{"title":"Review of Open-Source Libraries for Solving Time Series Forecasting Problems","authors":"E.A. Svekolnikova, V.N. Panovskiy","doi":"10.17759/mda.2024140203","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17759/mda.2024140203","url":null,"abstract":"An overview of various open-source Python libraries for time series analysis and forecasting is presented. It covers such tools as Prophet, Kats, Merlion, as well as ARIMA, LSTM algorithms, which allow to study seasonality, trends and anomalies in time series data. The capabilities of each library, their advantages and applications in time series data analysis are discussed in detail.","PeriodicalId":186451,"journal":{"name":"Моделирование и анализ данных","volume":"4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141703358","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Experience of Developing an Adaptive Hybrid EEG Signal Filter with Extended Information Adaptability","authors":"G. A. Yuryev","doi":"10.17759/mda.2024140206","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17759/mda.2024140206","url":null,"abstract":"This article discusses the development of a hybrid EEG signal filter based on independent component analysis (ICA) and wavelet transform. The purpose of the filter is to remove artifacts from EEG signals caused by physiological processes that can be identified by synchronous time series data. The article describes the algorithm and justifies the suitability of the method for the task. Empirical results from real experimental studies are also presented.","PeriodicalId":186451,"journal":{"name":"Моделирование и анализ данных","volume":"21 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141689103","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Semantic Analysis of Reviews About Organizations Using Machine Learning Methods","authors":"E.N. Platonov, I.R. Martynova","doi":"10.17759/mda.2024140101","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17759/mda.2024140101","url":null,"abstract":"Semantic analysis of organizational reviews is a key tool for assessing customer satisfaction levels. Business entities should regularly conduct analysis and emotional sentiment investigation to delve deeper into the data and gain a more comprehensive understanding of their operations, including through the use of machine learning methods. Presently, deep learning-based methods are garnering increased attention due to their high efficiency. In this study, we will focus on sentiment analysis tasks. To perform sentiment analysis, we will employ machine learning methods, including various approaches to text vectorization, deep learning models, and natural language processing (NLP) algorithms.","PeriodicalId":186451,"journal":{"name":"Моделирование и анализ данных","volume":"32 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140713260","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
K. Kharitonova, M. Zhukova, I.V. Markov, M.B. Razo, K. Le, S. Ayaz, J. Ogbomo, J.L. Garcia, H. Kilani, E. Grigorenko
{"title":"The Role of Parasocial Relationships in Digital Learning: An Exploratory Case Study","authors":"K. Kharitonova, M. Zhukova, I.V. Markov, M.B. Razo, K. Le, S. Ayaz, J. Ogbomo, J.L. Garcia, H. Kilani, E. Grigorenko","doi":"10.17759/mda.2024140105","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17759/mda.2024140105","url":null,"abstract":"Social media has become integral to education and learning because it provides a platform for access to information and resources beyond traditional classroom settings, enabling students to expand their knowledge and skills in a more interactive and personalized manner. The relationships that are formed with on-screen characters or personas (parasocial relationships) can improve understanding of the material and engagement with media content. The current study aimed to investigate the impact of parasocial relationships on a child's learning ability and test performance. The experiment, conducted as an exploratory case study with a typically developing 10-year-old child, included a parasocial condition with prior exposure to personal TikTok content of some educational video creators and other creators presented as novel (control); control conditions were further split into visible and non-visible video presenters. Performance was assessed using tests specialized by the subject and knowledge category, and an interview on the parasocial relationship was administered. The findings demonstrate that performance correlated with the presenter ratings obtained through the interview and not with the amount of previous exposure to the content created by the presenter.","PeriodicalId":186451,"journal":{"name":"Моделирование и анализ данных","volume":"14 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140714984","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Application of Correlation Analysis to Determine the Discrepancy Between Indicators for Two Different Samples: Comparison of the Intellectual and Personal Development of Children of Primary School Age, Studied with an Interval of 10 Years","authors":"S. Artemenkov, E. Joukova, D. Bogoyavlenskaya","doi":"10.17759/mda.2024140104","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17759/mda.2024140104","url":null,"abstract":"Correlation analysis, which is actively used in psychological research to identify the relationship between psychological parameters, loses its meaning when the samples being compared are different. At the same time, studying possible connections of psychological indicators between samples may have some meaning in special cases. Purpose of the work: to show the possibilities and propose a technology for using correlation analysis to determine the agreement of indicators for two different samples using the example of a long-term (retrospective and modern) study of the intellectual and personal characteristics of the development of schoolchildren in the 2nd grade of a general school with an age difference of 10 years. For correlation analysis, we used assessments of intellectual development according to the level of work in the “Beasts in the Circus” method of the “Creative Field” method (Bogoyavlenskaya, 1971) and intelligence according to the “Standard Progressive Matrices” test by J. Raven. To implement the possibility of a full correlation analysis of general indicators of different samples, the work proposed a technique for preliminary linking two different samples of the same size to each other by matching them on one of the common sample variables.","PeriodicalId":186451,"journal":{"name":"Моделирование и анализ данных","volume":"2 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140715003","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Modelling of Pilot Activities when Piloting Aircraft","authors":"V.A. Orishchenko, I. Greshnikov","doi":"10.17759/mda.2024140106","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17759/mda.2024140106","url":null,"abstract":"The paper considers the representation of crew activities when piloting an aircraft using Markov chains, including modeling in regular and emergency situations, considering the experience of the crew. A method for assessing the level of pilot experience using a neural network and an algorithm for optimizing the probability matrices of transitions between model states are presented. Examples of modeling for an emergency situation are given, demonstrating the influence of the pilot's level of experience on the result.","PeriodicalId":186451,"journal":{"name":"Моделирование и анализ данных","volume":"106 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140713645","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Approximate Synthesis of Optimal Deterministic Control Systems with Incomplete Feedback Based on Sufficient ε-Optimality Conditions","authors":"A. Panteleev, M. Karane","doi":"10.17759/mda.2024140109","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17759/mda.2024140109","url":null,"abstract":"The problem of optimal control of deterministic dynamical systems in the absence of information about a part of the coordinates of the state vector is considered. Sufficient ε-optimality conditions based on the principle of expansion are formulated and proved. An algorithm is proposed for finding an a priori estimate of the proximity of the synthesized control law with incomplete feedback to the optimal one for a given set of initial states. The solution of the model example is given.","PeriodicalId":186451,"journal":{"name":"Моделирование и анализ данных","volume":"1 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140714209","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Solving an Optimization Problem for Estimating Fully connected Linear Regression Models","authors":"M. Bazilevskiy","doi":"10.17759/mda.2024140108","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17759/mda.2024140108","url":null,"abstract":"This article is devoted to the problem of estimating fully connected linear regression models using the maximum likelihood method. Previously, a special numerical method was developed for this purpose, based on solving a nonlinear system using the method of simple iterations. At the same time, the issues of choosing initial approximations and fulfilling sufficient conditions for convergence were not studied. This article proposes a new method for solving the optimization problem of estimating fully connected regressions, similar to the method of estimating orthogonal regressions. It has been proven that, with equal error variances of interconnected variables, estimates of b-parameters of fully connected regression are equal to the components of the eigenvector corresponding to the smallest eigenvalue of the inverse covariance matrix. And if the ratios of the error variances of the variables are equal to the ratios of the variances of the variables, then the b-parameter estimates are equal to the components of the eigenvector corresponding to the smallest eigenvalue of the inverse correlation matrix, multiplied by the specific ratios of the standard deviations of the variables. A numerical experiment was carried out to confirm the correctness of the developed mathematical apparatus. The proposed method for solving the optimization problem of estimating fully connected regressions can be effectively used when solving problems of constructing multiple fully connected linear regressions.","PeriodicalId":186451,"journal":{"name":"Моделирование и анализ данных","volume":"11 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140715053","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Analyzing Climate and Agricultural Factors for Yield Prediction of Key Cereal Crops in Ethiopia: a Visual Analysis (1995-2021)","authors":"B.B. Mekecha","doi":"10.17759/mda.2024140112","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17759/mda.2024140112","url":null,"abstract":"This paper serves as a foundational exploration into predicting the yields of important cereal crops in Ethiopia. We use a visual analytic approach to identify patterns in annual temperature, precipitation, area harvested, production, and yield data from 1995 to 2021 by integrating climate factors and agricultural practices. By examining these Agricultural variables, we hope to build links between shifting climatic conditions, agricultural decisions, and crop production, providing indispensable insights for stakeholders, farmers, and policymakers.","PeriodicalId":186451,"journal":{"name":"Моделирование и анализ данных","volume":"19 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140715263","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Application of Convolutional Neural Networks in the Problem of Removing Shadows from Photographs","authors":"A.S. Alekseychuk, Yu.D. Mukin","doi":"10.17759/mda.2024140103","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17759/mda.2024140103","url":null,"abstract":"The article proposes a method for removing shadows from photographs using deep learning methods. The proposed method consists of several stages: dividing the image into rectangular fragments of 32x32 pixels, localizing shadows on each fragment, restoring the color of shadowed objects, and combining the fragments back into a whole image. Shadow localization is considered as a semantic segmentation problem; to solve it, a neural network of encoder-decoder architecture has been developed and trained. To restore the color of objects in identified shaded areas, another neural network based on the CDNet architecture is used. Examples of image processing using the developed method are given, including images from a drone, and the high quality of restoration of shaded areas is demonstrated.","PeriodicalId":186451,"journal":{"name":"Моделирование и анализ данных","volume":"20 S1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140714642","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}