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Risk Value Analysis of Gold Futures Trading Investment using Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis, and Value at Risk 运用基本面分析、技术分析和风险价值分析黄金期货交易投资的风险价值
Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology Pub Date : 2021-03-05 DOI: 10.32734/jormtt.v3i1.6468
W. Hardiyanti, O. Darnius
{"title":"Risk Value Analysis of Gold Futures Trading Investment using Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis, and Value at Risk","authors":"W. Hardiyanti, O. Darnius","doi":"10.32734/jormtt.v3i1.6468","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32734/jormtt.v3i1.6468","url":null,"abstract":"This study was conducted to analyze the value of risk in trading Gold Trading Futures using Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis and Value at Risk. Fundamental analysis that uses Wage Income data other than the Agriculture Sector (Non-Farm Payroll), the conditions of the United States economy, and demand for gold prices in the world. Technical Analysis uses Moving Average Convergence / Divergence, Relative Vigor Index, and Pivot Points. Value at Risk is based on normal errors and skewness / kurtosis. The results of the analysis shown are the MACD Indicator has a truth level of 146 out of 226 days of analysis or 64.602%, the RVI Indicator has a truth level of 220 days from 226 days of analysis or 97.345%, Fundamental Analysis has a truth level of 23 out of 23 Excited for a year or 100%. Based on the level of confidence = 95%, it can be concluded that the price of gold with the normal approach (Psi_{normal}) = 1211.1984 and the price of gold with the skewness and kurtosis approach (Psi_{SK}) = 1247.34072.","PeriodicalId":372795,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology","volume":"13 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-03-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"117160762","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Application of Fisher Scoring Algorithm on Parameter Estimation of Normal Distributed Data Fisher评分算法在正态分布数据参数估计中的应用
Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology Pub Date : 2021-03-05 DOI: 10.32734/jormtt.v3i1.8345
SwitamyAngnitha Purba
{"title":"The Application of Fisher Scoring Algorithm on Parameter Estimation of Normal Distributed Data","authors":"SwitamyAngnitha Purba","doi":"10.32734/jormtt.v3i1.8345","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32734/jormtt.v3i1.8345","url":null,"abstract":"In statistics, parameter estimation is the estimation of a population using sample data. A population data certainly has a certain distribution. Fisher Scoring is a form of Newton's method which is commonly used in solving the maximum likelihood equation. The focus of this research is to estimate distributed data using the fisher scoring algorithm","PeriodicalId":372795,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-03-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128081165","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Application of Expectation Maximization Algorithm in Estimating Parameter Values of Maximum Likelihood Model 期望最大化算法在极大似然模型参数值估计中的应用
Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology Pub Date : 2021-03-05 DOI: 10.32734/jormtt.v3i1.8331
J. E. Simarmata
{"title":"Application of Expectation Maximization Algorithm in Estimating Parameter Values of Maximum Likelihood Model","authors":"J. E. Simarmata","doi":"10.32734/jormtt.v3i1.8331","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32734/jormtt.v3i1.8331","url":null,"abstract":"Parameter estimation is an estimation of the population parameter values ​​based on data or samples of population. Parameter estimation can be solverd by several methods, one of which is the Maximum Likelihood method. The focus of this research is to estimate the parameter value of a normal distribution data with Maximum Likelihood based on iteration algorithm. The iteration algorithm that will be used is the Expectation Maximation Algorithm with help of  Matlab 2016a program. Based on the results obtained that the estimation value of the parameter  and  for an accident data in Indonesia based on age group with using Expectation Maximization algorithm is and  with 2 iterations.","PeriodicalId":372795,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology","volume":"41 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-03-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133215673","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Analysis of Factors Affecting Birth Weight Using Probabilistic Neural Network (PNN) 基于概率神经网络的新生儿出生体重影响因素分析
Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology Pub Date : 2021-03-05 DOI: 10.32734/jormtt.v3i1.8414
Ema Pratiwi
{"title":"Analysis of Factors Affecting Birth Weight Using Probabilistic Neural Network (PNN)","authors":"Ema Pratiwi","doi":"10.32734/jormtt.v3i1.8414","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32734/jormtt.v3i1.8414","url":null,"abstract":"The hight mortality rate in newborns is caused by the fact that many babies are born with low birth weight. LBW is one of the factors of infant mortality in Indonesia. Mitra Medika hospital Bandar Kippa is one of the pregnant women who has a Low Birth Weight (LBW) baby. Prevention and treatment of pregnant women when they know that they will give birth to a baby withlow birth weight is very necessary, in order to minimize death during the bieth process. So it is hoped that the existence of a factor analysis that affects birth weight in babies cas help to identify the condition of the baby in pregnant women before the baby is born. In this study, Probabilistic Neural Network (PNN) method was used with 150 data and 7 features including maternal age, maternal weight, maternal height, maternal hemoglobin, gestational distance, parity and maternal education. To get the best accuracy results, training data and testing data are shared using K-Means Clustering. Furthermore, an analysis of the factors that affect BBL using the Probabilistic Neural Network method is carried out, therefore it can be obtained that the probability value affecting BBL is found in the mother’s weight of 0,856 with the highest output layer value in the normal class of 6,741 and an accuracy value of 88,67.","PeriodicalId":372795,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology","volume":"30 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-03-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128467376","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
On Sequentially Defined Function Spaces and Bounded Linear Functionals 序定义函数空间与有界线性泛函
Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology Pub Date : 2021-03-05 DOI: 10.32734/jormtt.v3i1.4882
Supama
{"title":"On Sequentially Defined Function Spaces and Bounded Linear Functionals","authors":"Supama","doi":"10.32734/jormtt.v3i1.4882","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32734/jormtt.v3i1.4882","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we construct a sequentially defined function space $L_{p,q}(Omega)$ and observe its topological properties. Further, we formulate necessary and sufficient conditions for bounded linear functionals on the space.","PeriodicalId":372795,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology","volume":"15 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-03-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122172796","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Some Vector FK Sequence Spaces Generated by Modulus Function 由模函数生成的若干向量FK序列空间
Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology Pub Date : 2020-10-10 DOI: 10.5220/0010079509750978
N. Irsyad, E. Rosmani, Herawati
{"title":"Some Vector FK Sequence Spaces Generated by Modulus Function","authors":"N. Irsyad, E. Rosmani, Herawati","doi":"10.5220/0010079509750978","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5220/0010079509750978","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, some vector valued sequence spaces and using modulus function are presented. Furthermore, we examined some topological properties of these sequence spaces equipped with a paranorm.","PeriodicalId":372795,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology","volume":"41 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133280926","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Mathematical Philosophy 数学哲学
Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology Pub Date : 2020-10-10 DOI: 10.32734/jormtt.v2i2.4678
M. K. Nasution
{"title":"Mathematical Philosophy","authors":"M. K. Nasution","doi":"10.32734/jormtt.v2i2.4678","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32734/jormtt.v2i2.4678","url":null,"abstract":"Mathematics and philosophy are two words with different meanings and the same thing. With various historical evidence, mathematics as the basis of science is not part of or born from philosophy. In the same position in knowledge, mathematics confirm the answers to intimate problem in philosophy. Often there is confusion in philosophy because of conflicting concepts with one another. Mathematics without philosophy does not move swiftly, because without the meanings that are sometimes driven by philosophy. Logically, truth is not well developed in evidence except when mathematics and philosophy get long. It is to provide an understanding of the need for a foundation of truth thought, which generally reveals in the comprehension of mathematics, namely in meta-mathematics and philosophy.","PeriodicalId":372795,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology","volume":"277 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115287186","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
NCTM’s Principles and Standards for Developing Conceptual Understanding in Mathematics NCTM的发展数学概念理解的原则和标准
Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology Pub Date : 2019-09-30 DOI: 10.32734/jormtt.v1i2.2836
S. Haji, Yumiati
{"title":"NCTM’s Principles and Standards for Developing Conceptual Understanding in Mathematics","authors":"S. Haji, Yumiati","doi":"10.32734/jormtt.v1i2.2836","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32734/jormtt.v1i2.2836","url":null,"abstract":"The purpose of this study is to develop understanding of concepts in mathematics  through the application of the NCTM's Principles and Standards. This research method is descriptive. The results obtained are understanding concepts in mathematics can be developed through the application of NCTM Principles and Standards consisting of 6 principles, namely: 1. Equity, 2. Curriculum, 3. Teaching, 4. Learning, 5. Assessment, and Technology. Understanding concepts in mathematics that can be developed are: a. defining concepts verbally and in writing, b. Make examples and not examples, c. Using various symbols to present a concept, d. Change the form of representation to various forms, e. Identifying the characteristics of a concept, f. compare various concepts, and g. interpret concepts.","PeriodicalId":372795,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology","volume":"11 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116805422","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 9
Some Vector Valued Sequence Spaces Generated by Musielak- Phy Function Over 2-Normed Spaces 2赋范空间上由Musielak- Phy函数生成的若干向量值序列空间
Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology Pub Date : 2019-09-30 DOI: 10.32734/jormtt.v1i2.2837
M. Ofie, M. Nasution
{"title":"Some Vector Valued Sequence Spaces Generated by Musielak- Phy Function Over 2-Normed Spaces","authors":"M. Ofie, M. Nasution","doi":"10.32734/jormtt.v1i2.2837","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32734/jormtt.v1i2.2837","url":null,"abstract":"In this work, we introduced some new vector valued sequence spaces over 2-normed spaces using Musielak-Phy function Φ = (𝜑 𝑛 ) . We also studied some properties of these spaces.","PeriodicalId":372795,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology","volume":"36 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127497108","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Probability Distribution of Rainfall in Medan 棉兰降雨的概率分布
Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology Pub Date : 2019-09-30 DOI: 10.32734/JORMTT.V1I2.2835
E. Rosmaini, Yoni Yolanda Saphira
{"title":"Probability Distribution of Rainfall in Medan","authors":"E. Rosmaini, Yoni Yolanda Saphira","doi":"10.32734/JORMTT.V1I2.2835","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32734/JORMTT.V1I2.2835","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper we chose three stations in Medan City , Indonesia to estimate Monthly Rainfall Data i.e. Tuntungan, Tanjung Selamat, and Medan Selayang Stations. We took the data from 2007 to 2016. In this case fitted with Normal, Gamma, and Lognormal Distributions. To estimate parameters, we used this method. Furthermore, Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Anderson Darling tests were used the goodness-of-fit test. The Gamma and Normal Distributions is suitable for Tuntungan and Medan Selayang Stations were stated by Kolmogorov-Smirnov's test. Anderson Darling's test stated that Gamma Distribution was suitable for all stations.","PeriodicalId":372795,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Research in Mathematics Trends and Technology","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123361623","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
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