Review of Development Finance最新文献

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Do small caps generate above average returns in the Brazilian stock market? 小盘股在巴西股市的回报率是否高于平均水平?
IF 0.6
Review of Development Finance Pub Date : 2018-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rdf.2018.05.002
Matheus José Silva de Souza , Danilo Guimarães Franco Ramos , Marina Garcia Pena , Vinicius Amorim Sobreiro , Herbert Kimura
{"title":"Do small caps generate above average returns in the Brazilian stock market?","authors":"Matheus José Silva de Souza ,&nbsp;Danilo Guimarães Franco Ramos ,&nbsp;Marina Garcia Pena ,&nbsp;Vinicius Amorim Sobreiro ,&nbsp;Herbert Kimura","doi":"10.1016/j.rdf.2018.05.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rdf.2018.05.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Some studies suggest that low capitalization stocks have great potential to provide returns above the market average, although some indicate that investment in small caps should be avoided, since they are market anomalies with low liquidity. This article develops a method based on an automated trading system (ATS) applied to the Brazilian stock market, and investigates the relevance of small caps to the investor. The study indicates that, in the case of the Brazilian stock exchange, although there is a possibility of high returns the profitability of technical analysis of small caps is similar to strategies using blue chips.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":39052,"journal":{"name":"Review of Development Finance","volume":"8 1","pages":"Pages 18-24"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2018-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.rdf.2018.05.002","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43480155","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Financial development and intergenerational education mobility 金融发展与代际教育流动
IF 0.6
Review of Development Finance Pub Date : 2018-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rdf.2018.05.006
Annalisa Russino
{"title":"Financial development and intergenerational education mobility","authors":"Annalisa Russino","doi":"10.1016/j.rdf.2018.05.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rdf.2018.05.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Using years of education as a measure of status, we study the relationship between financial development and intergenerational mobility, focusing on human capital investments boosted by financial deepening. We consider a set of indices to capture different components of the overall intergenerational education mobility. Using a sample of 39 countries, we find that financial development is related to structural mobility but not to exchange mobility. In particular, while we detect an inverted U-shaped relationship between financial development and structural mobility, we do not find any significant relationship with exchange mobility.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":39052,"journal":{"name":"Review of Development Finance","volume":"8 1","pages":"Pages 25-37"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2018-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.rdf.2018.05.006","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49033495","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Bank concentration, competition, and financial inclusion 银行集中度、竞争与普惠金融
IF 0.6
Review of Development Finance Pub Date : 2018-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rdf.2018.05.001
Ann L. Owen, Javier M. Pereira
{"title":"Bank concentration, competition, and financial inclusion","authors":"Ann L. Owen,&nbsp;Javier M. Pereira","doi":"10.1016/j.rdf.2018.05.001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rdf.2018.05.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Expanding access to financial services holds the promise to help reduce poverty and foster economic development. However, little is still known about the determinants of the outreach of financial systems across countries. Our study is the first attempt to employ a large panel of countries, several indicators of financial inclusion and a comprehensive set of bank competition measures to study the role of banking system structure as a determinant of cross-country variability in financial outreach for households. We use panel data from 83 countries over a 10-year period to estimate models with both country and time fixed effects. We find that greater banking industry concentration is associated with more access to deposit accounts and loans, provided that the market power of banks is limited. We find evidence that countries in which regulations allow banks to engage in a broader scope of activities are also characterized by greater financial inclusion. Our results are robust to changes in sample, data, and estimation strategy and suggest that the degree of competition is an important aspect of inclusive financial sectors.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":39052,"journal":{"name":"Review of Development Finance","volume":"8 1","pages":"Pages 1-17"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2018-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.rdf.2018.05.001","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"137277674","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Inflation Forecasts’ Performance in Latin America 拉丁美洲的通货膨胀预测表现
IF 0.6
Review of Development Finance Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rdf.2017.09.002
João Tovar Jalles
{"title":"Inflation Forecasts’ Performance in Latin America","authors":"João Tovar Jalles","doi":"10.1016/j.rdf.2017.09.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rdf.2017.09.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper provides a full characterization of inflation rate forecasts using the mean values from Consensus Economics for a sample of 14 Latin American countries between 1989 and 2014. It also assesses the performance of inflation rate forecasts around business cycles’ turning points. Results show that inflation forecasts in the region display the standard property that as the forecast horizon shortens accuracy improves. On average, forecasters underpredict inflation, but this masks very different country experiences. We find evidence point to biasedness of inflation forecasts for year-ahead forecasts but not for current year. Tests’ results point to forecast inefficiency which is also evidenced by a tendency to smooth them between revisions. Focusing on business cycle turning points, forecasters tend to slightly underpredict the inflation rate and the extent of underprediction increases during recessions. The hypothesis of forecast efficiency is overwhelmingly rejected both during recessions and recoveries.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":39052,"journal":{"name":"Review of Development Finance","volume":"7 2","pages":"Pages 157-168"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2017-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.rdf.2017.09.002","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41858823","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Regulating capital flows in emerging markets: The IMF and the global financial crisis 规范新兴市场的资本流动:国际货币基金组织与全球金融危机
IF 0.6
Review of Development Finance Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rdf.2017.05.002
Kevin P. Gallagher , Yuan Tian
{"title":"Regulating capital flows in emerging markets: The IMF and the global financial crisis","authors":"Kevin P. Gallagher ,&nbsp;Yuan Tian","doi":"10.1016/j.rdf.2017.05.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rdf.2017.05.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In the wake of the financial crisis the International Monetary Fund (IMF) began to publicly express support for what have traditionally been referred to as ‘capital controls’. This paper empirically examines the extent to which the change in IMF discourse on these matters has resulted in significant changes in actual IMF policy advice. By creating and analyzing a database of IMF Article IV reports, we examine whether the financial crisis had an independent impact on IMF support for capital controls. We find that the IMF’s level of support for capital controls has increased as a result of the crisis and as the vulnerabilities associated with capital flows accentuate.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":39052,"journal":{"name":"Review of Development Finance","volume":"7 2","pages":"Pages 95-106"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2017-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.rdf.2017.05.002","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41425518","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 25
Examining evidence of ‘shift-contagion’ in African stock markets: A CoVaR-copula approach 研究非洲股市“转移传染”的证据:一种CoVaR-copula方法
IF 0.6
Review of Development Finance Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rdf.2017.09.001
Gideon Boako, Paul Alagidede
{"title":"Examining evidence of ‘shift-contagion’ in African stock markets: A CoVaR-copula approach","authors":"Gideon Boako,&nbsp;Paul Alagidede","doi":"10.1016/j.rdf.2017.09.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rdf.2017.09.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper examines for the first time contagion to African stock markets with particular attention to the quantification of, and testing for the impact of (extreme) downside movements in foreign exchange and developed stock markets on the (extreme) downside risks in Africa stock markets. Using data of weekly periodicity, the empirical analysis captured the pre, during (both turmoil and acute), and post periods of the 2007–2009 global financial crisis. We analyzed contagion by comparing (extreme) downside cumulative mean distribution conditional value-at-risk (CoVaR) values for African stock markets for successive periods and tested for significance of contagion using the Kolmogorov–Smirnoff (KS) bootstrap technique. We used the KS statistic to test the hypothesis of equality or no systemic impact between the conditional African stock market return quantiles (for different successive sub-samples). CoVaR values are computed from four copula specifications — <em>Gaussian, Student-t, Gumbel and Rotated Gumbel.</em> By situating the empirical analysis within the shift-contagion thesis, we found evidence of contagion from some exchange rate and developed equity markets to African stocks only in the acute and the post-crisis periods. The findings are consistent with the view that global shocks propagation to developing markets may stagger during crisis and intensify post-crisis. A practical implication from the results is that given the relatively scarce resources and levels of technological know-how available to African governments, efforts to wean the continent’s equity markets from adverse effects of global market crashes should be geared towards plans and programmes to mitigate the shocks not at the early stages but latter stages, where the effects to Africa could be pronouncedly felt.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":39052,"journal":{"name":"Review of Development Finance","volume":"7 2","pages":"Pages 142-156"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2017-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.rdf.2017.09.001","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47436242","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 17
Political uncertainty and firm risk in China 中国的政治不确定性与企业风险
IF 0.6
Review of Development Finance Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rdf.2017.06.001
Danglun Luo , K.C. Chen , Lifan Wu
{"title":"Political uncertainty and firm risk in China","authors":"Danglun Luo ,&nbsp;K.C. Chen ,&nbsp;Lifan Wu","doi":"10.1016/j.rdf.2017.06.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rdf.2017.06.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The political uncertainty surrounded by the turnover of government officials has a major impact on local economies and local firms. This paper investigates the relationship between the turnover of prefecture-city officials and the inherent risk faced by local firms in China. Using data from 1999 to 2012, we find that prefecture-city official turnovers significantly increased firm risk. Our results show that the political risk was mitigated when new prefecture-city officials were well connected with their provincial leaders. In addition, the impact of political uncertainty was more pronounced for regulated firms and firms residing in provinces with low market openness.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":39052,"journal":{"name":"Review of Development Finance","volume":"7 2","pages":"Pages 85-94"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2017-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.rdf.2017.06.001","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42145751","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 32
The exposure of microfinance institutions to financial risk 小额信贷机构面临的金融风险
IF 0.6
Review of Development Finance Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rdf.2017.04.001
Thomas Gietzen
{"title":"The exposure of microfinance institutions to financial risk","authors":"Thomas Gietzen","doi":"10.1016/j.rdf.2017.04.001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rdf.2017.04.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study examines the exposure of microfinance institutions to liquidity-, interest rate and foreign exchange (FX) risk. Using manually collected data from microfinance institutions’ financial reporting, I find that the microfinance sector faces minimal liquidity risk, high interest rate risk and a lower than commonly assumed exposure to FX risk. Linking risk exposure to institutional characteristics, the data shows that legal status and regional affiliation are correlated with risk exposure while regulatory quality is not. Results suggest that the development community may not expect large benefits from expanding the plethora of current measures taken to mitigate liquidity or FX risk.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":39052,"journal":{"name":"Review of Development Finance","volume":"7 2","pages":"Pages 120-133"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2017-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.rdf.2017.04.001","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"137270067","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The role of financial development in poverty reduction 金融发展在减贫中的作用
IF 0.6
Review of Development Finance Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rdf.2017.10.001
Johan Rewilak
{"title":"The role of financial development in poverty reduction","authors":"Johan Rewilak","doi":"10.1016/j.rdf.2017.10.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rdf.2017.10.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper investigates whether financial development is conducive in poverty reduction. Separating financial development into four categories and using newly available data this paper finds that both financial deepening and greater physical access is beneficial in reducing the proportion of people below the poverty line. Using alternative measures of financial instability, the results also challenge existing findings that it may increase the incidence of poverty. In addition, the results remain robust even when controlling for mobile money, providing a further valuable contribution to the literature.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":39052,"journal":{"name":"Review of Development Finance","volume":"7 2","pages":"Pages 169-176"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2017-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.rdf.2017.10.001","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48240841","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 110
Regional economic integration in Mercosur: The role of real and financial sectors 南方共同市场的区域经济一体化:实体和金融部门的作用
IF 0.6
Review of Development Finance Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rdf.2017.05.001
Hem C. Basnet , Gyan Pradhan
{"title":"Regional economic integration in Mercosur: The role of real and financial sectors","authors":"Hem C. Basnet ,&nbsp;Gyan Pradhan","doi":"10.1016/j.rdf.2017.05.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rdf.2017.05.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study explores economic interdependence in Mercosur by examining common trends and common cycles among key macro-variables representing both the real and financial sectors of the economy. The serial correlation common features test reveals that the key macroeconomic variables (real output, investment, and intra-regional trade) share common trends in the long run suggesting that macroeconomic interdependence in the Mercosur economies is strong. The exchange rates demonstrate co-movement in the long run as they share a single common trend. These finding suggests that these economies cannot swing away from long-run equilibrium for an extended duration; they will be brought together by their common trends. Similarly, each variable under consideration shares common cycles lending support to the notion of short-run synchronous movement. The trend-cycle decomposition results reveal that the cyclical movements of real output and trade are synchronized with a high degree of positive correlations. Our overall findings thus provide justification and optimism for deeper economic integration among Mercosur countries.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":39052,"journal":{"name":"Review of Development Finance","volume":"7 2","pages":"Pages 107-119"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6,"publicationDate":"2017-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.rdf.2017.05.001","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45661969","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 9
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