Strategic CommentsPub Date : 2021-11-26DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2021.2015182
{"title":"China and strategic competition in a divided Pacific Islands region","authors":"","doi":"10.1080/13567888.2021.2015182","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13567888.2021.2015182","url":null,"abstract":"While China has increased its engagement with and investment in the Pacific Island region since the mid-2000s, few states there have the fiscal capacity to take advantage of the large infrastructure loans that Beijing has offered as part of its global Belt and Road Initiative. However, several large Chinese companies in the construction and telecommunications sectors are now well established in the Pacific Islands and are looking for more business. China’s activities have prompted other countries – including Australia, France and the United States – to increase their own participation in regional affairs, which was one of the factors that caused a significant dispute at the Pacific Islands Forum in February 2021","PeriodicalId":38903,"journal":{"name":"Strategic Comments","volume":" ","pages":"i - iii"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48695788","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Strategic CommentsPub Date : 2021-11-26DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2021.2022903
{"title":"The military–civilian fight for control over Sudan’s government","authors":"","doi":"10.1080/13567888.2021.2022903","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13567888.2021.2022903","url":null,"abstract":"In 2019, when Sudan’s long-time president Omar al-Bashir was ousted in a revolution, civilian and military leaders in the country initiated a delicate transition process to create a new form of civilian-controlled government. This process was interrupted in October 2021, when Lieutenant General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan deposed and arrested the prime minister, Abdalla Hamdok. The armed forces have controlled the Sudanese government for most of the country’s history, and many senior officers were against the transition to civilian rule. A large, nationwide protest movement emerged in response to the coup and has continued to demand an end to military interference in the government, even after Burhan restored Hamdok to office in November. This is because the prime minister now appears to be governing at the behest of the armed forces.","PeriodicalId":38903,"journal":{"name":"Strategic Comments","volume":" ","pages":"x - xii"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45057012","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Strategic CommentsPub Date : 2021-10-21DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2021.2014116
{"title":"Ethiopia’s ruptured state","authors":"","doi":"10.1080/13567888.2021.2014116","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13567888.2021.2014116","url":null,"abstract":"Since November 2020, Ethiopia’s government has been fighting a civil war against forces loyal to the Tigray People’s Liberation Front, based in the northern Tigray region along the country’s border with Eritrea. The government, led by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, has failed to stop a Tigrayan advance towards the capital and there is a risk that it will collapse. Foreign diplomats have been pushing for a negotiated ceasefire, but the chances of this happening are slim because both sides have imposed unworkable preconditions.","PeriodicalId":38903,"journal":{"name":"Strategic Comments","volume":" ","pages":"ix - xi"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47091339","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Strategic CommentsPub Date : 2021-10-21DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2021.2013040
{"title":"Rising international support for Taiwan","authors":"","doi":"10.1080/13567888.2021.2013040","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13567888.2021.2013040","url":null,"abstract":"In 2021, a growing number of countries have been willing to join the United States in making statements supporting peace and stability in Taiwan, and some, including Canada and the United Kingdom, have sent military vessels to transit the Taiwan Strait. This can be explained at least in part as a reaction to Beijing’s crackdown on political autonomy in Hong Kong in 2020, which effectively ended the ‘one country, two systems’ arrangement that had been in place. The US, under presidents Donald Trump and Joe Biden, has in recent years departed from several long-standing norms in its relations with Taiwan and is offering higher levels of political and military support to the island. In this environment it will be more difficult for China to isolate Taiwan when the two disagree.","PeriodicalId":38903,"journal":{"name":"Strategic Comments","volume":" ","pages":"vi - viii"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43560296","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Strategic CommentsPub Date : 2021-10-21DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2021.2012027
{"title":"The UN climate conference in Glasgow","authors":"","doi":"10.1080/13567888.2021.2012027","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13567888.2021.2012027","url":null,"abstract":"The United Nations held its annual climate-change conference in early November 2021. The event served as a forum for countries to revisit the climate pledges they made under the 2015 Paris agreement and to offer revised plans for meeting these commitments in the decades ahead. Several large carbon-emitters – including Australia, Brazil, China, Indonesia, Mexico and Russia – revealed plans that were not significantly more ambitious than those made in 2015. However, new agreements were reached at the conference relating to methane and coal, and the United States and China agreed to a joint declaration describing steps they will take in the coming years to work together on climate change. In summary, a significant gap remains between pledged emissions reductions and those needed to keep average, long-term warming below the target described in the Paris agreement.","PeriodicalId":38903,"journal":{"name":"Strategic Comments","volume":"27 1","pages":"i - ii"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46345736","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Strategic CommentsPub Date : 2021-10-21DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2021.2012068
{"title":"The economic and security implications of China’s activities in the South China Sea","authors":"","doi":"10.1080/13567888.2021.2012068","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13567888.2021.2012068","url":null,"abstract":"China has been conducting seismic surveys in areas of the South China Sea claimed by other countries – including Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Vietnam – while issuing threats to prevent many of these countries from conducting their own resource exploration. In behaving this way, China may be pursuing economic or strategic goals, or some combination of the two. While China’s behaviour is damaging the country’s relations with its maritime neighbours in Southeast Asia, Beijing has suffered no real costs as a result and will probably continue asserting its interests within its vaguely defined ‘nine-dash’ or ‘U-shaped’ line, which encompasses nearly all of the South China Sea.","PeriodicalId":38903,"journal":{"name":"Strategic Comments","volume":" ","pages":"iii - v"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48322018","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Strategic CommentsPub Date : 2021-09-14DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2021.2006931
{"title":"The end of the ceasefire in Western Sahara","authors":"","doi":"10.1080/13567888.2021.2006931","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13567888.2021.2006931","url":null,"abstract":"In November 2020, the Polisario Front resumed its armed campaign against Morocco’s occupation of Western Sahara after a ceasefire that had lasted nearly 30 years. The group represents the Sahrawi people, many of whom fled the territory and now live in refugee camps located in western Algeria. Sahrawis had grown frustrated by a long, fruitless peace process led by the United Nations and it appears that they are broadly supportive of the Polisario Front’s new offensive. Indeed, the group has few options but to proceed with a military escalation while seeking further assistance from Algeria, which has long been its primary international supporter.","PeriodicalId":38903,"journal":{"name":"Strategic Comments","volume":"27 1","pages":"xi - xiii"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42129026","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Strategic CommentsPub Date : 2021-09-14DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2021.1991633
{"title":"Moldova’s new pro-EU government","authors":"","doi":"10.1080/13567888.2021.1991633","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13567888.2021.1991633","url":null,"abstract":"Moldovan legislative elections in July 2021 brought to power a political party – the Party of Action and Solidarity – that favours closer relations with the European Union and with the country's neighbours, Romania and Ukraine, in part to gain leverage in managing Moldova’s complex relationship with Russia. However, this may persuade Moscow to both raise barriers to further cooperation with Chișinău on trade and energy issues and to increase its support for the separatist regime in Transnistria.","PeriodicalId":38903,"journal":{"name":"Strategic Comments","volume":" ","pages":"i - iii"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47964937","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Strategic CommentsPub Date : 2021-09-14DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2021.2003083
{"title":"The Marib front in Yemen’s Civil War","authors":"","doi":"10.1080/13567888.2021.2003083","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13567888.2021.2003083","url":null,"abstract":"In February 2021, the Houthi movement in Yemen launched a new offensive to capture the strategically significant Marib province. The group – which has controlled Yemen’s capital, Sanaa, since 2015 – is supported by Iran. The Yemeni government is supported by a coalition of countries led by Saudi Arabia and has fought the Houthis to a standstill with help from the Saudis in the form of airstrikes. If the Houthis succeed in capturing Marib, the group could use proceeds from the region’s natural resources to extend its offensive to the east and south.","PeriodicalId":38903,"journal":{"name":"Strategic Comments","volume":"27 1","pages":"vii - x"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43997214","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Strategic CommentsPub Date : 2021-08-09DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2021.1980287
{"title":"Pakistan’s relations with the US after the fall of Kabul","authors":"","doi":"10.1080/13567888.2021.1980287","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13567888.2021.1980287","url":null,"abstract":"US–Pakistan relations are entering a new phase following the withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan after nearly 20 years and the Taliban’s rise to power in Kabul. Pakistan’s civilian leaders would like to see relations with the US focused less on security and more on trade and economic issues. But to the extent the US remains involved in the region, it will probably be for counter-terrorism purposes, not as an investor in or political partner of Pakistan.","PeriodicalId":38903,"journal":{"name":"Strategic Comments","volume":" ","pages":"i - iii"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45168181","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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