A. McLean, D. Schwert, K. M. Macek-rowland, T. DeSutter, H. O'Neill, James M Shultz
{"title":"Disaster Prevention Achieved","authors":"A. McLean, D. Schwert, K. M. Macek-rowland, T. DeSutter, H. O'Neill, James M Shultz","doi":"10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190466145.013.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190466145.013.1","url":null,"abstract":"Many communities in the US Upper Midwest have been battling record floods in recent decades. This chapter focuses on a spring flood event in 2009, when the Greater Fargo area avoided destruction from the Red River of the North by utilizing mitigation efforts. Included in the undertaking was the mobilization of the community to place millions of sandbags, as well as the creative repurposing of resources. This case study presents a model of community resilience in a geographically vulnerable region. It illustrates the achievement of flood disaster prevention in the face of imminent and severe threat; the reinforcement and enhancement of community resilience based on averting disaster; the channeling of fear-related behaviors into constructive community actions; and the complexity of factors that create unique flood risks along the Red River of the North. Lessons-learned provided for not only a recovery framework, but also a recognition of the value of behavioral health leadership in disaster situations.","PeriodicalId":380967,"journal":{"name":"The Oxford Handbook of Complex Disaster Risks and Resilience","volume":"2015 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-11-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132930086","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"On the Use of Synthetic Populations to Assess Health Risks of Complex Disasters","authors":"S. Swarup, J. Gohlke, J. Bohland","doi":"10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190466145.013.7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190466145.013.7","url":null,"abstract":"The pathways from climate change and related disasters to health outcomes can be conceptualized as direct (primary) or indirect (secondary or tertiary). How these pathways impact the health of a given population are the result of complex interactions between climate-induced forcing functions, non-climatic environmental risk factors, community socio-economic structures and processes, and the health attitudes and behaviors of individuals and groups. These interactions vary by place and over time to create a complex mosaic of health risks. To address the complexity of the consequences of climate change across space and time, planning and policy approaches have typically used post-hoc analyses and have extrapolated relationships temporally without the ability in most instances to account for new contextual conditions at a place.The focus of this handbook chapter is to describe and illustrate how agent-based modeling of synthetic populations could be used to create reasonable scenarios of current and future health risks associated with climate change and related disasters. As an example of the utility of the platform, the chapter provides an estimate of extreme heat exposures of individuals in one region of the United States. Additionally, it gives examples of further applications of synthetic population modeling for assessing health risks following an acute natural disaster, such as a hurricane or earthquake.","PeriodicalId":380967,"journal":{"name":"The Oxford Handbook of Complex Disaster Risks and Resilience","volume":"62 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-11-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131434128","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}