Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya最新文献

MODERN CHANGES IN THE AGROCLIMATIC POTENTIAL OF THE CENTRAL CHERNOZEM REGION 切尔诺泽姆中部地区农业气候潜力的现代变化

Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.52002/0130-2906-2023-10-25-36

L. M. Akimov, E. L. Akimov

引用次数: 0

AGROCLIMATIC CHARACTERISTICS OF AGRICULTURAL LAND IN THE SIBERIAN FEDERAL DISTRICT IN A CHANGING CLIMATE 西伯利亚联邦区农业用地在不断变化的气候中的农业气候特征

Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.52002/0130-2906-2023-10-77-87

I. Kuzhevskaya, V. Gorbatenko, O. Nosyreva, M. A. Volkova, O. Nechepurenko, V. V. Chursin, N. N. CHERED’KO

引用次数: 0

ALGEBRAIC ALGORITHM FOR STATISTICAL ESTIMATION OF THE PARAMETER OF BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION AND THE EXAMPLE OF ITS APPLICATION IN A SINGLE GLOBAL GEOINFORMATION PROBLEM OF APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 二项分布参数统计估计代数算法及其在应用气候学单一全球地理信息问题中的应用实例

Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.52002/0130-2906-2023-10-16-24

N. Y. Dobrolyubov, S. M. Semenov, E. M. Volodin, A. Bogdanovich

引用次数: 0

CHANGES IN HYDROTHERMAL CONDITIONS IN SOUTHERN SIBERIA IN 1950-2020 AND THEIR RELATION TO LARGE-SCALE CIRCULATION PROCESSES 1950-2020 年西伯利亚南部热液条件的变化及其与大尺度环流过程的关系

Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.52002/0130-2906-2023-10-99-109

N. N. Voropay, A. Ryazanova

{"title":"CHANGES IN HYDROTHERMAL CONDITIONS IN SOUTHERN SIBERIA IN 1950-2020 AND THEIR RELATION TO LARGE-SCALE CIRCULATION PROCESSES","authors":"N. N. Voropay, A. Ryazanova","doi":"10.52002/0130-2906-2023-10-99-109","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.52002/0130-2906-2023-10-99-109","url":null,"abstract":"The paper presents the dynamics of the hydrothermal coefficients characterizing agroclimatic resources on the territory of Siberia within the coordinates of 50°-65° N, 60°-120° E during modern climate change. The intensity, frequency, and duration of adverse weather phenomena for agriculture (the atmospheric droughts and moisture excess conditions) are analyzed. The Ped’ drought index ( S ) and the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) calculated from the data of 134 weather stations and the ERA5 reanalysis are used as an indicator. In Eastern Siberia and in the west of the analyzed territory, there is an increase in aridity (a trend is 0.2-0.5 per decade). Northern regions of Kazakhstan, the Sayan Mountains, and the West Siberian Plain were characterized by a relative stability of hydrothermal conditions in 1950-2020 (statistically significant changes are not revealed). A direct linear dependence of hydrothermal conditions on large-scale circulation processes have been not detected for most cases. The greatest number of statistically significant correlation coefficients has been obtained for the drought index S and the SCAND (Scandinavia teleconnection pattern) index.","PeriodicalId":336459,"journal":{"name":"Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya","volume":"10 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139328294","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

AERIAL RADIATION RECONNAISSANCE WITH UNKNOWN ISOTOPIC COMPOSITION OF CONTAMINATION AND CHANGING METEOROLOGICAL PARAMETERS 在污染同位素组成未知和气象参数不断变化的情况下进行空中辐射侦察

Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.52002/0130-2906-2023-10-118-126

D. A. Kozhevnikov, I. E. Novikov

引用次数: 0

LONG-TERM CHANGES IN THE CHARACTERISTICS OF GROWING SEASONS IN THE CIS-URAL REGION DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE 气候变化对顺式农村地区生长季节特征的长期影响

Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.52002/0130-2906-2023-10-47-56

V. A. Shklyaev

{"title":"LONG-TERM CHANGES IN THE CHARACTERISTICS OF GROWING SEASONS IN THE CIS-URAL REGION DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE","authors":"V. A. Shklyaev","doi":"10.52002/0130-2906-2023-10-47-56","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.52002/0130-2906-2023-10-47-56","url":null,"abstract":"The peculiarities of the variations in the growing season characteristics in the Cis-Ural region over the 20th and early 21st centuries were studied. The information on average daily air temperature and precipitation at four weather stations was used. It was found that, against the background of a general increase in air temperature, there was a positive trend in the length of growing seasons due to the changes in the dates of spring warming and autumn cooling. Starting from 1936, three periods of changes in the growing season length were revealed, and the last one, which started in 1990, has been the longest. The sum of active temperatures, as well as total precipitation, insignificantly changed during the study period, which was confirmed by a small positive trend. The average daily temperature in growing seasons has almost not changed over 85 years. The comprehensive assessment of the weather conditions affecting the growth of grain crops was performed based on the analysis of the hydrothermal coefficient. The coefficient was used to estimate the frequency of droughts having different intensity. Some increase in the coefficient, as well as the positive trends in the amount of precipitation (especially in the Perm krai), indicate the improvement of the conditions for spring grain crop cultivation in this part of the Cis-Ural region.","PeriodicalId":336459,"journal":{"name":"Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya","volume":"292 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139329568","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

ASSESSMENT OF THE INFLUENCE OF ABIOTIC ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS ON THE YIELD AND QUALITY OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS BY STATISTICAL METHODS 用统计方法评估非生物环境因素对农产品产量和质量的影响

Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.52002/0130-2906-2023-10-110-117

S. V. Morozova, E. A. Polyanskaya, M. Alimpieva

引用次数: 0

QUANTIFICATION OF THE CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ON THE EFFICIENCY OF GRAIN PRODUCTION IN THE SOUTH OF SIBERIA 气候变化对西伯利亚南部粮食生产效率的量化影响

Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.52002/0130-2906-2023-10-88-98

V. Aleshchenko, A. M. Kumratova, O. A. Aleshchenko, N. N. Zhuravleva

{"title":"QUANTIFICATION OF THE CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ON THE EFFICIENCY OF GRAIN PRODUCTION IN THE SOUTH OF SIBERIA","authors":"V. Aleshchenko, A. M. Kumratova, O. A. Aleshchenko, N. N. Zhuravleva","doi":"10.52002/0130-2906-2023-10-88-98","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.52002/0130-2906-2023-10-88-98","url":null,"abstract":"The result of the numerical assessment of the agroclimatic potential influence on the productivity indicators of the Siberia’s grain production is presented on the basis of retrospective meteorological data (1985-2020) and the data on grain production (2007-2020). To predict the productivity of grain-producing territories, an artificial intelligence method was used: a linear cellular automaton, which allows constructing a long-term forecast (with a lead time of more than a year) based on the revealed memory depth of the bonitet time series. The results of the forecast models are confirmed by the testing of nonlinear dynamics methods: phase analysis, R/S-analysis. The error in the forecast of the climate bonitet varied within 7-16%. The proposed methodology makes it possible to obtain the grain production productivity forecasts depending on the cycle of changes in meteorological factors. These forecasts can be applied in the development of management decisions in order to increase the productivity of grain production, in particular, for organic farming and to reduce the risks associated with future climate change.","PeriodicalId":336459,"journal":{"name":"Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya","volume":"25 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139330158","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

AGROCLIMATIC ASSESSMENT OF THE CRIMEA AND DONBASS TERRITORIES FOR THE RATIONAL PLACEMENT OF VINEYARDS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE: A CASE STUDY FOR SEVASTOPOL AND ARTEMOVSK 对克里米亚和顿巴斯地区进行农业气候评估，以便在不断变化的气候中合理布局葡萄园：对塞瓦斯托波尔和阿尔乔莫夫斯克的案例研究

Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.52002/0130-2906-2023-10-66-76

E. V. Vyshkvarkova, E. N. Voskresenskaya

引用次数: 0

FORMATION OF A PLAN FOR ADAPTATION OF THE REGIONAL AGRICULTURAL SECTOR TO CLIMATE CHANGE: TASKS AND SOLUTION METHODS 制定地区农业部门适应气候变化的计划：任务和解决方法

Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.52002/0130-2906-2023-10-57-65

B. Ashabokov, L. M. Fedchenko, A. Tashilova, L. A. Kesheva, N. V. Teunova

引用次数: 0