M. Dubrovský, M. Salis, P. Štěpánek, P. Duce, P. Zahradníček, J. Meitner, M. Mozny
{"title":"Modelling Present and Future Wildfire Risk with Use of a Fire Weather Index, Spatial Weather Generator and Regional Climate Models","authors":"M. Dubrovský, M. Salis, P. Štěpánek, P. Duce, P. Zahradníček, J. Meitner, M. Mozny","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017130","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017130","url":null,"abstract":"To construct time series for a Fire Weather Index (FWI), input weather series may come from various sources. Observed weather station data or gridded series interpolated from observations are commonly used to produce FWI series representing the present climate. FWI series representing the future may be based on RCM-simulated data or on series synthesized by a stochastic weather generator (WG). In the latter case, WG parameters are calibrated with observed weather data and modified using the climate change (CC) scenarios derived from GCM or RCM simulations. The application of a WG implies some advantages, including: (a) arbitrarily long series may be produced, allowing us to make a probabilistic assessment of CC impacts on the FWI. (b) only selected characteristics of the multi-variate multi-site weather series may be modified when modifying WG parameters before producing the weather series representing the modified climate (the complete CC scenario consists of changes in averages and standard deviations of weather variables, and changes in the temporal and spatial structure of weather series); this allows us to assess the sensitivity of the FWI to changes in individual statistical characteristics of the weather series. We use the spatial daily weather generator SPAGETTA (Dubrovsky et 2020, Theor. Appl. Climatol.) to produce a synthetic weather series representing present and future climates for Czechia (125 weather stations) and Sardinia (15 stations). FWI time series are constructed using both present-climate and future-climate weather series, and the changes in FWI characteristics due to climate change are assessed. The future climate weather series are produced with WG modified using the CC scenarios derived from a set of RCMs. In assessing the results, we focus on high FWI values, spatial extent of the area with high FWI values, and the duration of the periods with a high FWI. The results based on the WG-synthesized weather series are compared with those based on the RCM-simulated series.","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"53 6","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131603393","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
K. Meerpoel-Pietri, V. tihay-felicelli, P. Santoni
{"title":"Laboratory Investigation of Flammability of Two Decking Slabs Used in the Wildland–Urban Interface","authors":"K. Meerpoel-Pietri, V. tihay-felicelli, P. Santoni","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017129","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017129","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"38 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122574248","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Multi-Factor Analysis of House Loss in Two Major Wildfire Seasons in NSW Australia","authors":"O. Price","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017128","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017128","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"147 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127462043","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
C. Bruni, B. Aparício, A. Benali, Beatriz Lourenço, M. Marta‐Almeida, S. Barreiro, A. Rocha, A. Sá
{"title":"Wildfire Hazard and Risk Assessment in Pulp Paper Industrial Properties under Extreme Weather Conditions: A Case Study in North-Western Portugal","authors":"C. Bruni, B. Aparício, A. Benali, Beatriz Lourenço, M. Marta‐Almeida, S. Barreiro, A. Rocha, A. Sá","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017126","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017126","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"1768 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129522368","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Modelling the Wildfire Risk Components Using Experts Opinions-Based Multicriteria Evaluation: A Focus on Fire Ignition and Outbreak Hazards","authors":"E. Maillé, Abdesslam Chai-allah, C. Bouillon","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017127","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017127","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"29 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121269943","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Bruno Martinent, K. Meerpoel-Pietri, P. Santoni, V. tihay-felicelli, T. Barboni
{"title":"Smoke Emission from Burning Wood and Thermoplastic Decking Slabs with a Calorimeter Cone","authors":"Bruno Martinent, K. Meerpoel-Pietri, P. Santoni, V. tihay-felicelli, T. Barboni","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017125","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017125","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"290 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132603021","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Antonio Pasquale Belloi, Stefano Campesi, Corrado Nieddu, Francesco Tola, Sergio Deiana, Marinella Zizi, Giancarlo Muntoni, Giovanni Tesei, A. Delitala, C. Dessy
{"title":"Strategies and Measures for Wildfire Risk Mitigation in the Mediterranean Area: The MED-Star Project","authors":"Antonio Pasquale Belloi, Stefano Campesi, Corrado Nieddu, Francesco Tola, Sergio Deiana, Marinella Zizi, Giancarlo Muntoni, Giovanni Tesei, A. Delitala, C. Dessy","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017124","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017124","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"23 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127011336","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Assessment of Post-Fire Vegetation Recovery Using Fire Severity in Sardinia (Oristano—Montiferru)","authors":"R. Lovreglio, Antonio Ganga, Francesca Putzolu","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017123","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017123","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"76 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121701452","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Y. Pérez-Ramirez, A. Graziani, P. Santoni, J. Ziegler, C. Hoffman, W. Mell, V. tihay-felicelli, A. Ganteaume
{"title":"Modelling Cork Oak Woodlands for Wildfire Simulations with WFDS: The Role of Vegetation Spatial Patterns","authors":"Y. Pérez-Ramirez, A. Graziani, P. Santoni, J. Ziegler, C. Hoffman, W. Mell, V. tihay-felicelli, A. Ganteaume","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017122","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017122","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"104 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124688235","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Leverage ArcGIS Remote Sensing Tools to Improve Wildfire Management","authors":"Christina Ferner","doi":"10.3390/environsciproc2022017120","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022017120","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":291013,"journal":{"name":"The Third International Conference on Fire Behavior and Risk","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130715809","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}