{"title":"Equitable Monetary Relief Under the FTC Act: An Opportunity for a Marginal Improvement","authors":"James C. Cooper, Bruce H. Kobayashi","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3549899","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3549899","url":null,"abstract":"Optimal remedies should be grounded in consumer harm. The caselaw interpreting the FTC's ability to obtain equitable monetary relief, however, has strayed far from this benchmark. Rather than requiring the FTC to show the marginal impact of deception, courts presume that everyone exposed to deception is harmed based on the fiction that the FTC has proven materiality. This approach is likely to overstate consumer harm in most circumstances involving a legitimate product, which will reduce the amount of beneficial marketplace information available to consumers. Several cases that challenge the FTC's legal authority to use 13(b) to obtain equitable monetary relief are awaiting certiorari determinations, which have led some to call for Congressional intervention to fix the statutory problem. Regardless of the outcome of this process, we see this turn of events as an opportunity for the FTC to recalibrate its consumer protection remedies to more closely mirror consumer harm. It should do so by focusing on the marginal impact of deception, a task that could be accomplished through Congressional action or on the FTC's own initiative. Regardless of the path, this marginal improvement would be an important one for consumers.","PeriodicalId":355111,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Other Monetary Policy (Topic)","volume":"39 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-03-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116372248","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Monetary Policy Shocks and Skill Differences in the U.S. Labor Market","authors":"Pritha Chaudhuri","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3527650","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3527650","url":null,"abstract":"This paper studies the effect of monetary policy shocks on different demographic groups in the U.S. labor market. I look at the effect of a contractionary monetary policy shock on unemployment rates of high and low-skill workers, finding that the low-skill group is more sensitive to these shocks than the high-skill. Further breaking the skill groups down by gender and race, I find that female workers and non-White workers, regardless of their skill type, are more adversely affected by these shocks. Results suggest monetary policy shocks clearly have heterogeneous effects in the labor market, which should be taken into consideration while implementing monetary policy.","PeriodicalId":355111,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Other Monetary Policy (Topic)","volume":"12 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121223966","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Importance of Production Networks and Sectoral Heterogeneity for Monetary Policy","authors":"Nicolas Castro","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3499902","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3499902","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract In this paper I develop a multi-sector model with price frictions, production networks, trend inflation and different types of shocks to study how these conditions affect the properties of inflation and their implications for monetary policy. Calibrating the model to the U.S. economy my results show that in this setting inflation becomes 30% less sensitive to the output-gap compared to a standard one-sector model. Furthermore, in the multi-sector model inflation is affected by sectoral variables linked to between-sector and within-sector price distortions. This fact adds inertia to the inflationary process and makes monetary policy less effective. Additionally, the welfare costs of trend inflation increase by one order of magnitude in the multi-sector model compared to the standard one-sector model. The amplification is quantitatively explained by between-sector rather than within-sector price distortions. This suggests that one-sector models and models without heterogeneity underestimate the costs of long-run inflation and the efficacy of monetary policy to fight inflation.","PeriodicalId":355111,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Other Monetary Policy (Topic)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129398454","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Chinese Monetary Power: The Brazilian Legal Environment as an Important Institutional Variable for the Adoption of the Renminbi in the Chinese Investments in Brazil","authors":"Alexandre Coelho","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3430878","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3430878","url":null,"abstract":"The purpose of this essay is to present how the expansion of the Chinese monetary power may impact Brazil and whether the Brazilian legal environment may be of relevance to the Chinese investment and trade strategies. This study is part of research in progress that has been developed in the Global Law and Development Study Center at the School of Law of Getulio Vargas Foundation in Sao Paulo – Brazil. In order to present this issue, the author analyzes the Chinese measures related to the utilization of the Renminbi (RMB) in investments and trade from the Brazilian economic, political, and legal perspective. The main research question is: whether or not the Brazilian legal environment promotes the adoption of the RMB in the Chinese trade strategies, and direct and portfolio investments in Brazil? The author tries to answer this question by analyzing Brazilian laws and rules concerning with investments and trade. The preliminary conclusions suggest that: (i) the Brazilian legal framework may represent obstacles to or even hinder trade, and foreign investments in Brazil, and consequently may not prove to be favorable to the use of the RMB in the economic relations between Brazil and China; (ii) China has still not been able to carry out - if there is such an intention - to create in Brazil a zone of monetary dependence backed by the RMB; and (iii) the parallel legal framework structured by China together with the Brazilian bureaucracy, translated into cooperation agreements, the investment mechanism based on the China-LAC Industrial Cooperation Investment Fund Co., Ltd. - Claifund, and the BRICS CRA suggests the attempts to establish an equivalent legal reality to the use of the RMB as a means of payment in economic relations between Brazil and China, although without success until this moment.","PeriodicalId":355111,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Other Monetary Policy (Topic)","volume":"51 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125991482","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Term Structure, Forecast Revision and the Signaling Channel of Monetary Policy","authors":"Donghai Zhang","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3357480","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3357480","url":null,"abstract":"Monetary policy shocks affect interest rates at long horizons (10 years or more). Furthermore, the private sector’s real GDP forecasts are revised upward in response to a monetary tightening. These facts challenge the prevailing theories in academic and policy circles. In this paper, I propose a micro-founded model to rationalize those facts, based on the signaling channel of monetary policy. I consider a framework where the central bank has private information about future economic conditions. Agents update their beliefs according to Bayes’ theorem. Policy actions play a signaling role, and may therefore rationalize the above empirical findings.","PeriodicalId":355111,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Other Monetary Policy (Topic)","volume":"27 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-03-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127888404","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ricardo Correa, Teodora Paligorova, Horacio. Sapriza, A. Zlate
{"title":"Cross-Border Bank Flows and Monetary Policy","authors":"Ricardo Correa, Teodora Paligorova, Horacio. Sapriza, A. Zlate","doi":"10.17016/IFDP.2018.1241","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17016/IFDP.2018.1241","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 We analyze the impact of monetary policy on cross-border bank flows for a large sample of countries over two decades. We find evidence in favor of a cross-border risk-taking channel, as the monetary policy stance of source countries is an important determinant of cross-border bank flows. A relatively tighter monetary policy in source countries prompts banks to reallocate their lending toward safer foreign counterparties. The cross-border reallocation of credit is more pronounced for source countries with lower-capitalized banks. Also, the reallocation is directed toward foreign borrowers in relatively safer destinations, such as advanced economies or economies with investment-grade sovereign ratings.","PeriodicalId":355111,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Other Monetary Policy (Topic)","volume":"75 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127244346","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Effects of Monetary Policy Decisions on Professional Forecasters’ Expectations and Expectations Uncertainty","authors":"S. Oinonen, Maritta Paloviita, M. Virén","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3288387","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3288387","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we examine how professional forecasters’ expectations and expectation uncertainty have reacted to the ECB’s interest rate decisions and non-conventional monetary policy measures during the period 1999-2017. The analysis makes use of a conventional dif-in-dif type set up with different time series tools. The results indicate that expectations have been sensitive to policy actions, but all forecasters’ reactions do not seem to follow the basic predictions of a standard New Keynesian model. Also the relationship between inflation and output forecasts does not seem to follow a Phillips curve type relationship. Moreover, short- and long term reactions to policy are often weakly related and of different sign. Interestingly, subjective forecast uncertainty measures are very sensitive to policy measures. Thus, there seems to be much heterogeneity in forecasters’ reactions to most policy decisions. All uncertainty measures, including long-term inflation uncertainty, have increased over time. This has to be taken into account when considering the anchoring of inflation expectations to the inflation target.","PeriodicalId":355111,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Other Monetary Policy (Topic)","volume":"15 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114591134","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Commodity Money, Free Banking, and Nominal Income Targeting: Lessons for Monetary Policy Reform","authors":"Joshua R. Hendrickson","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3253166","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3253166","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Some have argued that nominal income targeting is desirable because it would replicate characteristics of a free banking regime. However, the degree to which this is true and desirable depends on the properties of commodity-based monetary regimes. In this paper, I provide a model of commodity money. I find that a pure commodity money regime can only generate an efficient stationary equilibrium by divine coincidence or by giving policymakers control over the supply of the commodity. The introduction of bank notes makes it much more likely that the economy will achieve an efficient equilibrium. In particular, in a commodity-based system, bank notes are equivalent to call options on the commodity and the commodity holdings are equivalent to a put option on the commodity. Assuming that there is no risk-free arbitrage in equilibrium, then both bank notes and the commodity will have an expected rate of return equal to the risk-free rate. If the risk-free rate is equal to the rate of time preference, then this commodity regime is efficient. A free banking system would therefore not only minimize deviations between the supply and demand for money, but it would also (potentially) implement the Friedman rule. Both market-based and more conventional nominal income targeting regimes are unlikely to replicate both features of a free banking system unless the nominal income target has a deflationary bias.","PeriodicalId":355111,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Other Monetary Policy (Topic)","volume":"53 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124758728","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Portfolio Choice of International Mutual Funds","authors":"Gino Cenedese, Ilaf Elard","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3606408","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3606408","url":null,"abstract":"Unconventional monetary policy (UMP) by the US Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, and European Central Bank affects the geographical portfolio choice of international mutual fund managers. UMP prompts managers of mutual funds to rebalance their portfolios away from the country conducting UMP, and increase their geographical allocation to other developed markets; there is little evidence of rebalancing towards emerging markets. The international spillover effects from UMP announcement surprises are of small economic magnitude, in contrast to the effects of actual UMP operations in the form of large-scale asset purchases (LSAPs). The results imply that while not contributing to QE-induced capital flows to emerging markets, mutual fund managers play a role in the transmission of unconventional monetary policy, in particular LSAPs, across developed markets.","PeriodicalId":355111,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Other Monetary Policy (Topic)","volume":"64 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131536607","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality","authors":"Jonathan Benchimol, Lahcen Bounader","doi":"10.24149/gwp336","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24149/gwp336","url":null,"abstract":"The form of bounded rationality characterizing the representative agent is key in the choice of the optimal monetary policy regime. While inflation targeting prevails for myopia that distorts agents' inflation expectations, price level targeting emerges as the optimal policy under myopia regarding the output gap, revenue, or interest rate. To the extent that bygones are not bygones under price level targeting, rational inflation expectations is a minimal condition for optimality in a behavioral world. Instrument rules implementation of this optimal policy is shown to be infeasible, questioning the ability of simple rules à la Taylor (1993) to assist the conduct of monetary policy. Bounded rationality is not necessarily associated with welfare losses.","PeriodicalId":355111,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Other Monetary Policy (Topic)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123117344","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}