{"title":"Incumbent Repositioning with Decision Biases","authors":"Xianjin Du, M. Li, Brian Wu","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3117545","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3117545","url":null,"abstract":"Incumbent firms often reposition themselves in response to entrants, but when doing so they incur repositioning costs. Incumbent repositioning costs and the associated decision biases have been identified in the economics, operations and strategy literatures as critical aspects of the competitive interactions between incumbents and entrants, but they have received limited attention in game-theoretic treatments at the strategy level. To fill this gap, we develop a strategic mental model to analytically characterize the impacts of repositioning costs and decision biases on firms’ equilibrium strategies and profits. Including these costs and biases changes the nature of strategic dynamics as well as introduces new implications for strategic choice.","PeriodicalId":174094,"journal":{"name":"POL: Cost Minimization & Control (Topic)","volume":"5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123362396","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Equity Commitment under Uncertainty: A Hierarchical Model of Real Option Entry Mode Choices","authors":"Rossitza B. Wooster, Luisa R. Blanco, W. Sawyer","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2403006","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2403006","url":null,"abstract":"We develop a hierarchical model of real option entry mode choices under environmental uncertainty and test predictions using a unique sample of U.S. companies expanding in the countries of Latin America and the Caribbean between 1980 and 2005. Our results, based on a probit estimation with sample selection, show that country risk has a significant and negative effect at the primary level of the hierarchy. Sensitivity analysis further distinguishes between which entry modes dive our main results. Taken collectively, our findings suggest that prior acquisition experience, marketing intensity, size, as well as a higher proportion of specific or intangible assets, are key attributes for managers to consider when structuring foreign investments as a portfolio of options. Moreover, we find that international investment experience moderates the extent to which firm capabilities matter by weakening the predicted effects of prior acquisition experience and asset structure when firms make choices regarding equity commitment.","PeriodicalId":174094,"journal":{"name":"POL: Cost Minimization & Control (Topic)","volume":"294 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-07-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116398024","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Do Sophisticated Investors Interpret Earnings Conference Call Tone Differently than Investors at Large? Evidence from Short Sales","authors":"Benjamin M. Blau, Jared DeLisle, S. Price","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2148705","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2148705","url":null,"abstract":"Recent research finds that investors, broadly defined, react to the linguistic tone of quarterly earnings conference calls; there is a positive relation between firms' stock returns and call tone (a measure of “sentiment” related word tabulations). However, this type of soft information can be subtle, context-specific, and difficult to interpret. Moreover, the literature suggests cross-sectional variation in information processing skills among investors. Thus, we test whether sophisticated investors interpret earnings conference call tone differently than investors at large by examining short selling activity and its relation to earnings conference call tone. We find that short sellers target firms with simultaneous high earnings surprise and abnormally high management tone. The combination of positive earnings surprise and unusually positive tone strengthens short sellers' return predictability. This result indicates that short sellers interpret revealed “inflated” call language by managers more completely than naive investors. The incomplete stock price reaction by naive investors due to the lack of reliability that they place on this soft information results in overpricing of the stock. However, it also suggests that managers are unable to maintain prolonged overvaluation of their stock by striking an overly optimistic posture in the interactive conference call disclosure forum since short sellers' trades provide additional price discovery.","PeriodicalId":174094,"journal":{"name":"POL: Cost Minimization & Control (Topic)","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115409258","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"What Explains the Widening Wage Gap? Outsourcing vs. Technology","authors":"Clàudia Canals","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1011688","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1011688","url":null,"abstract":"The relative rise of wages for high-skilled workers over the last three decades has been the subject of intense academic and popular scrutiny. This paper develops a new methodology for decomposing wage changes into three sources: outsourcing, biased technological change, and total biased technological change. We find that for the 1980-1999 period the change in outsourcing accounts for between 28 and 36 percent of the observed wage change, and biased technological change for another 15-19 percent in the US. Jointly these two forces (total biased technological change) explain 58 percent of the wage change. In sum, we find that outsourcing and biased technological change can account for a large share of the observed divergence in the skilled wage premium.","PeriodicalId":174094,"journal":{"name":"POL: Cost Minimization & Control (Topic)","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2006-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125824035","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}