De Nederlandsche Bank Research Paper Series最新文献

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Confidence Building on Euro Convergence: Theory and Evidence from Currency Options 欧元趋同的信心构建:来自货币期权的理论和证据
De Nederlandsche Bank Research Paper Series Pub Date : 2003-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.463081
E. Perotti, Joost Driessen
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引用次数: 6
MAKMODEL: A Macro-Econometric Model for the Republic of Macedonia MAKMODEL:马其顿共和国的宏观计量经济模型
De Nederlandsche Bank Research Paper Series Pub Date : 2001-08-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1861226
Leo J. de Haan, Aneta Naumovska, M. Peeters
{"title":"MAKMODEL: A Macro-Econometric Model for the Republic of Macedonia","authors":"Leo J. de Haan, Aneta Naumovska, M. Peeters","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1861226","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1861226","url":null,"abstract":"This report describes the macro-econometric model for the Republic of Macedonia MAKMODEL. It documents the main features of this model that was built by research teams of the Macedonian and Dutch central bank during July 1999 - June 2001 as one module of a large scale PHARE-project, funded by the European Commission. Details on the statistical aspects of the Macedonian monthly data collected for the period 1993-1999 are provided, along with the construction and estimation of the econometric model. The last sections present some simulation and forecasting examples. The ultimate aim of MAKMODEL is to use it for macro-economic policy analyses at the Macedonian central bank, by means of keeping the statistical basis up to date, elaborating upon the model, and making forecasts and running simulations in the near future.","PeriodicalId":154291,"journal":{"name":"De Nederlandsche Bank Research Paper Series","volume":"27 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2001-08-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115822311","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8
Capital Controls and Exchange Rate Regimes: An Empirical Investigation 资本管制与汇率制度:实证研究
De Nederlandsche Bank Research Paper Series Pub Date : 2001-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.267833
Helge Berger, J. Sturm, J. de Haan
{"title":"Capital Controls and Exchange Rate Regimes: An Empirical Investigation","authors":"Helge Berger, J. Sturm, J. de Haan","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.267833","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.267833","url":null,"abstract":"It is often argued that deregulation of international transactions and its effects on the \"globalization\" of financial markets is behind the decline in the attractiveness of fixed exchange rate regimes. We argue that, instead, much of the recently observed decrease in the level of capital controls should be seen as endogenous to the exchange rate regime decision. We find that the durability of a peg (measured on the basis of the growth of international reserves), the political benefits of a commitment to a peg, domestic and foreign inflation (aversion), as well as business cycle volatility and synchronization are the main determinants of capital controls. The empirical analysis is based on data for 53 non-OECD countries covering the period 1980-94.","PeriodicalId":154291,"journal":{"name":"De Nederlandsche Bank Research Paper Series","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2001-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129030238","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8
Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of Ppp-Based Exchange Rate Expectations 长期利率的共同变动和基于购买力平价的汇率预期的作用
De Nederlandsche Bank Research Paper Series Pub Date : 1999-06-01 DOI: 10.5089/9781451850345.001.A001
J. Berk, K. Knot
{"title":"Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of Ppp-Based Exchange Rate Expectations","authors":"J. Berk, K. Knot","doi":"10.5089/9781451850345.001.A001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451850345.001.A001","url":null,"abstract":"This paper investigates international co-movement in bond yields by testing for uncovered interest parity (UIP). Existing work is supplemented by focusing on long instead of short-term interest rates and by employing exchange rate expectations derived from purchasing power parity (PPP) instead of actual outcomes. Among the major currencies during 1975-97, the paper does not find a further increase in co-movement beyond that associated with the wave of financial market liberalization in the early 1980s. Given the similarity between PPP-based UIP tests and those employing actual exchange rate outcomes, the value added of the former lies mainly with data availability.","PeriodicalId":154291,"journal":{"name":"De Nederlandsche Bank Research Paper Series","volume":"13 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1999-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115444286","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Investment and Financing in Russian Financial-Industrial Groups 俄罗斯金融产业集团的投融资
De Nederlandsche Bank Research Paper Series Pub Date : 1997-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.50346
E. Perotti, S. Gelfer
{"title":"Investment and Financing in Russian Financial-Industrial Groups","authors":"E. Perotti, S. Gelfer","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.50346","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.50346","url":null,"abstract":"We study whether Russian Financial-Industrial Groups help the Russian industrial sector to obtain investment finance. We examine the set of firms which are members of official Financial Industrial Groups and/or are owned by one of the large Russian banks, and compare them with a set of other large firms categorized by dispersed ownership or/and management and employee control. We find that investment is sensitive to internal liquidity for the second set of firms but not for the first. This is consistent with extensive reallocation of resources within the groups. One possibility is that group firms have easier access to finance than independent firms, suggesting that financial groups may alleviate agency problem and result in better corporate control over the investment process. Interestingly, large independent firms with a significant stock market valuation and trading appear also less liquidity constraints, suggesting that the Russian equity market may start to provide a positive function. The possibility for opportunistic value transfer across firms is harder to assess. In future research we plan to distinguish between bank-led groups, which appear more hierarchical, and industry-centered groups which may be more defensive.","PeriodicalId":154291,"journal":{"name":"De Nederlandsche Bank Research Paper Series","volume":"19 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1997-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114789935","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 7
The Feldstein-Horioka Test of International Capital Mobility: Is it Feasible? 国际资本流动的费尔德斯坦-堀冈检验是否可行?
De Nederlandsche Bank Research Paper Series Pub Date : 1996-09-01 DOI: 10.5089/9781451852356.001
W. Jansen
{"title":"The Feldstein-Horioka Test of International Capital Mobility: Is it Feasible?","authors":"W. Jansen","doi":"10.5089/9781451852356.001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451852356.001","url":null,"abstract":"Feldstein and Horioka (1980) argued that the correlation of saving and investment in a cross-section of countries may provide a test of global capital mobility. This paper argues that neither the long-run nor the short-run correlation can serve as a reliable basis for such a test. The intertemporal budget constraint implies that each country`s saving and investment should be cointegrated over time. Simulations show that the cross-section regressions used in the literature will produce correlations that strongly tend towards one, regardless of the degree of capital mobility. Although the short-run correlation is not affected by the intertemporal budget constraint, the empirical analysis shows it is primarily a country-specific business cycle fact.","PeriodicalId":154291,"journal":{"name":"De Nederlandsche Bank Research Paper Series","volume":"19 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1996-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115104850","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 15
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