发布求助
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献

PRN: Decision Theory (Topic)最新文献

筛选
英文 中文
How to Unify All Schools of Thought in Social Science and Humanities into One Scientific School of Thought 如何把社会科学和人文科学各学派统一为一个科学学派
PRN: Decision Theory (Topic) Pub Date : 2020-10-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3705664
James J. Wayne
{"title":"How to Unify All Schools of Thought in Social Science and Humanities into One Scientific School of Thought","authors":"James J. Wayne","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3705664","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3705664","url":null,"abstract":"There are hundreds and thousands of schools of thought in social science and humanities, while there is only one school of thought in natural science. This paper investigates the question how to unify all schools of thought in social science and humanities into one scientific school of thought by transforming social science and humanities into subfields of physics. By being parts of physics, the scientific version of social science and humanities should allow only one school of thought logically and naturally. This paper will discuss what this scientific version of social science and humanities will look like and how it can be uniquely defined in terms of physics of human society, mathematics, methodology, history, facts, forecasting models, equilibrium values systems, and equilibrium solutions to normative problems. This paper should be useful for reconciling the current extremely polarized policy debates between the left and right around the world.","PeriodicalId":174014,"journal":{"name":"PRN: Decision Theory (Topic)","volume":"36 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-10-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134454262","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Decision-Conflict Logit 决策冲突逻辑
PRN: Decision Theory (Topic) Pub Date : 2020-05-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3610742
G. Gerasimou
{"title":"The Decision-Conflict Logit","authors":"G. Gerasimou","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3610742","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3610742","url":null,"abstract":"We study two random non-forced choice models that explain behavioural patterns suggesting that the no-choice outside option is often selected when people find it hard to decide between the market alternatives available to them, even when these are few and desirable. The decision-conflict logit extends the logit model with an outside option by assigning a menu-dependent value to that option. This value captures the degree of complexity/decision difficulty at the relevant menu and allows for the choice probability of the outside option to either increase or decrease when the menu is expanded, depending on how many as well as on how attractive options are added to it. The multicriteria logit is a special case of this model and introduces multiple utility functions that jointly predict behaviour in a multiplicative-logit way. Every multicriteria logit admits a tractable discrete-choice formulation.","PeriodicalId":174014,"journal":{"name":"PRN: Decision Theory (Topic)","volume":"9 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-05-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124500971","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Price Formation Around Cum Date Dividend Announcement: Empirical Evidence in Indonesian Stock Exchange 股利公告前后的价格形成:印尼证券交易所的经验证据
PRN: Decision Theory (Topic) Pub Date : 2016-01-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2711644
Budi Frensidy, I. Zakaria, I. Setyawan
{"title":"Price Formation Around Cum Date Dividend Announcement: Empirical Evidence in Indonesian Stock Exchange","authors":"Budi Frensidy, I. Zakaria, I. Setyawan","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2711644","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2711644","url":null,"abstract":"This research aim is to prove there a change in abnormal returns around the announcement date of the cum date dividend date and price changes around the announcement date. The population studied is the company announced a dividend for the period 2007-2012, consists of 15 companies that successive 3-year reported operating income, cash dividends during the 11 days of observation. Testing of the event study on the information content of the cum date dividend announcement is found that it contains no significant information on cum date dividend announcement, and found no significant negative information content one day after the cum date dividend announcement. Results of this study still found the significant abnormal returns around the dividend announcement. Regression testing ask price, bid price, and the days before and after the dividend announcement to the stock price was found that the price formation is not influenced by the dividend announcement, but they are influenced by the ask and the bid prices, which implies there is an effort of investors to maximize capital gains by making the selling and purchasing of certain stocks.","PeriodicalId":174014,"journal":{"name":"PRN: Decision Theory (Topic)","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128501377","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Explaining the Ellsberg N-Colour Problem by Way of a Fanning Out Hypothesis 用扇形假设解释Ellsberg n色问题
PRN: Decision Theory (Topic) Pub Date : 2015-07-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2630445
K. Sharpe
{"title":"Explaining the Ellsberg N-Colour Problem by Way of a Fanning Out Hypothesis","authors":"K. Sharpe","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2630445","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2630445","url":null,"abstract":"This paper shows that decision makers who maximize expected utility on a ring of hypercomplex numbers, and who have indifference curves that ‘fan out’ in a well-defined way, act as Ellsberg predicted they would in the context of his n-colour problem.","PeriodicalId":174014,"journal":{"name":"PRN: Decision Theory (Topic)","volume":"171 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134281598","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Strategic Teaching and Learning in Games 游戏中的策略教学
PRN: Decision Theory (Topic) Pub Date : 2015-04-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2594193
Burkhard C. Schipper
{"title":"Strategic Teaching and Learning in Games","authors":"Burkhard C. Schipper","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2594193","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2594193","url":null,"abstract":"We show there is no uncoupled learning heuristic leading to Nash equilibrium in all finite games that a player has an incentive to adopt, that would be evolutionary stable, or that could “learn itself.” Rather, a player has an incentive to strategically teach a learning opponent to secure at least the Stackelberg leader payoff. This observation holds even when we restrict to generic games, two-player games, potential games, games with strategic complements, or 2 × 2 games, in which learning is known to be “nice.” It also applies to uncoupled learning heuristics leading to correlated equilibria, rationalizability, iterated admissibility, or minimal CURB sets. (JEL C73, D83)","PeriodicalId":174014,"journal":{"name":"PRN: Decision Theory (Topic)","volume":"12 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129480983","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
How Much Ambiguity Aversion? Finding Indifferences between Ellsberg's Risky and Ambiguous Bets 有多少歧义厌恶?发现埃尔斯伯格的冒险和模棱两可赌注之间的差异
PRN: Decision Theory (Topic) Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3885791
K. Binmore, L. Stewart, A. Voorhoeve
{"title":"How Much Ambiguity Aversion? Finding Indifferences between Ellsberg's Risky and Ambiguous Bets","authors":"K. Binmore, L. Stewart, A. Voorhoeve","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3885791","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3885791","url":null,"abstract":"Experimental results on the Ellsberg paradox typically reveal behavior that is commonly interpreted as ambiguity aversion. The experiments reported in the current paper find the objective probabilities for drawing a red ball that make subjects indifferent between various risky and uncertain Ellsberg bets. They allow us to examine the predictive power of alternative principles of choice under uncertainty, including the objective maximin and Hurwicz criteria, the sure-thing principle, and the principle of insufficient reason. Contrary to our expectations, the principle of insufficient reason performed substantially better than rival theories in our experiment, with ambiguity aversion appearing only as a secondary phenomenon.","PeriodicalId":174014,"journal":{"name":"PRN: Decision Theory (Topic)","volume":"15 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134313631","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 37
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整，为了账户安全，请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
相关产品
×
本文献相关产品
联系我们：info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务，方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号：604180095
Book学术官方微信