MMWR supplements最新文献_第10页

Estimating the future number of cases in the Ebola epidemic--Liberia and Sierra Leone, 2014-2015. 估计2014-2015年利比里亚和塞拉利昂埃博拉疫情的未来病例数。

MMWR supplements Pub Date : 2014-09-26

Martin I Meltzer, Charisma Y Atkins, Scott Santibanez, Barbara Knust, Brett W Petersen, Elizabeth D Ervin, Stuart T Nichol, Inger K Damon, Michael L Washington

{"title":"Estimating the future number of cases in the Ebola epidemic--Liberia and Sierra Leone, 2014-2015.","authors":"Martin I Meltzer, Charisma Y Atkins, Scott Santibanez, Barbara Knust, Brett W Petersen, Elizabeth D Ervin, Stuart T Nichol, Inger K Damon, Michael L Washington","doi":"","DOIUrl":"","url":null,"abstract":"The first cases of the current West African epidemic of Ebola virus disease (hereafter referred to as Ebola) were reported on March 22, 2014, with a report of 49 cases in Guinea. By August 31, 2014, a total of 3,685 probable, confirmed, and suspected cases in West Africa had been reported. To aid in planning for additional disease-control efforts, CDC constructed a modeling tool called EbolaResponse to provide estimates of the potential number of future cases. If trends continue without scale-up of effective interventions, by September 30, 2014, Sierra Leone and Liberia will have a total of approximately 8,000 Ebola cases. A potential underreporting correction factor of 2.5 also was calculated. Using this correction factor, the model estimates that approximately 21,000 total cases will have occurred in Liberia and Sierra Leone by September 30, 2014. Reported cases in Liberia are doubling every 15-20 days, and those in Sierra Leone are doubling every 30-40 days. The EbolaResponse modeling tool also was used to estimate how control and prevention interventions can slow and eventually stop the epidemic. In a hypothetical scenario, the epidemic begins to decrease and eventually end if approximately 70% of persons with Ebola are in medical care facilities or Ebola treatment units (ETUs) or, when these settings are at capacity, in a non-ETU setting such that there is a reduced risk for disease transmission (including safe burial when needed). In another hypothetical scenario, every 30-day delay in increasing the percentage of patients in ETUs to 70% was associated with an approximate tripling in the number of daily cases that occur at the peak of the epidemic (however, the epidemic still eventually ends). Officials have developed a plan to rapidly increase ETU capacities and also are developing innovative methods that can be quickly scaled up to isolate patients in non-ETU settings in a way that can help disrupt Ebola transmission in communities. The U.S. government and international organizations recently announced commitments to support these measures. As these measures are rapidly implemented and sustained, the higher projections presented in this report become very unlikely. ","PeriodicalId":37858,"journal":{"name":"MMWR supplements","volume":"63 3","pages":"1-14"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2014-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"32695967","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

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Rationale for periodic reporting on the use of selected clinical preventive services to improve the health of infants, children, and adolescents--United States. 定期报告为改善婴儿、儿童和青少年健康而使用某些临床预防服务的理由————美国。

MMWR supplements Pub Date : 2014-09-12

Lorraine F Yeung, Stuart K Shapira, Ralph J Coates, Frederic E Shaw, Cynthia A Moore, Coleen A Boyle, Stephen B Thacker

{"title":"Rationale for periodic reporting on the use of selected clinical preventive services to improve the health of infants, children, and adolescents--United States.","authors":"Lorraine F Yeung, Stuart K Shapira, Ralph J Coates, Frederic E Shaw, Cynthia A Moore, Coleen A Boyle, Stephen B Thacker","doi":"","DOIUrl":"","url":null,"abstract":"This supplement is the second of a series of periodic reports from a CDC initiative to monitor and report on the use of a set of selected clinical preventive services in the U.S. population in the context of recent national initiatives to improve access to and use of such services. Increasing the use of these services can result in substantial reductions in the burden of illness, death, and disability and lower treatment costs. This supplement focuses on services to improve the health of U.S. infants, children, and adolescents. The majority of clinical preventive services for infants, children, and adolescents are provided by the health-care sector. Public health agencies play important roles in increasing the use of these services by identifying and implementing policies that are effective in increasing use of the services and by collaborating with stakeholders to conduct programs to improve use. Recent health-reform initiatives, including efforts to increase the accessibility and affordability of preventive services, fund community prevention programs, and improve the use of health information technologies, offer opportunities to improve use of preventive services. This supplement, which follows a previous report on adult services, provides baseline information on the use of a set of selected clinical preventive services to improve the health of infants, children, and adolescents before implementation of these recent initiatives and discusses opportunities to increase the use of such services. This information can help public health practitioners, in collaboration with other stakeholders that have key roles in improving infant, child, and adolescent health (e.g., parents or guardians and their employers, health plans, health professionals, schools, child care facilities, community groups, and voluntary associations), understand the potential benefits of the recommended services, address the problem of underuse, and identify opportunities to apply effective strategies to improve use and foster accountability among stakeholders.","PeriodicalId":37858,"journal":{"name":"MMWR supplements","volume":"63 2","pages":"3-13"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2014-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"32656333","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Early hearing detection and intervention among infants--hearing screening and follow-up survey, United States, 2005-2006 and 2009-2010. 婴儿早期听力检测和干预——听力筛查和随访调查，美国，2005-2006年和2009-2010年。

MMWR supplements Pub Date : 2014-09-12

Marcus Gaffney, John Eichwald, Claudia Gaffney, Suhana Alam

引用次数: 0

Tobacco use screening and cessation assistance during physician office visits among persons aged 11-21 years--National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey, United States, 2004-2010. 11-21岁人群在医生办公室就诊期间的烟草使用筛查和戒烟援助————2004-2010年美国全国流动医疗保健调查。

MMWR supplements Pub Date : 2014-09-12

Ahmed Jamal, Shanta R Dube, Stephen D Babb, Ann M Malarcher

引用次数: 0

National human papillomavirus vaccination coverage among adolescents aged 13-17 years-National Immunization Survey--teen, United States, 2011. 全国13-17岁青少年人乳头瘤病毒疫苗接种覆盖率-全国青少年免疫调查，美国，2011年。

MMWR supplements Pub Date : 2014-09-12

C Robinette Curtis, Christina Dorell, David Yankey, Jenny Jeyarajah, Harrell Chesson, Mona Saraiya, Rebecca Gold, Eileen F Dunne, Shannon Stokley