Samayan Narayanamoorthy , Subramaniam Pragathi , Meshal Shutaywi , Ali Ahmadian , Daekook Kang
{"title":"Analysis of Vaccine efficacy during the COVID-19 pandemic period using CSF-ELECTRE-I approach","authors":"Samayan Narayanamoorthy , Subramaniam Pragathi , Meshal Shutaywi , Ali Ahmadian , Daekook Kang","doi":"10.1016/j.orp.2022.100251","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.orp.2022.100251","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>COVID-19 vaccinations have been shown to be safe, efficacious, and life-saving. They, like other vaccines, do not entirely protect everyone who receives them, and no one knows how effectively they can prevent people from spreading the virus to others or whether the booster dosage is dangerous to some vulnerable people. So, in addition to getting vaccinated, we must continue with additional efforts to combat the pandemic. Quantitatively, the pragmatic, appropriate, and phenomenal mechanism of the complex spherical fuzzy set enhances the decision-making efficacy and the ordering quality of the ELECTRE I method to include a profitable and optimal approach for MAGDM. In the CSF environment, critically ill patients are investigated systematically using a pairwise comparison based ELECTRE-I technique. In this paper, we improve the precision of the CSF-based ELECTRE-I approach to an unique score function. The suggested approach’s comparability is examined with techniques that should provide equal importance to the alternatives, and the presented score function’s reliability is validated using the existing score function with the two cases.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":38055,"journal":{"name":"Operations Research Perspectives","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100251"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214716022000227/pdfft?md5=7ab1a1740ca8b0317563a2b32c58feff&pid=1-s2.0-S2214716022000227-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42997860","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Originating multiple-objective portfolio selection by counter-COVID measures and analytically instigating robust optimization by mean-parameterized nondominated paths","authors":"Yue Qi , Kezhi Liao , Tongyang Liu , Yu Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.orp.2022.100252","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.orp.2022.100252","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The COVID-19 pandemic is unleashing crises of humanity, economy, and finance. Portfolio selection is widely recognized as the foundation of modern financial economics. Therefore, it is naturally crucial and inviting to utilize portfolio selection in order to counter COVID-19 in stock markets. We originate a counter-COVID measure for stocks, extend portfolio selection, and construct multiple-objective portfolio selection. Because of the uncertainty in measuring counter-COVID, we perform robust optimization. Specifically, we analytically compute the optimal solutions as a trail of an optimal portfolio due to the change of counter-COVID. We call the trail as <em>mean-parameterized nondominated path</em>. Moreover, the path is a continuous function of the change, so the portfolio relatively mildly varies for the change. In contrast, researchers typically still focus on 2-objective robust illustrations and infrequently explicitly compute the optimal solutions for multiple-objective portfolio optimization.</p><p>To the best of our knowledge, there is limited research for multiple-objective portfolio selection of COVID and for the robust optimization of multiple-objective portfolio selection. In such an area, this paper contributes to the literature. The implications to fight COVID are that investors minimize risk, maximize return, and maximize counter-COVID in stock markets and that investors ascertain the multiple-objective portfolio selection as relatively robust.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":38055,"journal":{"name":"Operations Research Perspectives","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100252"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214716022000239/pdfft?md5=d1f0e334479111d73bd0eeb96acb6a6d&pid=1-s2.0-S2214716022000239-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45926920","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Nonconvex multicommodity near equilibrium models: Energy markets perspective","authors":"J. David Fuller, Mehrdad Pirnia","doi":"10.1016/j.orp.2022.100243","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orp.2022.100243","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this paper we explore the application of the minimum total opportunity cost (MTOC) model of Fuller and Celebi (2017) to multicommodity market planning models containing binary variables and price sensitive demands, with or without substitution among commodities. We present a greatly simplified derivation of the MTOC approximation of Fuller and Celebi (2017), here called the near equilibrium (NE) model, a mixed integer program with nonlinearities only in the objective function. For some models, the NE solution achieves the MTOC solution exactly, as in an example. We provide a simple example of capacity expansion in gas and electricity markets that are linked through substitution in demand and in the possibility of using gas to produce electricity. In several cases, we compare the NE solution to the social welfare (SW) maximization solution calculated by a sequential optimization algorithm. In one case, the sequential optimization algorithm fails to converge, due to the binary variables. For the other cases, the NE model has smaller producer opportunity costs – in particular, in most cases, smaller make whole payments that bring negative producer profits up to zero – at some sacrifice of social welfare. We suggest that the NE model could be useful to government regulators as a supplementary tool along with SW models, as the NE solution usually reduces subsidies needed for make whole payments, and sometimes benefits consumers compared to the SW solution.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":38055,"journal":{"name":"Operations Research Perspectives","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100243"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214716022000161/pdfft?md5=330a37ae91646562d610ce344a2e5848&pid=1-s2.0-S2214716022000161-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"137141100","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impact of preservation technology investments on lot-sizing and shipment strategies in a three-echelon food supply chain involving growing and deteriorating items","authors":"Makoena Sebatjane","doi":"10.1016/j.orp.2022.100241","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.orp.2022.100241","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Food production systems are complex industrial operations that often involve multiple parties. This study proposes inventory management strategies for a multi-echelon perishable food supply chain with growing and deteriorating items. The upstream end of the proposed food supply chain is the farming echelon where newborn growing items are reared to maturity. Following this, the items are sent to the processing echelon for processing, a term that collectively describes activities such as slaughtering, cutting and packaging. The aim of the processing echelon is to transform live growing items into processed food products that are suitable for human consumption. The downstream end of the supply chain is the retail echelon where consumer demand for processed food products is met. Once the items are processed, they are subject to deterioration at both the processing and retail echelons. In light of this, an integrated inventory model aimed at optimising the performance of the entire food supply chain is formulated. The impact of investing in preservation technologies is also investigated due to the perishable nature of food products. To do this, a secondary model that incorporates an investment in preservation technologies is formulated. The model, representing a simplified industrial food production system, is aimed at jointly optimising the lot-size, number of shipments, growing cycle duration, processing cycle duration and the preservation technology investment amount. The results from the numerical example demonstrate that the preservation technology investment is worthwhile because it results in reduced inventory management costs across the supply chain.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":38055,"journal":{"name":"Operations Research Perspectives","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100241"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221471602200015X/pdfft?md5=10abb4ba01fc6baebb53b82acd7a1ca9&pid=1-s2.0-S221471602200015X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46968454","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Gaia Gasparini, Matteo Brunelli, Marius Dan Chiriac
{"title":"Multi-period portfolio decision analysis: A case study in the infrastructure management sector","authors":"Gaia Gasparini, Matteo Brunelli, Marius Dan Chiriac","doi":"10.1016/j.orp.2021.100213","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.orp.2021.100213","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper presents an approach to select and plan the optimal execution of potential investment activities. The model is composed by a computational part, in the form of a combinatorial optimization problem, coupled with a preference elicitation module used to capture subjective judgments. In particular, the structure of the elicitation module draws from portfolio decision analysis and Multi-Attribute Value Theory and shows how their use can be integrated with a multi-period optimization problem with activities durations and constraints on their overlaps. The problem formulation was inspired by a real-world infrastructure management case in the energy distribution sector and tested on a dataset of more than three hundred activities of improvement of infrastructure conditions. Finally, the approach proposed in this paper is validated by analyzing its results and its robustness concerning the input data of the real-world case study.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":38055,"journal":{"name":"Operations Research Perspectives","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100213"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214716021000282/pdfft?md5=144aae29c49709f453cac001337a4150&pid=1-s2.0-S2214716021000282-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46995644","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yuxun Zhou, Mohammad Mafizur Rahman, Rasheda Khanam, Brad R. Taylor
{"title":"The impact of penalty and subsidy mechanisms on the decisions of the government, businesses, and consumers during COVID-19 ——Tripartite evolutionary game theory analysis","authors":"Yuxun Zhou, Mohammad Mafizur Rahman, Rasheda Khanam, Brad R. Taylor","doi":"10.1016/j.orp.2022.100255","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.orp.2022.100255","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Purpose</h3><p><strong>–</strong> Based on the fact that punishment and subsidy mechanisms affect the anti-epidemic incentives of major participants in a society, the issue of this paper is how the penalty and subsidy mechanisms affect the decisions of governments, businesses, and consumers during Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19).</p></div><div><h3>Design/Methodology/approach</h3><p><strong>-</strong> This paper proposes a tripartite evolutionary game theory, involving governments, businesses, and consumers, to analyze the evolutionary stable strategies and the impact of penalty and subsidy mechanism on their strategy selection during COVID-19. We then uses numerical analysis to simulate the strategy formation process of governments, businesses, and consumers for the results of tripartite evolutionary game theory.</p></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><p><strong>–</strong> This paper suggests that there are four evolutionary stable strategies corresponding to the actual anti-epidemic situations. We find that different subsidy and penalty mechanisms lead to different evolutionary stable strategies. High penalties for businesses and consumers can prompt them to choose active prevention strategies no matter what the subsidy mechanism is. For the government, the penalty mechanism is better than the subsidy mechanism, because the excessive subsidy mechanism will raise the government expenditure. The punishment mechanism is more effective than the subsidy mechanism in realizing the tripartite joint prevention of the COVID-19. Therefore, the implementation of strict punishment mechanism should be a major government measure under COVID-19.</p></div><div><h3>Originality/value</h3><p><strong>-</strong> Our paper extends the existing theoretical work. We use political economy to make the preference hypothesis, and we explicitly state the effect of subsidy and penalty mechanisms on the decision making of participants and compare their applicability. This is the work that the existing literature did not complete before. Our findings can provide an important theoretical and decision-making basis for COVID-19 prevention and control.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":38055,"journal":{"name":"Operations Research Perspectives","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100255"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214716022000264/pdfft?md5=11609665b2868480248f42f38f756639&pid=1-s2.0-S2214716022000264-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49018946","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Erwin Widodo , Oryza Akbar Rochmadhan , Lukmandono , Januardi
{"title":"Modeling Bayesian inspection game for non-performing loan problems","authors":"Erwin Widodo , Oryza Akbar Rochmadhan , Lukmandono , Januardi","doi":"10.1016/j.orp.2021.100218","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.orp.2021.100218","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study compiled a Bayesian inspection game as a branch in game theory to deal with non-performing loans (NPLs). Three types of games are analyzed, which are false alarm (FA), non-detection (ND), and bull's eye (BE). A Bayesian Nash equilibrium calculation process took place to formulate the player's strategy proportion. The equilibrium solution indicates the causative factors and develops the strategies to anticipate NPLs. The identified factors causing NPLs include customers' utility and disutility, inspection error in the form of false alarm and non-detection, operational costs to conduct an inspection, and bank utility related to inspection. The results showed that some examinations of type I and II errors to the game model could provide more comprehensive and interesting insights in managing NPL problems<em>.</em></p></div>","PeriodicalId":38055,"journal":{"name":"Operations Research Perspectives","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100218"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214716021000324/pdfft?md5=0ab3fb08aff815832b5646c0e7e03b31&pid=1-s2.0-S2214716021000324-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44597320","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Géraldine Bouveret , Roxana Dumitrescu , Peter Tankov
{"title":"Technological change in water use: A mean-field game approach to optimal investment timing","authors":"Géraldine Bouveret , Roxana Dumitrescu , Peter Tankov","doi":"10.1016/j.orp.2022.100225","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orp.2022.100225","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The need for clean water is expected to substantially increase while further reductions of water availability in sufficient quantity and quality are projected owing to climate change and anthropogenic activities. Accordingly, the debate on water security has recently intensified and reached the intergovernmental arena. Industry is, in particular, one of the largest (non-consumptive) water users, accountable for massive toxic wastewater discharges and facing stringent and costly environmental oversight. However, the management of reservoirs is intricate and operational research must be further expanded to design tools that enhance water security while improving operators’ profitability.</p><p>We therefore consider a game-theoretic framework to study the strategies adopted by a large group of similar producers sharing a water reservoir for their manufacturing activities. Each operator faces random demand for its outputs and chooses the optimal time to invest in a technology that ends its reliance on the reservoir. This technology introduces cost saving opportunities for the operator and benefits for the environment. Each producer therefore solves a so-called optimal stopping problem, and all problems are coupled through the reservoir level. We formulate the problem of finding a Nash equilibrium as a mean-field game (MFG) of optimal stopping. We then apply the model to the paper milling industry, an extensive water user facing a tightening of environmental regulations. This paper provides fresh insights into how to rethink the problem of technological change and water management, by offering an innovative application of operational research that builds on recent mathematical developments made in MFG theory.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":38055,"journal":{"name":"Operations Research Perspectives","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100225"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214716022000045/pdfft?md5=e3ad79222515ce340f0a058c0097c342&pid=1-s2.0-S2214716022000045-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"137140814","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Mohammad Rokibul Hossain , Fahmida Akhter , Mir Misnad Sultana
{"title":"SMEs in Covid-19 Crisis and Combating Strategies: A Systematic Literature Review (SLR) and A Case from Emerging Economy","authors":"Mohammad Rokibul Hossain , Fahmida Akhter , Mir Misnad Sultana","doi":"10.1016/j.orp.2022.100222","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.orp.2022.100222","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The paper intends to understand the research trends in “Covid-19 and SME” through a Systematic Literature Review (SLR) and extract themes to explore the most affected areas of SMEs during the Covid-19 pandemic. Subsequently, the study attempts to know the struggles of SME during Covid-19 crisis in a developing country . Furthermore, the study provides a critical dynamic resilience strategy framework to manage the SMEs in the crisis period. The authors extracted data from Scopus and Web of science to conduct a Systematic Literature Review (SLR), Extracted data from both databases were merged using R programming get the same tag in R programming. The study adopts a bibliometric analysis to present the research corpus in the domain of “Covid-19 and SMEs”. The cluster method of R programming has been used to usher the significantly affected areas of SMEs. Based on the cluster theme, an open-ended questionnaire was developed and used to interview 23 SMEs in Bangladesh for the case study. NVIVO-13.00 was used to extract the topic from the transcriptions of the interviews. The study reveals that Cash flow shortages and Supply Chain Disruptions are the critical constraints of SMEs. On the contrary, Digital transformation has gained momentum during this crisis. Enterprises that made the best use of digital platforms through technology, digital marketing, and innovations secured the peak of success and profitability. The study also recommends a critical dynamic, resilient strategy model to adopt in the \"new normal\" for successful navigation of SME business in the future. The study is the first of its kind that integrates SLR and a case study on the hurdles of SME owners during the Covid 19 crisis. Thus, it helps advance the understanding of the subject matter and enables the formulation of resilient strategies by policymakers and SME owners to navigate the business in any potential crisis in the future. The study has significant methodological contribution as it presents how to merge both Scopus and web of science data to conduct bibliometric analysis through R programming. Besides, it also contributes to using R’s clustering method to extract themes for “SME and Covid -19” domain. Finally, the study presents an overview of SMEs in crisis such as Covid-19 and a case study of a rising economy and its response measures. The Case study has been designed to concentrate on Bangladesh’s SME owners and practical implications potentially limited to Emerging Asian Economies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":38055,"journal":{"name":"Operations Research Perspectives","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100222"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214716022000021/pdfft?md5=ff16e765de1560d400effcf48ae2c446&pid=1-s2.0-S2214716022000021-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47193822","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Industrial-size job shop scheduling with constraint programming","authors":"Giacomo Da Col , Erich C. Teppan","doi":"10.1016/j.orp.2022.100249","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.orp.2022.100249","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The job shop scheduling problem is one of the most studied optimization problems to this day and it becomes more and more important in the light of the fourth industrial revolution (Industry 4.0) that aims at fully automated production processes. For a long time exact methods like constraint programming had problems to solve real large-scale problem instances and methods of choice were to be found in the area of (meta-) heuristics. However, developments during the last decade improved the performance of state-of-the-art constraint solvers dramatically, to the point that they can be applied also on large-scale instances. The presented work’s main target is to elaborate the performance of state-of-the-art constraint solvers with respect to industrial-size job shop scheduling problem instances. To this end, we analyze and compare the performance of two cutting-edge constraint solvers: OR-Tools, an open-source solver developed by Google and recurrent winner of the MiniZinc Challenge, and CP Optimizer, a proprietary constraint solver from IBM targeted at industrial optimization problems. In order to reflect real-world industrial scenarios with heavy workloads like found in the semi-conductor domain, we use novel benchmarks that comprise up to one million operations to be scheduled on up to one thousand machines. The comparison is based on the best makespan (i.e. completion time) achieved and the time required to solve the problem instances. We test the solvers on single-core and quad-core configurations.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":38055,"journal":{"name":"Operations Research Perspectives","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100249"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214716022000215/pdfft?md5=521866ebe9ea104c5677de4c0af43a30&pid=1-s2.0-S2214716022000215-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44483445","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}