{"title":"Perceptions of Stakeholders on the Financial and Economic Crisis in Lebanon: An In-depth Analysis","authors":"Leila Uwaydah, Ali Kassir","doi":"10.1515/rmeef-2023-0014","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/rmeef-2023-0014","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 This study examines Lebanon’s enduring financial and economic crisis, exacerbated by economic challenges, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the Port of Beirut explosion. With over 80 % currency devaluation due to sovereign debt default, the crisis has intensified poverty and unemployment, compounded by political turmoil. Using survey data from 178 stakeholders, experts, and academics, this research explores the intricate drivers of Lebanon’s crisis and offers insights for policymakers. Employing quantitative methods, it uncovers the intertwined role of financial mismanagement, government failures, mounting public debt, financial engineering techniques, and political instability in driving the crisis. Recommendations emphasize prudent financial practices, sound governance, and policy interventions. This study sheds light on Lebanon’s complex financial and economic challenges with data-backed perspectives from diverse stakeholders, providing valuable insights for management practitioners and scholars navigating crises in tumultuous environments. It aims to contribute to the management discourse, equipping stakeholders with actionable strategies for addressing and preventing similar crises. It also explores the interplay between stakeholder perspectives and the determinants of the financial crisis in Lebanon. It delves into the interconnected nature of the crisis and demonstrates how stakeholders from various sectors and backgrounds mirror the factors identified in the literature.","PeriodicalId":357459,"journal":{"name":"Review of Middle East Economics and Finance","volume":" 855","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141823471","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Influence of Anchoring and Overconfidence on Investment Decision-Making in the Saudi Stock Market: A Moderated Mediation Model","authors":"Naseem Al Rahahleh","doi":"10.1515/rmeef-2023-0015","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/rmeef-2023-0015","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 This research sheds light on the relationships between heuristic biases and investment decisions as demonstrated by Saudi investors by establishing a mediating role for investor overconfidence in the relationship between anchoring heuristics and investment decision-making. The first to present evidence for this role, the study takes into account specific types of investment decisions – i.e. decisions to buy, sell, and engage in frequent trading. Based on a sample of 598 responses, empirical evidence is presented to show that anchoring directly increases the extent to which investment decisions are irrational and also does so indirectly through its impact on overconfidence. Given that this is the case, investors would be well-advised to critically assess the influence on their investment decision-making of overconfidence, which may, in turn, be rooted in deep-seated biases such as anchoring. Further, the potential moderating effect of trading frequency on overconfidence and investment decisions is examined and a moderated mediation model presented to elucidate the relationship between anchoring bias and investment decisions. The findings underscore the importance of understanding these biases and taking a scientific approach to trading, including by engaging in infrequent trading, to producing more rational investment decisions. Put differently, the study highlights the benefit of infrequent over frequent trading: Compared to those who trade less frequently, investors who trade more frequently are more susceptible to overconfidence and anchoring biases.","PeriodicalId":357459,"journal":{"name":"Review of Middle East Economics and Finance","volume":"45 16","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140663038","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Impact of Remittance Inflows on Inflation: The Case of Lebanon","authors":"Sara Kassab","doi":"10.1515/rmeef-2024-0006","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/rmeef-2024-0006","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 This paper investigates the impact of workers’ remittance inflows on inflation in Lebanon. The data used is monthly data spanning the period from December 2007 to May 2019. I estimate a structural vector autoregressive model using 24 monthly lags and find that a one-time remittance growth shock leads to a statistically significant increase in the inflation rate in the short run in Lebanon. Also, the results show that a remittance growth shock makes a considerable contribution to the forecast error variance for the inflation rate in Lebanon.","PeriodicalId":357459,"journal":{"name":"Review of Middle East Economics and Finance","volume":" 536","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140682587","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"How do Financial Development and Stability Shape Human Development?","authors":"Ali Awdeh, Rima Assaf, Fadi Ghosn","doi":"10.1515/rmeef-2023-0020","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/rmeef-2023-0020","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 The crucial role of financial systems in sustainable development has become the center of global and national interest and development strategies, and more developed and stable financial systems are the cornerstone for development finance and achieving the sustainable development goals. This research aims to examine the impact of financial development and stability on human development firstly in a sample of 185 countries worldwide, and secondly in a sample of 21 MENA countries, over the period 1990–2019. This study adopts the Panel Data Econometrics (Fixed Effects and Random Effects Methods) and proxy for human development by exploiting the UNDP’s Human Development Index and its three subindices (Education, Income, and Life expectancy), while it adopts broad money, credit to the domestic private sector, and banking sector deposits (all as a percentage of GDP) to proxy for financial development. Moreover, it represents financial stability by the banking sector Z-score and a dummy variable representing crises. The empirical results reveal the prevailing role of development and stability in the financial systems on human development and its three subcomponents, regardless of the country’s economic development level.","PeriodicalId":357459,"journal":{"name":"Review of Middle East Economics and Finance","volume":"31 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140741992","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Democracy, Corruption and Economic Growth Post-Arab Spring in Tunisia and Libya","authors":"Abdalla Muktad","doi":"10.1515/rmeef-2023-0010","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/rmeef-2023-0010","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This paper uses the synthetic control method to analyze the repercussions of the Arab Spring on the economic growth, corruption levels, and democracy of Tunisia and Libya. Our study covered the years 2003–2018, and I utilized panel data from Tunisia, Libya, and 56 developing countries that were unaffected by the Arab revolution. We excluded countries with incomplete data, those directly impacted by the Arab Spring, and countries affected by external shocks like natural disasters or conflicts. All the data used in our analysis was obtained from the World Bank Open Data and the Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) project. Our findings indicate that the Arab Spring had adverse effects on economic growth in both Tunisia and Libya, in comparison to what would have been expected based on their synthetic control counterparts. On the other hand, the results demonstrate a significant increase in democracy and anti-corruption in both countries following the Arab Spring.","PeriodicalId":357459,"journal":{"name":"Review of Middle East Economics and Finance","volume":"41 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138943645","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hassan F. Gholipour, John W. Goodell, Iman Cheratian, Saleh Goltabar, Oumaima Lahmar
{"title":"Gender Differences in Business Record Keeping and Planning: Evidence from Informal Enterprises in Iraq","authors":"Hassan F. Gholipour, John W. Goodell, Iman Cheratian, Saleh Goltabar, Oumaima Lahmar","doi":"10.1515/rmeef-2023-0017","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/rmeef-2023-0017","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Business record keeping, along with business planning, are foundational steps in businesses moving from informal stature to contributing to the capitalization of assets. Thus, the transitioning of informal businesses to business record keeping and planning is significant for economic development. The purpose of this study is to investigate whether there is a relationship between the gender of informal business owners and their engagement in business record keeping and planning in an emerging economy. We take advantage of a unique data set on informal enterprises in Iraq to show that women, versus male, leaders of informal businesses are more likely to adopt business record keeping and formal business planning. Following the foundational theories of Max Weber (Gerth and Mills 2014), we attribute our results to groups that are excluded from dominant relationship networks relying more on rational bureaucracy. Results will be of great interest to scholars and policymakers interested in the impacts of gender differences on financial development.","PeriodicalId":357459,"journal":{"name":"Review of Middle East Economics and Finance","volume":"58 14","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138949509","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"What Drives Business Cycles in Egypt? An Analysis of Coincident and Leading Indicators","authors":"N. Hegazi, Diaa Noureldin, Chahir Zaki","doi":"10.1515/rmeef-2022-0015","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/rmeef-2022-0015","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The paper proposes a chronology for the Egyptian economy by detecting phases of expansions and recessions during the period (2002–2019). It examines the cyclical behavior of variables that are considered potentially useful in measuring or predicting aggregate economic activity. To do so, we combine the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) approach together with time series analysis techniques to select the variables best suitable to play the role of coincident and leading indicators. This methodology is found to be the most appropriate when there is no well-established reference chronology as a benchmark for the cyclical analysis, which is the case of Egypt. As a result, two composite indexes are constructed: 1) the composite index of coincident economic indicators (CEI), which can be considered an adequate measure for the Egyptian business cycle; 2) the composite index of leading economic indicators (LEI) that shows good performance in anticipating aggregate economic activity in Egypt. Moreover, the empirical results indicate that total employment, consumption, and investment move coincidently with the reference cycle, while exchange rate and interest rate variables lead the reference cycle and have strong predictive power for economic activity in Egypt.","PeriodicalId":357459,"journal":{"name":"Review of Middle East Economics and Finance","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127619357","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Collateral Reforms and Access to Finance: Evidence from the West Bank and Gaza and Their Firms","authors":"Zachary Hrenko, J. Nugent","doi":"10.1515/rmeef-2022-0019","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/rmeef-2022-0019","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This paper examines the impact of an important financial reform, namely a collateral reform extending the assets, which could qualify as collateral for bank loans to the firms’ own equipment and moveable assets, so as to increase the access to such credit by small private firms. The reform studied was undertaken in the Palestinian territories of West Bank and Gaza (WBG) in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region where bank credit and financial markets have been especially heavily constrained. First, we apply two different synthetic control techniques to panel data covering both pre- and postreform years from both the WBG and a sample of comparable countries that did not undertake collateral reform. The results from both synthetic control methods show that such credit increased significantly after the reform in WBG but not in the nonreformed comparator countries. Then, we use comparable firm-level data obtained from a panel of all available firms in WBG from the Enterprise Survey of the World Bank, both 3 years before and 3 years after the reform to trace the impacts of the reform on various financial and other outcomes at the firm level. Despite the other difficulties that WBG was going through over the period, we find considerable evidence at the firm level that this collateral reform has been effective in stimulating credit, investment, and employment growth, especially among small firms, underscoring its potential for use by other low- and middle-income countries.","PeriodicalId":357459,"journal":{"name":"Review of Middle East Economics and Finance","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121279356","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"COVID-19 Impact and Policy Response: A General Equilibrium Approach for Egypt","authors":"City Eldeep, Chahir Zaki","doi":"10.1515/rmeef-2022-0004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/rmeef-2022-0004","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The economic impacts of COVID-19 were negative across nations but with different degrees depending on the timing, degree of containment measures and the extent of dependency on the world economy. Moreover, the policy response has been heterogeneous across different countries, but mainly addressing urgent and short-term problems without addressing the structural problems that led to the vulnerability of these countries in crisis times. Thus, the objective of this paper is threefold. First, it distinguishes between the supply and demand effects of COVID-19. Second, we examine the key differences between the short and long terms effects of the policies that were adopted. Finally, we modify the model to include the informal labor that was highly affected by the pandemic, and we relax the assumption of perfect competition and replicate the simulations under an imperfect competitive framework in order to see how reforms pertaining to competition policies can alter the adopted policies. To do so, we use a dynamic CGE model calibrated on the Egyptian Social Accounting Matrix of 2014/2015. Our findings show how the Egyptian economy has been relatively vulnerable to external shocks that affect its sources of foreign currency. Yet, most of the effects are temporary and vanish in the long run. Imperfect competition in commodity markets would increase the adverse effects of the pandemic and undermine the effectiveness of public policies.","PeriodicalId":357459,"journal":{"name":"Review of Middle East Economics and Finance","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132453631","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Interbank Connections, Bank Risk and Returns","authors":"Abdullatif Albinali, Saibal Ghosh","doi":"10.1515/rmeef-2021-0024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/rmeef-2021-0024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Using data on MENA country-banks, we study how interbank connections affect bank risk and returns. The findings indicate that interbank connections are determinantal to bank stability in the MENA region during periods of crisis, supportive of contagion effects. There is also a dampening impact on profitability. Over and above, the evidence for Islamic banks is supportive of contagion effects during the crisis, although their profitability is higher as well. Furthermore, macroprudential policies appear to exert a salutary impact on bank behavior, although this impact differs across the response variable: being effective for credit exposures with profits as the outcome and for funding exposure when non-performing loan ratio is the outcome variable.","PeriodicalId":357459,"journal":{"name":"Review of Middle East Economics and Finance","volume":"120 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132526156","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}