Therapeutic hypothermia and temperature management最新文献

{"title":"Characteristics and Outcomes of Veno-Arterial Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation in Accidental Hypothermia: A Multicenter Study in Japan.","authors":"Tadaharu Shiozumi, Yuki Miyamoto, Sachiko Morita, Naoki Ehara, Nobuhiro Miyamae, Yohei Okada, Takaaki Jo, Yasuyuki Sumida, Nobunaga Okada, Makoto Watanabe, Masahiro Nozawa, Ayumu Tsuruoka, Yoshihiro Fujimoto, Yoshiki Okumura, Tetsuhisa Kitamura, Bon Ohta, Tasuku Matsuyama","doi":"10.1089/ther.2024.0061","DOIUrl":"10.1089/ther.2024.0061","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Despite growing evidence supporting the efficacy of veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) for accidental hypothermia (AH), few studies have assessed its real-world application. We aimed to describe the use and outcomes of VA-ECMO in AH patients using data from a multicenter registry. This retrospective study included adult AH patients from the Japanese accidental hypothermia network registry (J-Point registry) between April 2011 and March 2016. We analyzed patient characteristics, in-hospital data, VA-ECMO indications, and clinical outcomes for those who received VA-ECMO. Of the 537 patients in this registry, 22 received VA-ECMO, with a median age of 80 years. Severe AH was present in 18 patients, and 10 experienced cardiac arrest (CA) on hospital arrival. VA-ECMO was indicated for CA on hospital arrival (10 patients), CA after hospital arrival (5), hemodynamic instability (5), and severe hypothermia (1), with 1 case having an unclear indication. Rewarming was successful in 18 patients, and 9 survived. Survival was higher among those with CA on hospital arrival (5/10) compared with those who developed CA after hospital arrival (1/5). This study highlights the clinical application and outcomes of VA-ECMO for AH patients using multicenter registry data. Among the 22 patients who received VA-ECMO, 9 survived. Patients with CA on hospital arrival showed better survival compared with those who developed CA after arrival, emphasizing the importance of timely VA-ECMO initiation. Further research is warranted to refine patient selection, optimize initiation timing, and evaluate long-term outcomes.</p>","PeriodicalId":22972,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic hypothermia and temperature management","volume":" ","pages":"16-23"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143391774","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Efficacy of Peritoneal Dialysis in Acute Kidney Injury in Neonates with Hypoxic-Ischemic Encephalopathy Treated with Therapeutic Hypothermia.","authors":"Aydin Bozkaya, Asli Okbay Gunes","doi":"10.1089/ther.2025.0001","DOIUrl":"10.1089/ther.2025.0001","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>We aimed to evaluate the efficacy of peritoneal dialysis (PD) in hypoxic-ischemic acute kidney injury (AKI) in newborns with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) who underwent therapeutic hypothermia (TH). This was a retrospective study including the newborns with HIE/TH who developed hypoxic-ischemic AKI and underwent PD between January 2022 and June 2024. The blood test results obtained before starting PD were compared with the blood test results obtained just before the decision to terminate PD or, in case of death, with the final blood test results obtained before death. Twenty-one newborns were included in the study. Four (19%) of these newborns were diagnosed with moderate HIE, and 17 (81%) were diagnosed with severe HIE. The median gestational age of the patients was 38 (36-39) weeks, and the mean birth weight was 3083 ± 494 g. The median postnatal day when PD started was 3 (2-4) days and its duration was 7 (4-10) days. All patients had fluid overload as an indication for PD dialysis, and fluid overload was accompanied by hyperkalemia in 8 (38.1%) patients. After PD, blood pH, bicarbonate, and sodium values increased significantly (<i>p</i> ≤ 0.001, 0.009, <0.001, respectively), and potassium, phosphorus, and creatinine values decreased significantly (<i>p</i> ≤ 0.001, <0.001, 0.031, respectively) compared with the predialysis values. PD corrects acidosis and electrolyte imbalance and may be considered as a successful renal replacement therapy for hypoxic-ischemic AKI in neonates with HIE/TH, especially in units with limited resources.</p>","PeriodicalId":22972,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic hypothermia and temperature management","volume":" ","pages":"24-29"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143068049","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Development and Internal Validation of a Risk Model to Estimate Probability of Intraoperative Hypothermia in Adult Surgical Patients.","authors":"Wenjun Liu, Xuetao Jiang, Haolin Zhang, Guiying Yang","doi":"10.1089/ther.2024.0058","DOIUrl":"10.1089/ther.2024.0058","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Intraoperative hypothermia is associated with various perioperative complications and an increased risk of mortality. This study aims to develop and validate a reliable risk model, the Intraoperative Hypothermia Risk Estimating Model (IHREM), for assessing the likelihood of intraoperative hypothermia in adult patients receiving different types of surgery and anesthesia. Data from 1815 surgical patients were collected, with 1521 used to develop the IHREM training set. Univariate logistic regression was utilized to evaluate the parameters included in the study. For the first time, parameters showing non-linear associations with the risk of intraoperative hypothermia were evaluated and then incorporated into a primary model using restricted cubic splines (RCS), based on the result of multivariate logistic regression. The final model was comprised of 12 risk factors, including body mass index (BMI), fasting time, preoperative heart rate, preoperative tympanic temperature, intravenous fluid administration volume, intraoperative irrigation volume, estimated blood loss, duration of anesthesia, surgical position, intraoperative warming, operation room temperature, and humidity. The IHREM model demonstrated satisfactory performance in the training set, exhibiting reliable discrimination, calibration, overall performance, and clinical utility. In the temporal validation set (<i>n</i> = 294), the c-index, calibration intercept and calibration slope, Brier score, and <i>R</i>² were determined to be 0.763 (95% CI, 0.710-0.819), 0.394 (95% CI, 0.118-0.680), 0.865 (95% CI, 0.638-1.114), 0.204 (95% CI, 0.180-0.229), and 0.236, respectively. Meanwhile, decision curve analysis and clinical impact curve showed that IHREM provides promising clinical value. In addition, RCS analysis indicated that maintaining the operation room temperature above 20°C is sufficient to prevent hypothermia while increasing or sustaining the preoperative core temperature to around 36.7-36.8°C significantly reduces the risk of hypothermia. IHREM holds promise as a valuable tool for identifying adult patients at risk of intraoperative hypothermia under various types of surgery and anesthesia, thereby supporting clinical decision-making.</p>","PeriodicalId":22972,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic hypothermia and temperature management","volume":" ","pages":"35-45"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144043565","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Persistent Pulmonary Hypertension Among Infants Undergoing Therapeutic Hypothermia for Hypoxic Ischemic Encephalopathy: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.","authors":"Rashida Javed, Tim J Van Hasselt, Narasimha Rao, Harsha Gowda","doi":"10.1177/21537658251370950","DOIUrl":"10.1177/21537658251370950","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to examine the association between persistent pulmonary hypertension (PPHN) and receipt of therapeutic hypothermia (TH), compared to those who did not receive TH, among infants with moderate or severe hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE). Systematic review and meta-analysis based on Ovid, Medline, Embase and Cochrane central searches from 01/01/2000 to 31/03/2025. We included only randomized control trials for meta-analysis and followed international guidelines for conducting systematic reviews. The primary outcome of the study was PPHN in infants undergoing TH for moderate to severe HIE. Among 185 articles identified using search strategy, 19 articles were assessed for eligibility. Eight randomized control trials (RCTs) met the inclusion criteria, and seven were included in meta-analysis. A random effects model used for the outcome of PPHN, comparing TH with NT or usual care, involving a pooled population of 1006 infants across seven studies. The relative risk of PPHN for TH versus NT was 1.13 (95% confidence interval 0.81 to 1.57). We noted risk of bias in the blinding of participants across included RCTs. We assessed nine observational studies and performed a narrative review. We noted that a considerable number of infants developed PPHN across TH and NT groups. We did not find evidence of an association between TH and PPHN in infants with moderate to severe HIE, although a considerable number of infants developed PPHN across both groups. We suggest that clinicians should be aware of the risk of PPHN to allow prompt investigation and management.</p>","PeriodicalId":22972,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic hypothermia and temperature management","volume":" ","pages":"21537658251370950"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144970297","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Early Prognostic Model for Predicting Adverse Outcomes in Neonates with Hypoxic-Ischemic Encephalopathy before Therapeutic Hypothermia.","authors":"Tomonori Kurimoto, Takuya Tokuhisa, Itaru Hayasaka, Hiroshi Ohashi, Tsuyoshi Yamamoto, Eiji Hirakawa, Takatsugu Maeda, Masato Kamitomo, Satoshi Ibara","doi":"10.1177/21537658251370513","DOIUrl":"10.1177/21537658251370513","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) affects 1.3-1.7 per 1000 live births and remains a major cause of neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI). Despite therapeutic hypothermia (TH), nearly half of infants with moderate to severe HIE experience death or NDI. Identifying early prognostic indicators before TH initiation is crucial for improving management and outcomes. We conducted a retrospective case-control study of 144 infants with HIE treated with TH at Kagoshima City Hospital (2000-2022); 100 underwent developmental evaluations at 18 months. Clinical parameters, including amplitude-integrated EEG (aEEG), Thompson scores, and resuscitation details, were analyzed. Logistic regression identified predictors of adverse outcomes: death, cerebral palsy, or developmental quotient <70. Univariate analysis revealed significant predictors, including low Apgar scores, low umbilical artery pH, aEEG abnormalities, high Thompson scores, and resuscitation details. Multivariate regression identified three independent predictors: aEEG abnormalities (adjusted odds ratios [aOR] 7.1, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.3-38.2), Thompson score ≥12 (aOR 5.4, 95% CI: 1.5-18.7), and chest compressions (aOR 31.6, 95% CI: 4.3-231.6). We developed and derived early prognostic model from these predictors, assigning +2 points for aEEG abnormalities, +2 points for a Thompson score ≥12, and +3 points for chest compressions. A total score ≥4 achieved high sensitivity (70.4%) and specificity (90.4%), with an area under the curve of 0.87 (95% CI: 0.77-0.94). The early prognostic model may serve as an effective tool for early risk stratification in neonates with HIE before TH initiation, supporting individualized treatment decisions. This score could help identify high-risk neonates who may benefit from additional neuroprotective strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":22972,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic hypothermia and temperature management","volume":" ","pages":"21537658251370513"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144970321","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Examining the Relationship Between Core Temperature, Heat Balance, and Energy Expenditure.","authors":"Victor Wu, Ryann DeMaio, Andrea Jonsson, Jenna Monteleone, Katharyn Flickinger, Alexandra Weissman, Francis Guyette, Daniel Buysse, Jonathan Birabaharan, Philip Empey, Clifton Callaway","doi":"10.1177/21537658251387188","DOIUrl":"10.1177/21537658251387188","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Core body temperature reflects core heat content, which is determined by the balance of heat production and heat loss. Studies and interventions focusing on temperature rarely measure metabolic heat production and heat loss. This study tests whether net heat balance (NHB) in humans can predict core temperature changes and secondarily whether NHB combined with skin surface temperatures (ST) can estimate core temperature. We conducted a laboratory study of healthy volunteers cooled with gel-adhesive circulating water pads with or without treatment with a drug (dexmedetomidine) to prevent shivering. We measured heat flux on the forehead, deltoid, anterior abdominal wall, and above the knee. We measured energy expenditure (W) using indirect calorimetry and core temperature (T) using deep gastrointestinal temperature. Thirteen participants (age 20-51 years; height 160-188 cm; mass 61-101 kg) participated in 21 protocol days. Mean (standard deviation [SD]) NHB ranged from +14 (26) W at baseline to -56 (25) W with drug and cooling pads. NHB predicted change in core temperature 60 minutes later (lagged regression slope: 0.33°C/100W; 95% confidence interval [CI] [0.2, 0.5]) (pseudo r² = 12.81%). Forehead ST had the narrowest limits of agreement [-2.6°C, -2.4°C] for predicting core temperature with a mean bias of -2.5°C. In conclusion, NHB of -100W predicts a 0.33°C/60 minutes decrease in core temperature. Forehead temperature is the most consistent peripheral site to predict core temperature. While a cooling device increases heat loss, energy expenditure (EE) also rises with surface cooling, minimizing NHB, and core temperature change unless a drug is utilized to suppress the increase in EE.</p>","PeriodicalId":22972,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic hypothermia and temperature management","volume":" ","pages":"21537658251387188"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145281094","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Targeted Temperature Management Strategies in Pediatric Patients with Return of Spontaneous Circulation after Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation-Assessed Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.","authors":"Mohammed Alsabri, Shree Rath, Ibrahim Kamal, Salma Tamer Abdelrahman, Mayam Mohamed Aziz, Eric Lusinski, Zena Saleh","doi":"10.1177/21537658251379156","DOIUrl":"10.1177/21537658251379156","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in children is a rare but catastrophic event, often resulting in significant neurological injury. Targeted temperature management (TTM), including therapeutic hypothermia (TH), has been proposed as a neuroprotective strategy. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to evaluate the effects of different TTM strategies on survival and neurological outcomes in pediatric patients after OHCA. A comprehensive literature search was conducted across PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Embase, and the Cochrane Library. Pooled outcomes were synthesized using odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI), and the certainty of evidence was appraised using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation approach. A total of nine studies encompassing 2107 pediatric patients were included. TH was associated with significantly higher odds of survival (OR: 1.72; 95% CI: 1.36-2.18; <i>p</i> < 0.0001) and favorable neurological outcome (OR: 1.64; 95% CI: 1.16-2.33; <i>p</i> = 0.006) compared to normothermia. Subgroup analysis demonstrated greater survival benefit at 12 months and improved neurological outcomes at 6-12 months. There were no statistically significant differences between groups in blood lactate levels, odds of arrhythmia, culture-proven infections, or length of hospital stay. The certainty of evidence for most outcomes was graded as low due to the predominance of nonrandomized studies and imprecision. TH as a TTM strategy following pediatric OHCA may offer survival and neurological advantage, particularly at longer-term follow-up, without a significant increase in adverse events. However, the low certainty of evidence highlights the need for further high-quality randomized trials to inform clinical practice and optimize neuroprotective care in this vulnerable population.</p>","PeriodicalId":22972,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic hypothermia and temperature management","volume":" ","pages":"21537658251379156"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145076042","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Use of the Delphi Method in the Construction of the Temperature Chain Management Scheme for Da Vinci Robot-Assisted Urological Surgical Patients.","authors":"Fengxia Chen, Huiying Li, Xin Liang, Tiantian Liu","doi":"10.1089/ther.2024.0048","DOIUrl":"10.1089/ther.2024.0048","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The study aimed to construct a temperature chain management scheme in patients undergoing Da Vinci Robot-assisted surgery in urological surgical patients by the Delphi method, providing a reference for the prevention and treatment of the inadvertent perioperative hypothermia. First, instructing by the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) Evidence-Based Healthcare model and systematically reviewing literature related to the prevention and treatment of perioperative hypothermia in Da Vinci robot-assisted surgery patients in the urological surgical patients from guideline-related websites and professional association websites. Second, carrying out the qualitative interviews, which were conducted with medical staff in the urology department and the Da Vinci robot-assisted surgery team in a teaching hospital. Third, a temperature chain management scheme draft was obtained by a panel meeting. Finally, using the Delphi method to evaluate the draft, demonstrating its scientificity and feasibility, and obtaining the final scheme. The temperature chain management scheme constructed by a Delphi method, embraced seven links from preoperative ward, preoperative transfer, anesthesia waiting room, operating room, postanesthesia recovery room, postoperative transfer, and postoperative ward. The enthusiasm degree of both rounds of expert consultation was 100%, with expert authority levels of 0.875 and 0.888, respectively, indicating good representativeness and authority. Kendall's coefficient in two rounds was 0.220 and 0.400, respectively, indicating a trend toward consensus among experts, which indicated the scheme had a high degree of credibility and feasibility. The temperature chain management scheme for Da Vinci robot-assisted surgery patients in the urology department, constructed by the Delphi method, is both scientific and feasible.</p>","PeriodicalId":22972,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic hypothermia and temperature management","volume":" ","pages":"174-183"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142648403","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Impact and Contributing Factors of Maternal Pyrexia Peaks During Labor on Maternal and Neonatal Outcomes.","authors":"Xiu-Fang Shao, Ping Lin, Ying-Ling Xiu, Kun-Hai Ren, Bing-Qing Lv","doi":"10.1089/ther.2024.0054","DOIUrl":"10.1089/ther.2024.0054","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study aims to equip clinicians with the necessary insights for identifying and managing pregnant women experiencing elevated maternal pyrexia during labor. It examines maternal and neonatal outcomes along with the factors associated with varying peak temperatures. A retrospective analysis was conducted on 319 pregnant women presenting with maternal pyrexia during labor. Participants were categorized into two groups based on peak temperature: Group A (<i>n</i> = 180, temperature <38°C) and Group B (<i>n</i> = 139, temperature ≥38°C). Basic characteristics, blood markers, and maternal and neonatal outcomes were compared between the two groups. (1) Group B exhibited a higher percentage of neutrophilic granulocytes (NE%) and C-reactive protein to lymphocyte ratio (CLR) compared with Group A (<i>p</i> < 0.05). (2) The rates of meconium-stained amniotic fluid, histological chorioamnionitis, hospitalization of neonates, and infections in neonates were greater in Group B than in Group A (<i>p</i> < 0.05). (3) Logistic regression analysis identified elevated CLR levels as a risk factor for peak temperatures exceeding 38°C, indicating that CLR could serve as a reliable predictor of maternal pyrexia above 38°C during labor. Higher maternal pyrexia peaks may exacerbate adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes, emphasizing the importance of timely clinical intervention. NE% and CLR could serve as valuable indicators for identifying underlying causes and predicting peak maternal pyrexia during labor.</p>","PeriodicalId":22972,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic hypothermia and temperature management","volume":" ","pages":"207-212"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143012236","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Development and Validation of a Predictive Nomogram for Intraoperative Hypothermia in Elderly Patients Undergoing Da Vinci Robot-Assisted Urological Tumor Resection: A Retrospective Cohort Study.","authors":"Xiaoyan Song, Siyu Jin, Minghui Ma, Haiwen Zheng, Liang Xin, Liu Tiantian","doi":"10.1089/ther.2024.0050","DOIUrl":"10.1089/ther.2024.0050","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study aims to construct a Nomogram for intraoperative hypothermia (IH) in elderly patients undergoing robot-assisted urological tumor resection (RAUTR) and to evaluate the effect of the model by internal and external validation. Using convenient sampling to enroll patients in a large hospital from February 2022 to July 2024 as the modeling and validation cohort. Identifying the independent risk factors for IH by univariate and multivariate logistic regression, and developing a Nomogram by the R software. The Nomogram's discrimination and accuracy were tested by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) test, internal validation was performed with 1000 Bootstrap resamples and calibration curves. External evaluation was conducted on a validation cohort using ROC curves and H-L tests. The modeling cohort included 420 patients, with an IH rate of 39.8%. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression showed that baseline temperature (odds ratio [OR] = 0.087), preoperative psychological score (OR = 1.114), body mass index (BMI) (OR = 0.820), and anesthesia time (OR = 1.013) were independent risk factors for IH. The ROC curve of the Nomogram had an area under the curve of 0.844 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.807-0.881), a maximum Youden index of 0.563, a best cutoff value of 0.383, a sensitivity of 0.772, and a specificity of 0.791. The H-L test yielded a chi-square value of 10.173 and a <i>p</i>-value of 0.253. Internal validation with 1000 Bootstrap resamples showed a consistency coefficient of 0.844, the calibration curve fits well. A total of 120 patients were included in the validation cohort, including 45 with hypothermia (37.5%). The area under the ROC curve for the prediction of IH in the external validation cohort was 0.854 (95% CI: 0.781-0.927), and the H-L test yielded a chi-square value of 5.207 and a <i>p</i>-value of 0.735. The IH rate is high in elderly patients undergoing RAUTR. Baseline temperature, preoperative psychological score, BMI, and anesthesia time are independent risk factors. And the Nomogram could be used to predict IH.</p>","PeriodicalId":22972,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic hypothermia and temperature management","volume":" ","pages":"192-200"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144498070","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}