Xiao Yue, Zhifang Li, Lei Wang, Li Huang, Zhikang Zhao, Panpan Wang, Shuo Wang, Xiyun Gong, Shu Zhang, Zhengbin Wang
{"title":"[Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting 3-month mortality risk in patients with sepsis-associated acute kidney injury].","authors":"Xiao Yue, Zhifang Li, Lei Wang, Li Huang, Zhikang Zhao, Panpan Wang, Shuo Wang, Xiyun Gong, Shu Zhang, Zhengbin Wang","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231218-01091","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231218-01091","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To develop and evaluate a nomogram prediction model for the 3-month mortality risk of patients with sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (S-AKI).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Based on the American Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care- IV (MIMIC- IV), clinical data of S-AKI patients from 2008 to 2021 were collected. Initially, 58 relevant predictive factors were included, with all-cause mortality within 3 months as the outcome event. The data were divided into training and testing sets at a 7 : 3 ratio. In the training set, univariate Logistic regression analysis was used for preliminary variable screening. Multicollinearity analysis, Lasso regression, and random forest algorithm were employed for variable selection, combined with the clinical application value of variables, to establish a multivariable Logistic regression model, visualized using a nomogram. In the testing set, the predictive value of the model was evaluated through internal validation. The receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the discrimination of nomogram model and Oxford acute severity of illness score (OASIS), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), and systemic inflammatory response syndrome score (SIRS). The calibration curve was used to evaluate the calibration, and decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to assess the net benefit at different probability thresholds.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Based on the survival status at 3 months after diagnosis, patients were divided into 7 768 (68.54%) survivors and 3 566 (31.46%) death. In the training set, after multiple screenings, 7 variables were finally included in the nomogram model: Logistic organ dysfunction system (LODS), Charlson comorbidity index, urine output, international normalized ratio (INR), respiratory support mode, blood urea nitrogen, and age. Internal validation in the testing set showed that the AUC of nomogram model was 0.81 [95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.80-0.82], higher than the OASIS score's 0.70 (95%CI was 0.69-0.71) and significantly higher than the SOFA score's 0.57 (95%CI was 0.56-0.58) and SIRS score's 0.56 (95%CI was 0.55-0.57), indicating good discrimination. The calibration curve demonstrated that the nomogram model's calibration was better than the OASIS, SOFA, and SIRS scores. The DCA curve suggested that the nomogram model's clinical net benefit was better than the OASIS, SOFA, and SIRS scores at different probability thresholds.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>A nomogram prediction model for the 3-month mortality risk of S-AKI patients, based on clinical big data from MIMIC- IV and including seven variables, demonstrates good discriminative ability and calibration, providing an effective new tool for assessing the prognosis of S-AKI patients.</p>","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141284948","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Xiaoting Zhang, Jinhai Liu, Xiaoming Deng, Lulong Bo
{"title":"[Research progress on the role of endothelial mechanically sensitive ion channel protein Piezo1 in diseases].","authors":"Xiaoting Zhang, Jinhai Liu, Xiaoming Deng, Lulong Bo","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230911-00775","DOIUrl":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230911-00775","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Endothelial cells have important physiological functions and regulatory effects related to the occurrence and development of various diseases. Piezo1 is a mechanically sensitive ion channel protein, which is widely distributed in various tissues of the body and participates in the occurrence and development of various diseases. Piezo1 is highly expressed in endothelial cells and plays an important regulatory role in endothelial cell function. This article reviews the structure and function of Piezo1, the physiological function and pathological damage mechanism of endothelial cells, and the role of endothelial cell Piezo1 in various diseases, in order to understand the function and regulation mechanism of endothelial cell Piezo1, and provide new targets and strategies for the treatment of related diseases.</p>","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141284961","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Juan He, Ying Liu, Lu Li, Jinfeng Yang, Xijing Zhang, Qimin Chen, Jiaoyangzi Liu, Feng Shen
{"title":"[Effect of different durations of prone ventilation on the efficacy of patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome: a small Meta-analysis].","authors":"Juan He, Ying Liu, Lu Li, Jinfeng Yang, Xijing Zhang, Qimin Chen, Jiaoyangzi Liu, Feng Shen","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231108-00958","DOIUrl":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231108-00958","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To systematically evaluate the effect of different durations of prone ventilation on the efficacy of patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A computer search was conducted in databases including PubMed, Cochrane Library, Embase, CNKI, Wanfang Database, VIP Database, and China Biomedical Literature Database for studies on prone ventilation for the treatment of adult patients with ARDS published from the establishment of the database to September 2023. Studies were categorized into ≤ 24 hours group and > 24 hours group based on the duration of prone ventilation. Outcome indicators included mortality, the length of intensive care unit (ICU) stay, incidence of pressure ulcers, and operation of tracheotomy. Two researchers independently screened the literature, extracted information, and evaluated the risk of bias of the included literature. The quality of the included literature was assessed using the NOS scale, and the effect of different durations of prone ventilation on the efficacy of ARDS was analyzed by Meta-analysis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 517 patients from 4 papers were finally included, including 249 patients with prone ventilation duration ≤ 24 hours and 268 patients with prone ventilation duration > 24 hours. All 4 studies were cohort studies, and the overall inclusion of literature assessed for methodological quality indicated high study quality and low risk of bias. Meta-analysis showed that there were no significantly differences in mortality [relative risk (RR) = 1.02, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.79 to 1.31, P = 0.88], the length of ICU stay [mean difference (MD) = -2.68, 95%CI was -5.30 to - 0.05, P = 0.05] between the prone ventilation duration ≤ 24 hours group and prone ventilation duration > 24 hours group. Compared with the prone ventilation duration ≤24 hours group, the incidence of pressure ulcers (RR = 0.76, 95%CI was 0.59 to 0.98, P = 0.04) and the operation of tracheotomy (RR = 0.71, 95%CI was 0.53 to 0.94, P = 0.02) were significantly increased in the prone ventilation duration > 24 hours group.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The duration of prone ventilation had no significant effect on the mortality and the length of ICU stay in ARDS patients, but prone ventilation for > 24 hours increased the incidence of pressure ulcers and the operation of tracheotomy, which still needs to be further verified by a large number of studies due to the small number of included studies.</p>","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141284949","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"[Is monitoring of anti-factor Xa levels required for low molecular weight heparin prophylaxis of venous thromboembolism in critically ill patients?]","authors":"Mengxi Ding, Yachan Ning, Lipo Song, Peijuan Li, Fangfei Xie, Shuangling Li, Chunmei Wang","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231103-00937","DOIUrl":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231103-00937","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The incidence and mortality of venous thromboembolism (VTE) are high in critically ill patients, and there is still a risk of VTE and bleeding after the use of fixed-dose low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) for prophylaxis. The level of anti-factor Xa is not up to standard after LMWH prophylaxis in patients with surgery or trauma. The condition of critically ill patients is complicated, and the proportion of patients with low antithrombin III is high, which can affect the prophylactic efficacy of LMWH and contribute to VTE occurrence. There is currently no consensus on whether adjusting LMWH dose according to anti-factor Xa levels can reduce VTE occurrence in critically ill patients. High-quality multicenter randomized controlled studies are needed in the future to establish new approaches for precise prevention of VTE in critically ill patients.</p>","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141284953","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yuqin Huang, Lei Long, Qiang Huang, Qunbo Wang, Ke Jin, Tao Ju, Luting Dai, Huaqiang Xu, Wenguo Wang, Quan Zhou
{"title":"[Observation on the efficacy of continuous veno-venous hemodia-filtration combined with hemoperfusion HA380 in the treatment of 15 cases of heat stroke with multiple organ dysfunction syndrome].","authors":"Yuqin Huang, Lei Long, Qiang Huang, Qunbo Wang, Ke Jin, Tao Ju, Luting Dai, Huaqiang Xu, Wenguo Wang, Quan Zhou","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230728-00561","DOIUrl":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20230728-00561","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To investigate the clinical efficacy of continuous veno-venous hemodia-filtration (CVVHDF) combined with hemoperfusion (HP) HA380 in the treatment of heat stroke patients with multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective and observational study was conducted. A total of 15 patients with heat stroke combined with MODS who were admitted to the department of intensive care unit (ICU) of Suizhou Central Hospital/Hubei University of Medicine from July to September 2022 were selected as the study objects. All 15 patients were treated with CVVHDF combined with HA380 based on the comprehensive management strategy for severe illness. Organ function indicators [including total bilirubin (TBil), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), creatine kinase (CK), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), creatinine (Cr), cardiac troponin T (cTnT), myoglobin (Myo), MB isoenzyme of creatine kinase (CK-MB), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA)] and inflammatory indicators [including white blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil count (NEU), C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), and interleukin-6 (IL-6)] were collected. The improvements of the above indexes at admission, after the first HP, after the second HP, after the third HP, and on the 5th day of treatment were compared. Combined with the clinical outcome of patients, the comprehensive efficacy of CVVHDF combined with HA380 in the treatment of severe heat radiation disease was evaluated.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>There were 10 males and 5 females among the 15 patients. The average age was (64.5±11.5) years old. There were 6 cases of classical heat stroke and 9 cases of exertional heat stroke. Glasgow coma scale (GCS) was 3-8 at admission; SOFA score was 9-17 within 12 hours after admission; acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) was 25-45 within 24 hours after admission. After treatment, the IL-6 level and SOFA score gradually decreased, and there were significant differences in the decrease after the second HP compared to admission [IL-6 (ng/L): 48.37 (15.36, 113.03) vs. 221.90 (85.87, 425.90), SOFA: 8.3±3.3 vs. 11.1±2.4, both P < 0.05]. The PCT level reached its peak after the first HP [12.51 (6.07, 41.65) μg/L], and then gradually decreased, and the difference was statistically significant after the third HP [1.26 (0.82, 5.40) μg/L, P < 0.05]. Compared those at admission, Cr level significantly improved after the first HP (μmol/L: 66.94±25.57 vs. 110.80±31.13, P < 0.01), Myo significantly decreased after the second HP [μg/L: 490.90 (164.98, 768.05) vs. 3 000.00 (293.00, 3 000.00), P < 0.05], After the third HP, the CK level also showed significant improvement [U/L: 476.0 (413.0, 922.0) vs. 2 107.0 (729.0, 2 449.0), P < 0.05]. After CVVHDF combined with 3 times HP treatment, the patient's inflammatory response was gradually controlled and organ function gradually recovered. On the 5th day of the disease course, WB","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141284955","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"[Predictive value of albumin-to-fibrinogen ratio for acute kidney injury in infants undergoing ventricular septal defect repair with cardiopulmonary bypass].","authors":"Jing Chen, Mengtian Zhao, Chuanying Li, Jian Zhang","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240122-00076","DOIUrl":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240122-00076","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To investigate the predictive value of albumin-to-fibrinogen ratio (AFR) for postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) in infants with ventricular septal defect repair under cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective analysis was conducted on infants diagnosed with ventricular septal defect in Anhui Children's Hospital from January 2019 to July 2023. The infants were divided into AKI group and non-AKI group according to whether AKI occurred in hospital after operation. Demographic data, preoperative data, intraoperative data, postoperative data and laboratory results during CPB were collected. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to find the factors of AKI after ventricular septal defect repair with CPB. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to analyze the predictive value of AFR for postoperative AKI after ventricular septal defect repair with CPB.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 215 children were collected, including 28 in AKI group and 187 in non-AKI group. There were no significant differences in age, gender, body weight, height, history of pneumonia and history of chronic heart failure between the two groups, but the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in the AKI group was significantly lower than that in the non-AKI group (0.526±0.028 vs. 0.538±0.030, P = 0.048). The duration of CPB (minutes: 74.1±12.1 vs. 65.8±11.3, P < 0.001), aortic cross-clamping (minutes: 41.7±9.7 vs. 37.2±9.4, P = 0.021) and hypothermic circulation arrest (21.4% vs. 8.6%, P = 0.047) in AKI group were significantly higher than those in non-AKI group, but there were no significant differences in the proportion of ultrafiltration and urine volume between the two groups. The length of intensive care unit (ICU) stay in AKI group was significantly longer than that in non-AKI group (days: 5.3±2.0 vs. 4.0±1.7, P < 0.001), but there were no significant differences in duration of mechanical ventilation and the proportion of postoperative hypotension between the two groups. During CPB, the levels of blood glucose (mmol/L: 9.4±1.3 vs. 8.8±0.8, P < 0.001), blood lactic acid (mmol/L: 2.2±0.3 vs. 2.0±0.3, P = 0.015) and serum creatinine (μmol/L: 79.7±11.5 vs. 74.4±10.9, P = 0.018) in AKI group were significantly higher than those in non-AKI group, while the AFR was significantly lower than that in non-AKI group (8.5±1.3 vs. 10.2±1.6, P < 0.001), but there were no significant differences in the levels of hemoglobin, blood urea nitrogen, alanine aminotransferase and aspartate aminotransferase between the two groups during CPB. Multivariate Logistic regression showed that AFR was a protective factor for AKI after ventricular septal defect repair with CPB [odds ratio (OR) = 0.439, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.288-0.669, P < 0.001]. Blood glucose (OR = 2.133, 95%CI was 1.239-3.672, P = 0.006) and blood lactic acid (OR = 5.568, 95%CI was 1.102-28.149, P = 0.038) w","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141284958","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Huijuan Shao, Yan Wang, Hongwei Zhang, Yapeng Zhou, Jiangming Zhang, Haoqi Yao, Dong Liu, Dongmei Liu
{"title":"[Analysis of 28 day-mortality risk factors in sepsis patients and construction and validation of predictive model].","authors":"Huijuan Shao, Yan Wang, Hongwei Zhang, Yapeng Zhou, Jiangming Zhang, Haoqi Yao, Dong Liu, Dongmei Liu","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231109-00961","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231109-00961","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To construct and validate a nomogram model for predicting the risk of 28-day mortality in sepsis patients.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective cohort study was conducted. 281 sepsis patients admitted to the department of intensive care unit (ICU) of the 940th Hospital of the Joint Logistics Support Force of PLA from January 2017 to December 2022 were selected as the research subjects. The patients were divided into a training set (197 cases) and a validation set (84 cases) according to a 7 : 3 ratio. The general information, clinical treatment measures and laboratory examination results within 24 hours after admission to ICU were collected. Patients were divided into survival group and death group based on 28-day outcomes. The differences in various data were compared between the two groups. The optimal predictive variables were selected using Lasso regression, and univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify factors influencing the mortality of sepsis patients and to establish a nomogram model. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve), calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and clinical impact curve (CIC) were used to evaluate the nomogram model.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Out of 281 cases of sepsis, 82 cases died with a mortality of 29.18%. The number of patients who died in the training and validation sets was 54 and 28, with a mortality of 27.41% and 33.33% respectively. Lasso regression, univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analysis screened for 5 independent predictors associated with 28-day mortality. There were use of vasoactive drugs [odds ratio (OR) = 5.924, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.244-44.571, P = 0.043], acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II: OR = 1.051, 95%CI was 1.000-1.107, P = 0.050), combined with multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS: OR = 17.298, 95%CI was 5.517-76.985, P < 0.001), neutrophil count (NEU: OR = 0.934, 95%CI was 0.879-0.988, P = 0.022) and oxygenation index (PaO<sub>2</sub>/FiO<sub>2</sub>: OR = 0.994, 95%CI was 0.988-0.998, P = 0.017). A nomogram model was constructed using the independent predictive factors mentioned above, ROC curve analysis showed that the AUC of the nomogram model was 0.899 (95%CI was 0.856-0.943) and 0.909 (95%CI was 0.845-0.972) for the training and validation sets respectively. The C-index was 0.900 and 0.920 for the training and validation sets respectively, with good discrimination. The Hosmer-Lemeshoe tests both showed P > 0.05, indicating good calibration. Both DCA and CIC plots demonstrate the model's good clinical utility.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The use of vasoactive, APACHE II score, comorbid MODS, NEU and PaO<sub>2</sub>/FiO<sub>2</sub> are independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis. The nomogram model based on these 5 indicators has a good predictive ability for the occurrence of morta","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141284943","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"[Predictive value of a risk prediction model guided by the ratio of respiratory rate to diaphragmatic thickening fraction for the timing of noninvasive-invasive mechanical ventilation transition in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease].","authors":"Xiaodong Li, Tian Li, Xingwei Di, Jingyu Liu","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231205-01051","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231205-01051","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To evaluate the predictive value of a risk prediction model guided by the ratio of respiratory rate to diaphragm thickening fraction (RR/DTF) for noninvasive-invasive mechanical ventilation transition timing in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD), through ultrasound evaluation of diaphragm movement indicators.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Sixty-four patients diagnosed with AECOPD and undergoing non-invasive ventilation (NIV), who were admitted to the department of critical care medicine of the First Affiliated Hospital of Jinzhou Medical University from January 2022 to July 2023 were enrolled. They were divided into NIV successful group and NIV failure group based on the outcome of NIV within 24 hours. Clinical indicators such as RR/DTF, diaphragmatic excursion (DE), tidal volume (VT), respiratory rate (RR), pH value, partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PaCO<sub>2</sub>), and sputum excretion disorder were compared between the two groups after 2 hours of NIV. The factors influencing NIV failure were included in binary Logistic regression analysis, and an RR/DTF oriented risk prediction model was established. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) analysis was used to assess the predictive value of this model for the timing of noninvasive-invasive mechanical ventilation transition in AECOPD patients.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 64 patients with AECOPD, with 43 in the NIV successful group and 21 in the NIV failure group. There were no statistically significant differences in baseline data such as age, gender, body mass index (BMI), oxygenation index (P/F), smoking history, and acute physiological and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) between the two groups of patients, indicating comparability. Compared to the NIV successful group, the NIV failure group showed a significantly increase in RR/DTF, RR, PaCO<sub>2</sub>, and sputum retention, while VT and DE were significantly decreased [RR/DTF (%): 1.00±0.18 vs. 0.89±0.22, RR (bpm): 21.64±3.13 vs. 19.62±2.98, PaCO<sub>2</sub> (mmHg, 1 mmHg ≈ 0.133 kPa): 70.82±8.82 vs. 65.29±9.47, sputum retention: 57.1% vs. 30.2%, VT (mL): 308.09±14.89 vs. 324.48±23.82, DE (mm): 19.91±2.94 vs. 22.05±3.30, all P < 0.05]. Binary Logistic regression analysis showed that RR/DTF [odds ratio (OR) = 147.989, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 3.321-595.412, P = 0.010], RR (OR = 1.296, 95%CI was 1.006-1.670, P = 0.045), VT (OR = 0.966, 95%CI was 0.935-0.999, P = 0.044), PaCO<sub>2</sub> (OR = 1.086, 95%CI was 1.006~1.173, P = 0.035), and sputum retention (OR = 4.533, 95%CI was 1.025-20.049, P = 0.046) were independent risk factors for predicting NIV failure in AECOPD patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of 0.713 with a 95%CI of 0.587-0.839 (P = 0.005). The sensitivity was 72.73%, the specificity was 88.10%, the Youden index was 0.394, and the optimal cut-off value was 0.87.</p><p><s","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141284957","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hongyan Xu, Qi Ren, Lihong Zhu, Juan Lin, Shangzhong Chen, Caibao Hu, Yanfei Shen, Guolong Cai
{"title":"[Construction and external validation of a risk prediction model for unplanned interruption during continuous renal replacement therapy].","authors":"Hongyan Xu, Qi Ren, Lihong Zhu, Juan Lin, Shangzhong Chen, Caibao Hu, Yanfei Shen, Guolong Cai","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231204-01045","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231204-01045","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To identify the independent factors of unplanned interruption during continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) and construct a risk prediction model, and to verify the clinical application effectiveness of the model.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective study was conducted on critically ill adult patients who received CRRT treatment in the intensive care unit (ICU) of Zhejiang Hospital from January 2021 to August 2022 for model construction. According to whether unplanned weaning occurred, the patients were divided into two groups. The potential influencing factors of unplanned CRRT weaning in the two groups were compared. The independent influencing factors of unplanned CRRT weaning were screened by binary Logistic regression and a risk prediction model was constructed. The goodness of fit of the model was verified by a Hosmer-Lemeshow test and its predictive validity was evaluated by receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve). Then embed the risk prediction model into the hospital's ICU multifunctional electronic medical record system for severe illness, critically ill patients with CRRT admitted to the ICU of Zhejiang Hospital from November 2022 to October 2023 were prospectively analyzed to verify the model's clinical application effect.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>(1) Model construction and internal validation: a total of 331 critically ill patients with CRRT were included to be retrospectively analyzed. Among them, there were 238 patients in planned interruption group and 93 patients in unplanned interruption group. Compared with the planned interruption group, the unplanned interruption group was shown as a lower proportion of males (80.6% vs. 91.6%) and a higher proportion of chronic diseases (60.2% vs. 41.6%), poor blood purification catheter function (31.2% vs. 6.3%), as a higher platelet count (PLT) before CRRT initiation [×10<sup>9</sup>/L: 137 (101, 187) vs. 109 (74, 160)], lower level of blood flow rate [mL/min: 120 (120, 150) vs. 150 (140, 180)], higher proportion of using pre-dilution (37.6% vs. 23.5%), higher filtration fraction [23.0% (17.5%, 32.9%) vs. 19.1% (15.7%, 22.6%)], and frequency of blood pump stops [times: 19 (14, 21) vs. 9 (6, 13)], the differences of the above 8 factors between the two groups were statistically significant (all P < 0.05). Binary Logistic regression analysis showed that chronic diseases [odds ratio (OR) = 3.063, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.200-7.819], blood purification catheter function (OR = 4.429, 95%CI was 1.270-15.451), blood flow rate (OR = 0.928, 95%CI was 0.900-0.957), and frequency of blood pump stops (OR = 1.339, 95%CI was 1.231-1.457) were the independent factors for the unplanned interruption of CRRT (all P < 0.05). These 4 factors were used to construct a risk prediction model, and ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) predicted by the model was 0.952 (95%CI was 0.930-0.973, P = 0.003 0), with a sen","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141284945","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yanjie Yang, Xin Gu, Hu Peng, Ling Yang, Xiangyou Yu, Li Zhang
{"title":"[Construction and application of sepsis bundle therapy management and practice program].","authors":"Yanjie Yang, Xin Gu, Hu Peng, Ling Yang, Xiangyou Yu, Li Zhang","doi":"10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231027-00917","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20231027-00917","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To construct a bundled therapy management and practice program for sepsis and explore its clinical application effect.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>(1) Construction of sepsis bundled therapy management and practice program: a project team was established to conduct literature review, select experts, compile and distribute questionnaires, organize, analyze expert opinions, and ensure quality control throughout the research process. From October to November 2022, expert letter consultation was carried out, and questionnaires were distributed and collected by on-site filling and WeChat. The Likert 5-point scale was used to rate each item. (2) Clinical application of the protocol: ninety patients with sepsis admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University from January to July 2022 were retrospectively selected as the control group, and routine bundle treatment and nursing strategy for sepsis were adopted. Ninety patients with sepsis admitted from January to July 2023 were prospectively selected as the intervention group. Based on the treatment and nursing strategy of the control group, sepsis bundled therapy management and practice program constructed using the Delphi inquiry method was implemented. The completion rate of 1-hour, 3-hour and 6-hour bundle, the levels of inflammatory indicators at 1, 3, 7 days of treatment, and prognostic indicators were compared between the two groups.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>(1) Construction of sepsis bundled therapy management and practice program: the final plan consists of 4 primary indicators, 15 secondary indicators and 34 tertiary indicators. The response rates for both rounds of inquiry questionnaires were 100%. The coefficients of expert authority value were 0.948 and 0.940, respectively. The coefficient of variation for each item was 0-0.287 and 0-0.187, respectively. Kendall's W coefficients were 0.242 and 0.249, respectively, with statistical significances (all P < 0.05). (2) Clinical application of the protocol: there were no statistically significant differences in baseline data such as age, gender, infection site, pathogen species, duration of mechanical ventilation, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) between the two groups. The completion rate of 1-hour, 3-hour and 6-hour bundle in the intervention group were higher than those in the control group (1-hour bundle completion rate: 53.30% vs. 21.10%, 3-hour bundle completion rate: 92.20% vs. 80.00%, 6-hour bundle completion rate: 88.89% vs. 65.56%, all P < 0.05). The levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), white blood cell count (WBC), procalcitonin (PCT), and interleukin-6 (IL-6) in two groups of patients showed statistically significant differences at different time points, between groups, and in interaction effects. Compared with the control group, the length of ICU stay in the interventi","PeriodicalId":24079,"journal":{"name":"Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141284944","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}