DecisionSciRN: Economic Decision Theory (Topic)最新文献

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Rationally Inattentive Consumer: An Experiment 理性疏忽的消费者:一个实验
DecisionSciRN: Economic Decision Theory (Topic) Pub Date : 2018-11-01 DOI: 10.24149/wp1813
Andrea Civelli, Cary A. Deck, J. LeBlanc, Antonella Tutino
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引用次数: 0
Evolving a Neoclassical Approach to Behavioural Economics 发展行为经济学的新古典主义方法
DecisionSciRN: Economic Decision Theory (Topic) Pub Date : 2018-06-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3134615
S. Mitra
{"title":"Evolving a Neoclassical Approach to Behavioural Economics","authors":"S. Mitra","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3134615","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3134615","url":null,"abstract":"The objective of this paper is to show that the behavioural mission of modelling a human being as an agent driven by economic as well as psychological impulses can be accommodated to a large extent within the neoclassical framework which consists of optimising agents arriving at equilibrium. First, it attempts to show that the non-homoeconomicus is as capable of ‘rationality’ as a homoeconomicus (self-centred human); in fact being self-centred has no major implications for the ability to be ‘rational’. Second, it shows that the systematic biases associated with neoclassical predictions of human behaviour can be resolved in many cases by re-specifying the utility function to accommodate psychological factors. Thus, the contribution of the behavioural school would probably lie in altering the way in which neoclassical models are specified but not in rejecting neoclassical methodology altogether. At the same time, it is pointed out in this paper that bounded rationality (satisficing behaviour) of human beings in real life can often generate group behaviour that is systematically different from predictions emerging from the neo classical assumption of perfect rationality (optimising agents).","PeriodicalId":375605,"journal":{"name":"DecisionSciRN: Economic Decision Theory (Topic)","volume":"3 2","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131614311","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Importance of Betting Early 及早下注的重要性
DecisionSciRN: Economic Decision Theory (Topic) Pub Date : 2013-11-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1999459
A. Innocenti, T. Nannicini, R. Ricciuti
{"title":"The Importance of Betting Early","authors":"A. Innocenti, T. Nannicini, R. Ricciuti","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1999459","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1999459","url":null,"abstract":"We evaluate the impact of timing on decision outcomes when both the timing and the relevant decision are chosen under uncertainty. Sports betting provides the testing ground, as we exploit an original dataset containing more than one million online bets on games of the Italian Major Soccer League. We find that individuals perform systematically better when they place their bets farther away from the game day. The better performance of early bettors holds controlling for (time-invariant) unobservable ability, learning during the season, and timing of the odds. We attribute this result to the increase of noisy information on game day, which hampers the capacity of late (non-professional) bettors to use very simple prediction methods, such as team rankings or last game results. We also find that more successful bettors tend to bet in advance, focus on a smaller set of events, and prefer games associated with smaller betting odds.","PeriodicalId":375605,"journal":{"name":"DecisionSciRN: Economic Decision Theory (Topic)","volume":"31 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-11-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128054631","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
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