngoc Hung, Vu Thi Thanh Binh","doi":"10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.18","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.18","url":null,"abstract":"Determining the capital and cash holdings pattern is among the most critical decisions of firm executives. This study investigates the link between cash holdings and capital structure to help executives consider the best pattern of capital and cash. The study collected a sample of 5,747 observations from public companies in Vietnam during 2019–2022 and employed the panel data regression method for analysis. The findings demonstrate a correlation between capital structure and cash holding ratio that is statistically significant. However, these relationships are inconsistent between the cash holdings and each component of the capital structure. Current debt and total debt ratios have a positive and linear association with cash holdings, while non-current debt ratio has a negative and nonlinear association. The study highlights a heterogeneous association of the cash holding ratio with three proxies of debt structure. The results reveal that, during COVID-19, the effects of the non-current debt ratio on cash holding and of cash holding on the current debt ratio have no statistical significance.","PeriodicalId":39060,"journal":{"name":"Investment Management and Financial Innovations","volume":"5 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85780558","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does management of working capital enhance firm value? Empirical analysis of manufacturing enterprises in India 营运资金管理能提升公司价值吗?印度制造业企业的实证分析
Investment Management and Financial Innovations Pub Date : 2023-09-05 DOI: 10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.19
Rupali Gupta, Sunita Jatav, Gagan Prakash
{"title":"Does management of working capital enhance firm value? Empirical analysis of manufacturing enterprises in India","authors":"Rupali Gupta, Sunita Jatav, Gagan Prakash","doi":"10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.19","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.19","url":null,"abstract":"The long-term financial health of a corporation is assessed by its capacity to meet short-term financial commitments. Optimum working capital that maximizes enterprise value varies across companies. The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether Indian manufacturing enterprises’ firm values are influenced by working capital management efficiency. The data are taken from 2016 to 2022 (a seven-year period) for 223 top BSE-listed manufacturing companies. Firm value (explained variable) is proxied using Tobin’s Q, and the constituents of working capital, which include the net trade cycle, inventory period, debtors’ collection period, and creditor payment period, are taken as explanatory variables. The study also controls for any differences in firm characteristics and economic conditions by employing firm size, age, current ratio, net profit ratio, sale growth and GDP growth rate. Balanced-panel data analysis is conducted by employing a two-step generalized method of moment technique. Net trade cycle, inventory period and debtors’ collection period are found to have a strong and significant positive impact on Tobin’s Q. The findings however did not report any evidence of the significant relationship between creditor payment period and Tobin’s Q. Additionally, the outcomes also evidenced that firm value is positively impacted by company size, net profit ratio, sales growth and GDP, whereas negatively affected by firm age. This paper suggests that manufacturing firms may potentially enhance their firm value by prolonging the net trade cycle, period of inventory and lengthening the credit period to customers till the level of attainment of an optimum working capital.","PeriodicalId":39060,"journal":{"name":"Investment Management and Financial Innovations","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72525645","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of personality traits on investment decision-making: Mediating role of investor sentiment in India 人格特质对投资决策的影响:印度投资者情绪的中介作用
Investment Management and Financial Innovations Pub Date : 2023-09-04 DOI: 10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.17
Aditi N. Kamath, Sandeep S. Shenoy, Subrahmanya Kumar, Subrahmanya Abhilash, N. Kumar
{"title":"Impact of personality traits on investment decision-making: Mediating role of investor sentiment in India","authors":"Aditi N. Kamath, Sandeep S. Shenoy, Subrahmanya Kumar, Subrahmanya Abhilash, N. Kumar","doi":"10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.17","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.17","url":null,"abstract":"The behavior of investors and their investment decision-making process in the financial markets are guided by psychological (sentiments) and personal characteristics (personality traits). Research in recent years has shown the connection between investor sentiment and personality traits and investment decisions. Though academic works in the field of behavioral finance are growing, studies on personality traits and investment decision-making with investor sentiment as a mediator are sparse. To this end, the paper aims to analyze the effects of Indian retail investors’ Big-five personality traits (Neuroticism, Extraversion, Openness to experience, Agreeableness, and Conscientiousness) on their short-term and long-term investment decision-making with the mediating effect of investor sentiment. The study employs the Partial Least Square-Structural Equation Model to test the framed hypotheses. The findings of the study reveal that Neuroticism has a significant positive effect (β=0.352, p<0.05) on investor sentiment. It further shows that Extraversion has a significant positive effect (β=0.186, p<0.05) on long-term decision-making. On the contrary, the consciousness trait has a significant negative effect (β=-0.335, p<0.05) on short-term investment decision-making. Furthermore, the Openness trait demonstrates a significant effect on both short-term and long-term investment decision-making (β=0.357, p<0.05; β=0.007, p<0.05). However, the findings reveal no significant intervening effect of investor sentiment between personality traits and investment decision-making. Thus, the study strongly exerted the impact of investors’ personality traits on their investment decision-making due to the high influence of personal characteristics over sentiment effects.","PeriodicalId":39060,"journal":{"name":"Investment Management and Financial Innovations","volume":"30 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74183646","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Sustainability-related disclosure rules and financial market indicators: Searching for interconnections in developed and developing countries 与可持续性相关的信息披露规则与金融市场指标:发达国家与发展中国家的相互联系
Investment Management and Financial Innovations Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.16
Inna Makarenko, A. Vorontsova, L. Sergiienko, Iryna Hrabchuk, Mykola Gorodysky
{"title":"Sustainability-related disclosure rules and financial market indicators: Searching for interconnections in developed and developing countries","authors":"Inna Makarenko, A. Vorontsova, L. Sergiienko, Iryna Hrabchuk, Mykola Gorodysky","doi":"10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.16","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.16","url":null,"abstract":"In today’s fast-paced business environment, integrating sustainability into financial decision-making has been a key driver of change. As stakeholders increasingly demand greater corporate transparency and accountability, regulatory bodies have stepped in to ensure that sustainability reporting is standardized and robust. This paper aims to establish the relationship between the sustainability-related disclosure rules and the dynamic indicators of the financial market. The object of the study is 74 countries of the world, which are grouped into developed and developing countries. The time period is 2021, for the stock market capitalization indicators – 2020, as the most recent years with available data. The research methods are normality tests (Shapiro-Wilk and Shapiro-Francia test), comparison methods (Student’s t-test and Mann-Whitney U test, regression analysis with dummy variables), linear and non-linear correlation and regression analysis (logarithmic, polynomial). The results obtained confirmed that the sustainability-related disclosure rules are higher in developed countries than in developing ones. At the same time, in developed countries, the growth of such requirements affects the increase in stock price volatility, stock market capitalization, foreign direct and portfolio investments. For developing countries, there is also an increase in the stock market capitalization, portfolio investments and the volume of stock trading. Recognizing these trends can benefit both financial market regulators and participants to encourage the formation of a transparent and efficient financial market, thereby mitigating the problems associated with information asymmetry.","PeriodicalId":39060,"journal":{"name":"Investment Management and Financial Innovations","volume":"66 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82233393","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Who prefers regular dividends? The effect of inventory level and firm operating efficiency on dividends in an emerging market 谁更喜欢定期分红?新兴市场中存货水平和企业经营效率对股利的影响
Investment Management and Financial Innovations Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.15
Haibin Piao, Dachen Sheng
{"title":"Who prefers regular dividends? The effect of inventory level and firm operating efficiency on dividends in an emerging market","authors":"Haibin Piao, Dachen Sheng","doi":"10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.15","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.15","url":null,"abstract":"Stable regular dividends can deliver the steady operation of a firm’s performance to its investors. When firms experience lower operation efficiency and more negative performance, they can affect their cash burden and lower the regular dividends. According to the cash conversion cycle theory, quicker inventory turnover could benefit the firm, and it is a significant signal of efficiency and high performance. In the real business environment, the expectation of future production, logistics and inflation can all affect managers’ decisions. This paper uses data from all Chinese manufacturing companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges from 2017 to 2020 as a sample. The paper provides the empirical causality between inventory turnover, operating efficiency indicators, and dividend distribution, by applying the regression method to find the causality relationship between inventory as the efficiency indicator and the distribution of dividends. The findings indicate that inventory consideration can be complicated and experience the inverse U-shape relationship with dividend decisions. Further, state-owned enterprises (SOEs) have different considerations about operating efficiency. They prefer to pay stable regular dividends, even if they are under pressure on operating efficiency and suffer from large inventories. SOEs believe that following political guidance and meeting their social obligations is their prioritized mission.","PeriodicalId":39060,"journal":{"name":"Investment Management and Financial Innovations","volume":"36 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77290282","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Financial technology development: Implications for traditional banks in Africa 金融科技发展:对非洲传统银行的影响
Investment Management and Financial Innovations Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.14
Daniel Meyer, Tochukwu Timothy Okoli
{"title":"Financial technology development: Implications for traditional banks in Africa","authors":"Daniel Meyer, Tochukwu Timothy Okoli","doi":"10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.14","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.14","url":null,"abstract":"The speed of financial technology (Fintech) adoption in delivering financial services has raised concerns among researchers on the future of traditional banks, especially as authors believe that Fintech comes with both prospects and problems. This study therefore aims to examine the growth, measurements, and the impact of Fintech on traditional banks in a panel of sixteen African countries for the period 1800–2020. These periods were divided into three phases: the analogue (1800–1967), the digital (1967–2008), and the modern phases (2008–2020). The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and descriptive analyses methods were used to investigate the study’s objectives. It found that the analogue era witnessed the birth of Fintech ideas, while the digital era witnessed structural changes within the financial system. Results from the pooled mean group ARDL estimation technique based on the third/modern era reveal that, on average, a unit increase in Fintech adoption significantly reduces bank profitability (ROA) by 12.6%. Hence, although early Fintech adoption poses no threat to bank profitability; however, beyond certain threshold, its continuous adoption reduces profitability. Again, the speed of adjustment at 90.9% per annum is an indication that short-run Fintech disruptive impact/disequilibrium is corrected within one year and one month. The Principal Component Analysis used to generate Fintech index shows that African Fintech’s operation is more susceptible to changes in mobile banking. The study concludes that too much Fintech adoption is unhealthy for traditional banks in Africa and therefore it recommends that Fintech should collaborate with banks to correct for its disruptive impacts.","PeriodicalId":39060,"journal":{"name":"Investment Management and Financial Innovations","volume":"175 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90223340","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Macroeconomic determinants of Jordan’s external debt in the period 1980–2022 using ARDL 使用ARDL分析1980-2022年期间约旦外债的宏观经济决定因素
Investment Management and Financial Innovations Pub Date : 2023-08-28 DOI: 10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.13
A. Baniata, Ahmad Alnawasreh, Faten Nsairat
{"title":"Macroeconomic determinants of Jordan’s external debt in the period 1980–2022 using ARDL","authors":"A. Baniata, Ahmad Alnawasreh, Faten Nsairat","doi":"10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.13","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.13","url":null,"abstract":"This paper addresses the macroeconomic determinants of Jordan’s external debt. The study aims at exploring the impact of foreign direct investment inflows on external debt service, gross domestic product (GDP), inflation, government spending, and real exchange rate, on the external debt of Jordan from 1980 to 2022. The study utilizes the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound cointegration econometric model to establish long-run relationships between variables. The model also investigates short-run dynamics via an error correction model to give insight into how quickly the system returns to equilibrium following a shock. Statistical results demonstrate an inverse link between foreign direct investment and debt, where a 1% increase in investment reduces debt by 0.15311%. Similar patterns are seen with GDP and external debt, where a 1% GDP rise reduces debt by 0.4743%. Government spending shows a direct relationship, with a 1% increase causing a 1.02049% debt rise. Real exchange rate and inflation impact debt, with a 1% rise causing debt to increase by 0.067 and decrease by 0.00771 dollars, respectively, though these effects are relatively small. In the short run, the system adjusts to shocks with an error correction coefficient indicating a 24% correction to equilibrium each period.","PeriodicalId":39060,"journal":{"name":"Investment Management and Financial Innovations","volume":"50 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82513909","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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