{"title":"Planes, Trains, and Armored Mobiles: Introducing a Dataset of the Global Distribution of Military Capabilities (rDMC)","authors":"J Andres Gannon","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3930390","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3930390","url":null,"abstract":"This article introduces the Distribution of Military Capabilities (rDMC) dataset. It begins by explaining the value of collecting data on disaggregated national military capabilities, its scope, and the data collection process. I then identify some initial trends about changes in the distribution of military capabilities across states from 1970 -- 2014. I conclude by identifying future research use of the data as both a dependent and independent variable.","PeriodicalId":304171,"journal":{"name":"Conflict Studies: Domestic Politics eJournal","volume":"58 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115867448","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The EU as a Geopolitical Power. The Case of the Western Balkans Region as the Periphery to the Core","authors":"Klodiana Beshku","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3930115","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3930115","url":null,"abstract":"This article analyses the European Union’s ability to grow into a geopolitical power through the enlargement approach to its immediate neighbourhood, the western Balkans. The article explores how this approach – as deconstructed here in the pragmatic enlargement perceptions of EU member states, precisely of France and Germany –may affect both the future of the EU’s role in the world and the future of the of the western Balkans region. Using France and Germany’s approach to Albania and North Macedonia as case studies, the article examines whether the EU’s geopolitical approach aligns with that of some of its member states’ – Germany and France’s – view of the western Balkans. The rationale for this research lies in the never-ending decision of the European Council (2018-2020) to open accession negotiations with Albania and North Macedonia and its recent hesitation over starting an intergovernmental conference with them (2021). The article takes a new perspective on the EU’s geopolitical approach by deconstructing it into three elements – securitisation, foreign policy and strategy – contributing to the debate on the EU’s actorness’ enhancing its power and its contestation in the world. It argues that the EU’s role as a geopolitical power might be more threatened by the use of the veto power that the member states have over the European Council, transforming it into an arena for the expression of populism and nationalism, than by the presence of third powers in the region.","PeriodicalId":304171,"journal":{"name":"Conflict Studies: Domestic Politics eJournal","volume":"63 2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116425370","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"National Images Framed, Foreign Public Opinion Shifted: Evidence from Health Diplomacy During a Crisis","authors":"Ka-Oak Rhee, C. Crabtree, Y. Horiuchi","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3776777","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3776777","url":null,"abstract":"While many countries increasingly try to manipulate their national images abroad, we know relatively little about their ability to shape foreign public opinion and thereby attract support for their desired policy outcomes. Using a survey experiment about a Russian donation to the U.S. early in the COVID-19 pandemic, we cast light on an under-investigated, theoretically important aspect of transnational opinion formation — the media's capacity to facilitate or impede a country's efforts to change their images. We find that an adapted news article excerpt describing Russia's donation as genuine decreases American citizens' support for sanctions on Russia. However, information suggesting that Russia attempts to make the U.S. look incapable and pressure the U.S. to lift its sanctions on Russia cancels out the positive effect of Russia's charity. Our paper has several broad theoretical implications for the literature on public opinion and international relations. First, contrary to the widely held belief that images are resistant to change, our empirical result suggests that countries can change their national images if a positive aspect of a government's decision is primed. Second, this success also fits with the theoretical claim that dramatic events (e.g., in our study, the novel coronavirus pandemic) provide windows for countries who wish to change their national images. Third, our study is the first to show empirical support for the psychological theory of \"insincerity aversion\" in the context of international relations. Fourth, it contributes to the growing international relations literature on \"health diplomacy\" during a crisis.","PeriodicalId":304171,"journal":{"name":"Conflict Studies: Domestic Politics eJournal","volume":"104 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115699795","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Militarized Extremism: The Radical Right and the War on Terror","authors":"A. Hall, Jerod Hassell, Chivon H. Fitch","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3857771","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3857771","url":null,"abstract":"This manuscript analyzes an important dynamic of far-right extremism in the United States. In particular, we seek to understand the relationship between the far-right and the military and how far-right groups have militarized. Using the 9/11 terror attacks and the subsequent war on terror as an event study, we explore how the actions of the military with respect to recruitment standards and deployment allowed for the progressive militarization of these extremists and their groups. We explore several channels through which the skills and tools developed as a part of the larger war on terror have come to be used by the far-right. These dynamics highlight an overlooked, yet important, cost of the war on terror. <br><br>","PeriodicalId":304171,"journal":{"name":"Conflict Studies: Domestic Politics eJournal","volume":"47 12","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114050896","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Presidential Model and the Machinery for Foreign Policy Making. the Nigerian Experience","authors":"Owede Robbins Igbani","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3851316","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3851316","url":null,"abstract":"This paper examines the machineries for implementation of foreign policy goals in a presidential system of government using Nigeria as a model. These machineries include; the President who is the chief implementer of the nation’s foreign policy. Followed by the Minister of Foreign Affairs, the chief negotiator of the state and policy advisor to the President. Most significantly, is the MFA, the key machinery that provides the platform for the conduct of the nation’s foreign policy relations. The study also looked at the role played by the parliament in foreign policy making and research institutes and Think-Tank Groups like NIIA, NIPSS and IPCR in influencing, articulating, and formulation of the Nation’s foreign policy goals. The study observes that foreign policy making is not the prerogative of the President and the MFA alone but rather the Parliament and Think-Tank groups also play prominent roles. It also observes that foreign policy goals do not emanate from the MFA alone but rather from other Ministries like defense, trade, investment, education, justice, culture, tourism etc. also play key roles in policy formulation and implementation. Thus, the MFA coordinate policies emanating from these Ministries, agencies, and think-tank groups. The study therefore, concludes that under the presidential system of government as practiced in Nigeria and the United States, a network of synergy exists among the various organs, agencies, and relevant think-tanks group.The study made use of qualitative research design and uses content and thematic approach in analyzing the data.","PeriodicalId":304171,"journal":{"name":"Conflict Studies: Domestic Politics eJournal","volume":"115 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133691369","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"South Korea's New Southern Policy as an Open Regime: A View from Southeast Asia","authors":"A. Rabena","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3881560","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3881560","url":null,"abstract":"There are four ways on how the NSP Plus could be further improved. First, to avoid policy limitations and maximize the room for supply chain resiliency and functional cooperation, the coverage of the NSP countries can be expanded apart from ASEAN and India. Second, South Korea can employ the concept of Third-Party Market Cooperation (TPMC) or the pursuit of joint ventures or partnerships with other countries in maximizing capacity-building in third countries (NSP countries). Third, South Korea can help strengthen ASEAN institution-building, regionalism and internal balancing by applying a similar policy framework to the Brunei-Indonesia-Malaysia-Philippines East ASEAN Growth Area (BIMP-EAGA) just as it does to the Mekong Region. Fourth, there needs to be more reciprocity or two-way interaction in the NSP so as to not make it seem that ASEAN is only on the receiving end of South Korean generosity. Finally, it is important to note that a change in the South Korean administration does not necessarily spell the end of the NSP just as the US’ Pivot or Rebalance to Asia of the Obama Administration was remodeled to the Indo-Pacific under the Trump administration.","PeriodicalId":304171,"journal":{"name":"Conflict Studies: Domestic Politics eJournal","volume":"14 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126897797","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Russian Foreign Policy Towards Bosnia And Herzegovina In 1992-2019","authors":"Mehrzod Sharifzoda","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3732085","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3732085","url":null,"abstract":"This article is devoted to analyzing the Kremlin's foreign policy in the post-Yugoslav space by the case of Russia's foreign policy towards Bosnia and Herzegovina. An analysis of Russia's foreign policy towards Bosnia and Herzegovina will help to identify the strengths and weaknesses of Russia's foreign policy towards the post-Yugoslav countries. In addition, the author, examining the Russian-Bosnian relations during the last 27 years, tries to show the foreign policy of the superpower towards quasi-confederation and determine the place of Russia in the Western Balkans. <br>Special attention is paid in the article to relations between Russia and the Republika Srpska which is against the entry of BiH to NATO. The close relations of Republika Srpska with Russia contradict the plans of the USA, which want to see BiH in NATO. Since the 1990s, the US has been trying to oust Russia from the Western Balkans. However, Russia demonstrates an aspiration to prevent the entry of BiH to NATO and supports the policy of Republika Srpska.","PeriodicalId":304171,"journal":{"name":"Conflict Studies: Domestic Politics eJournal","volume":"34 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-11-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132214540","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Budget Breaker? The Financial Cost of U.S. Military Alliances","authors":"J. Alley, M. Fuhrmann","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3694077","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3694077","url":null,"abstract":"How do alliance commitments affect U.S. military spending? This question is at the heart of debates about the value of alliances and the future of U.S. grand strategy. One perspective, which we call the budget hawk view, asserts that alliances are exorbitantly expensive, as they require military investments to deter third-party adversaries and reassure allies, encourage free-riding, and facilitate reckless allied behavior. A competing view, which we label the bargain hunter perspective, claims that U.S. alliance commitments are relatively cheap and might even reduce military spending. Allies provide key military capabilities, reassurance and extended deterrence are cheaper than it might initially seem, and alliances reduce the need for costly military interventions by promoting peace. Despite the importance of this debate, few studies have attempted to determine the degree to which alliance commitments affect U.S. military spending. We use over-time variation in the number of U.S. alliance commitments to estimate their financial toll. A statistical model of U.S. defense expenditures from 1947 to 2019 shows that one new alliance commitment adds between $11 and $21 billion to the size of the defense budget. Military alliances benefit the United States in many ways but, consistent with the budget hawk view, they are expensive for Washington to maintain. As scholars and policymakers weigh the benefits and burdens of alliance commitments, they should consider whether the political and economic gains of security guarantees exceed their high financial cost.","PeriodicalId":304171,"journal":{"name":"Conflict Studies: Domestic Politics eJournal","volume":"29 10","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132934485","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"COVID-19 and the Future of the United States as a World Leader","authors":"J. Goldstone","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3571468","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3571468","url":null,"abstract":"Much of the long-term impact of the COVID-19 pandemic will depend on how the US government manages the disruption this pandemic causes to Americans’ way of life. The long-term lessons and policies resulting from this experience will reshape the country’s future. In this brief, I will address two major issues: <br><br>(1) long-term demographic impacts, especially regarding health and immigration policies, and <br><br>(2) the US sphere of influence and standing among the nations of the world.","PeriodicalId":304171,"journal":{"name":"Conflict Studies: Domestic Politics eJournal","volume":"32 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-03-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131627302","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Recasting China’s Foreign Policy: Focusing on Post-Jiang Leaders’ Authority Building","authors":"H. Park, Daria Kim","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3527942","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3527942","url":null,"abstract":"This article is structured as follows. Part II provides a succinct summary of recent China’s assertive external conduct. Based on the created Assertive Foreign Policy Index, we choose several cases from the sample for the deeper analysis to understand the reasons behind foreign policy decisions. Part III illuminates the authority-building theoretical framework, redefined from Breslauer (1982) analysis of post-Stalin leaders. Through the authority-building framework lens, we can penetrate into China’s domestic politics, having a better understanding of the decision-making process. Part IV explains the specific characteristics of leaders’ authority-building in post-Jiang’s China and its implications to foreign policy. Part V provides an in-depth case study analysis, comparing Hu and Xi authorities and its influence on a range of foreign policy choices they have. Part VI concludes the analysis and provides some insight for further research.","PeriodicalId":304171,"journal":{"name":"Conflict Studies: Domestic Politics eJournal","volume":"117 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133099330","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}