Nikola Radivojević, Almir Muhović, M. Joksimović, Miroslav Pimić
{"title":"Examining the Impact of Movements of the Commodity Price on the Value of the Baltic Dry Index during Covid19 Pandemic","authors":"Nikola Radivojević, Almir Muhović, M. Joksimović, Miroslav Pimić","doi":"10.20448/journal.501.2021.82.67.72","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.20448/journal.501.2021.82.67.72","url":null,"abstract":"The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is one of the most well-known indices, as it is perceived as a leading indicator of economic activity. Reductions in the movement of people, commodities, and capital in the conditions of economic crises, such as the one in 2008 and 2009, as well as the current economic crisis generated by the COVID-19 pandemic, were affected by the reduction of economic activities. It is interesting to point out that the analysis of the basic trend of the BDI movements in the period before the economic crisis shows that the index fell to near record lows just before the derivatives and credit crisis hit stocks full force. This is a clear signal that the index can be used as a tool for stock market forecasting. The paper aims to examine whether the changes in these raw materials affect the changes in the value of BDI. For these purposes in the paper was use GMM and 2SLS estimator. The results show that different raw materials have a different impact on the value of the BDI, which indicates that based on individual movements value of raw materials which composes the BDI cannot forecast its movement.","PeriodicalId":360581,"journal":{"name":"Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129033781","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Analysis of the Effect of Private Healthcare Financing on Poverty in Nigeria: Evidence from Edo State","authors":"O. O, Abubakar M. Idris","doi":"10.20448/journal.501.2021.82.73.80","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.20448/journal.501.2021.82.73.80","url":null,"abstract":"Poverty is one of the problems that challenge economies in Africa. Though it is a complex phenomenon which requires efforts by different experts to reduce or eliminate, conventional wisdom posits that “health is wealth”. Health status is a component of human capital development which plays a fundamental role in the poverty and well-being of individuals and national economies. Paradoxically the cost of accessing quality healthcare is an important contributor to income poverty among low income households. Thus adequate healthcare financing mechanisms (public and private) are required to attain quality health outcomes. This study therefore investigates the adequacy or otherwise of the current means of private health care financing in Edo state of Nigeria and it employed the survey method and multinomial logistic regression technique. Results revealed that the dominant means of private health care financing in Edo state is “out of pocket” payments which has negative effect on the income of households. It therefore recommends the introduction of a more effective collective healthcare financing mechanism to mitigate the financial burden associated with out-of-pocket spending. Also funding should be provided for research and development of locally manufactured drugs with high local content to enhance the availability and affordability of effective drugs.","PeriodicalId":360581,"journal":{"name":"Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research","volume":"56 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124514818","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Causes of Current Account Fluctuations in West African Monetary Union","authors":"Amadou Woury Diallo","doi":"10.20448/journal.501.2020.71.46.63","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.20448/journal.501.2020.71.46.63","url":null,"abstract":"This study analyzes the sources of current account fluctuations in the West African Monetary Union (WAEMU) economies over the period from 1980 to 2017. It is part of the inter-temporal approach which considers that the dynamics of the current account of a country is influenced by global shocks and transient or permanent domestic shocks. Thus, we developed a three-variable structural autoregressive vector model. This is the international real interest rate that represents the aggregate shock, the ratio of current account to gross domestic product which is the proxy for transient domestic shocks, and the ratio of net output to gross domestic product to measure impact of permanent shocks to the current account. From the theoretical model, structural shocks are identified by applying the long-term restrictions imposed by the inter-temporal approach in the analysis of current account dynamics. The study leads to three major results: 1) current account fluctuations within WAEMU are explained by transient domestic shocks, 2) net product fluctuations are due to permanent domestic shocks, 3) Global or exogenous shocks have a modest contribution to current account fluctuations, but their effects on net income are still significant, especially in the long run.","PeriodicalId":360581,"journal":{"name":"Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research","volume":"27 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129649772","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Demand for Imports and Components of Final Expenditure: An Empirical Study with Special Reference to the Korean Import Demand Function","authors":"H. Seddighi, II-Hyun Yoon","doi":"10.20448/JOURNAL","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.20448/JOURNAL","url":null,"abstract":"This paper aims to examine the long-term association between Korea’s demand for imports and its key determinants covering the post Korea’s financial crisis period of reformed economic environment. In this respect, it provides fresh estimates of partial elasticities of demand, for imports in regard to each key component of final expenditure. A Johansen multivariate co-integration analysis is employed on the post-crisis quarterly macroeconomic data, such as final consumption of private sector, gross fixed capital formation, final consumption of government, exports, and relative import prices covering the sample period 2000-2017. Significant differences are found between the long-run elasticities of import demand as regards each key component of final expenditure. In particular, import elasticity of demand regarding expenditure on fixed capital formation is found to highly elastic and negative, implying that this type of expenditure provides an effective mechanism for reducing aggregate imports in Korea in the long run. These findings appear to have significant implications for the Korean economic policies as well as for trading policies of Korea’s key international trading partners. A by-product of this investigation is an error correction short-run forecasting model for Korea’s aggregate imports. We have found that this model appears to be performing well out of the sample period.","PeriodicalId":360581,"journal":{"name":"Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research","volume":"66 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-04-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"117083512","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Housing Consumption of the “Soon-to-Retire” in Hong Kong: A Cross-Sectional Regression Analysis","authors":"W. M. Jayantha, L. H. U. W. Abeydeera","doi":"10.20448/journal.501.2019.61.76.84","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.20448/journal.501.2019.61.76.84","url":null,"abstract":"Availability and quality of housing have long been serious problems in Hong Kong over the years. It is now apparent that the rapidly increasing aging population (those over 65 years) seems to make the housing issue an even more serious one. As the demographic and social structures of the society continue to evolve, government’s housing policy should be reviewed and revised from time to time, accordingly, in order to satisfy the changing needs of the society. The main objective of this study is to explore the significant determinants of housing consumption of the ‘soon-to-retire’ group and suggest an explanation for their underlying dynamics. The present study adds knowledge to the housing literature in several ways: (a) this is the first comprehensive study in Hong Kong to explore critical determinants of housing consumption behavior of this group; and (b) a new variable, health status (effect of health) was introduced to the housing consumption model. Based on a sample survey data, a cross-sectional regression model is employed to identify significant determinants that influence housing consumption of this group. Empirical results reveal that housing consumption of this group is influenced not only by market and demographic factors but also by the health status of the household. Heath status of the household, of this age group is very important as this group is nearing their retirement. The empirical results further reveal that average household size and housing tenure as significant determinants of housing consumption of this study group. By introducing this new factor, we attempt to broaden our knowledge about the housing consumption of this less explored aspect of the housing market.","PeriodicalId":360581,"journal":{"name":"Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research","volume":"21 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115842569","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yasir Khan, Taimoor Hassan, Wang Yi, Rahimullah Gulzar
{"title":"A Comparative Analysis Based on Economic Factors of Students Emigration from South Asia","authors":"Yasir Khan, Taimoor Hassan, Wang Yi, Rahimullah Gulzar","doi":"10.20448/journal.501.2018.52.201.208","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.20448/journal.501.2018.52.201.208","url":null,"abstract":"Economic instability and higher unemployment significantly increased the number of students migration from all over the world, particularly South Asian countries in the last decade. Growing number of international student migration to abroad for higher education and search for better economic opportunity. This study will determine the economic impact of students’ emigration from South Asian countries particularly Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh. A comparative analysis of the three border sharing countries have shown the long-term economic and political instability and a result of an economic and financial collapse in 2008, and also discuss how such an environment has affected student emigration from South Asia. This study is quantitative research using questioners as a tool to collect primary data, from the large sample size of 300 South Asian students studying in Chinses universities in China. This research work is based on two factors, 1) the deterioration of economic factors in Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh have changed the students’ perception to migrate abroad; 2) the study also reflected that majority of Pakistani, Indian and Bangladeshi students want to stay in the host country. The findings indicated that all the related variables have significantly positive, economic instability, higher unemployment, lower salary, political instability, and lower quality education system. The logit-probit regression models with these variables could predict the higher value of the variance in the overall student migration to abroad. Findings are relevant for academic institutions and government agencies interested in international education, student migration behavior, comparative data as well as strategic policies.","PeriodicalId":360581,"journal":{"name":"Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research","volume":"5 2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126088220","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"How the GCC Economic Crises Effect Labor Migration: Evidence from Pakistan","authors":"Yasir Khan, W. Ming-yi","doi":"10.20448/JOURNAL.501.2018.52.139.146","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.20448/JOURNAL.501.2018.52.139.146","url":null,"abstract":"Migrant workers have participated in promoting economic growth and prosperity and the generation of wealth in countries of destination. The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) which is comprised of six countries such as Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Oman have been historically and traditionally job market for Pakistani workers. Labor migration and its relationship to economic growth and employment have received increasing attention because of increasing demand for labor, higher salaries, economic and political stability. Using a case study, we focus on the impact and relationship of labor migration with macroeconomic indicators such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), unemployment, and inflation rate. Limited employment opportunities, the weak economy, and political instability are the factors leading labor migration from Pakistan. Consequently, the government of Pakistan considered labor migration primarily as an employment sector and encourage labor migration to solve economic problems in the country. We analyze the impact of labor migration on (GDP), Inflation rate and unemployment in Pakistan with the help of time series data from 1971-2016. The result to have showed a positive and significant relationship between labor migration and GDP, while a negative but significant relationship with unemployment. On the other hand, there is no relationship between labor migration and inflation rate. we found that the GCC economic crises actually caused significant influence on labor migration in the case of Pakistan.","PeriodicalId":360581,"journal":{"name":"Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research","volume":"27 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127366757","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An Analysis of the Behaviour of Prime Lending Rates in Sri Lanka","authors":"W. Perera","doi":"10.20448/JOURNAL.501.2018.52.121.138","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.20448/JOURNAL.501.2018.52.121.138","url":null,"abstract":"The prime lending rate is the rate at which commercial banks loan funds to their most creditworthy customers, and hence, is usually lower than other market lending rates; reason why it is considered a “base or reference rate”. In Sri Lanka, the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) has been compiling the Average Weighted Prime Lending Rate (AWPR) since January 1986. This paper examines the determinants of prime lending rates in Sri Lanka using weekly data from January 2004 to June 2013, while attempting to capture any asymmetries in prime rate changes to monetary policy decisions. Empirical evidence suggests that the prime rate is highly persistent, while the call money rate also remains a key determinant. However, domestic liquidity was statistically insignificant and even if it was, it has only a marginal impact in determining the prime lending rate. Furthermore, there is also evidence of asymmetric adjustment in AWPR.","PeriodicalId":360581,"journal":{"name":"Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research","volume":"29 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131015449","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Factors Affecting the Bank Credit Accessibility of Rural Households in Vietnam","authors":"T. L. Giang, Ho Thi Thuy Hang","doi":"10.20448/journal.501.2019.61.59.69","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.20448/journal.501.2019.61.59.69","url":null,"abstract":"The research identifies and measures factors affecting the bank credit accessibility using Heckman (1979). The research uses data from dataset of Vietnam Household Living Standard Survey (VHLSS) in 2014 and 2016 to eliminate the shock due to the global economic crisis in 2008-2009 making the estimate unsustainable. The results show that among the factors that can affect the bank credit accessibility considered in the first stage of Heckman model, there are six factors that significantly and statistically affect the bank credit accessibility of rural households. These factors include the household’s average income, householder’s age, ethnic group, marital status, previous loan period and members of the Farmers Associations. The estimate results obtained from the second stage of Heckman model on the possibility to receive loans of rural households in Vietnam indicates seven factors affecting the value of loans received from bank credit institutions are the household’s average income, householder’s age, ethnic group, marital status, previous loan period and members of the Farmers Associations.","PeriodicalId":360581,"journal":{"name":"Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research","volume":"142 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127504744","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Financial Inclusion and Health Shocks: A Panel Data Analysis of 36 African Countries","authors":"Oladayo Timothy Popoola","doi":"10.20448/journal.501.2019.61.45.51","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.20448/journal.501.2019.61.45.51","url":null,"abstract":"Numerous evidence has revealed that African countries lagged behind in the attainment of health-related targets of the recent past Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). Perhaps because most Africans depend largely on out-of-pocket payments for medical-care services during their health shocks experiences. Evidently, this has been a great concern to both citizens and policy makers across Africa for a long time. Therefore, this paper investigates the impact of financial inclusion on health shocks in 36 African nations over the period of 2004 to 2016. The Fixed Effects model result indicates that increase in numbers of depositors with commercial banks proxy for financial inclusion is positive and significant to predict longevity in African nations. However, rise in population growth (the control variable) have a significant role to reduce average life expectancy in Africa. Thus, both African governments and their financial institutions may improve average life expectancy and human capital for more economic development through enhanced financial inclusion.","PeriodicalId":360581,"journal":{"name":"Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research","volume":"13 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132056172","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}