{"title":"Influence of Product Characteristics on Credit Accessibility of Sacco’s in Kenya","authors":"John Karanja","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3389181","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3389181","url":null,"abstract":"The objective of SACCO’s is members’ empowerment through savings mobilization, disbursement of credit and ensuring long-term sustainability through prudent financial practices. A national survey conducted by Central bank of Kenya in 2016 on financial access revealed that access to SACCO’s credit accessibility has reduced despite the increase in credit demand. This continuous decline in access to credit shows that SACCO’s members are not able to access the credit from their SACCO’s and they seek for credit from other financial institutions. The objective was to determine the influence of product characteristics on credit accessibility in SACCO’s. The study adopted a descriptive research design and data was collected using a questionnaire. Descriptive statistics and linear regression analysis were used to test the hypothesis. The study found that credit accessibility in Sacco’s is significantly influenced by product characteristics. The findings also revealed that the number of loan applications received in SACCO’s from Imenti North Sub-County has dropped significantly with very few loan applications being successful. The study recommended that SACCO’s should start investing in products innovation in order to ensure that they have a wide range of products which are tailor made to suit their member’s needs and Sacco’s should develop a policy that allows members to use other forms of collateral at their disposal in order for them to qualify for higher loans than the ones guaranteed by their shares only. This will increase the number of members accessing credit and reduce the stiff competition that SACCO’s experience with the other credit service providers. SACCO’s should come up with ways of developing products that have features which will encourage their members to borrow loans.","PeriodicalId":139826,"journal":{"name":"SWIFT Institute Research Paper Series","volume":"163 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-05-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116119408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Corporate Multinationality and Acquirer Returns","authors":"Henry Agyei‐Boapeah, S. Fosu, C. Ntim","doi":"10.1111/ABAC.12146","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ABAC.12146","url":null,"abstract":"This paper provides evidence on how corporate multinationality from the perspective of acquiring firms relates to M&A returns. Using multivariate regressions and a large dataset of over 6,000 M&As (both cross-border and domestic) by UK firms during 1987 to 2014, the paper finds multinationality to be associated with significantly higher short-run announcement returns and long-run operating performance. While the multinationality premium (higher M&A returns for multinationals) persists over time, it seems to be restricted to firms with superior resource/managerial capabilities and minimal agency problems. Finally, the multinationality premium appears to be driven by foreign acquisitions into advanced economies. The results are robust to correcting for sample selection bias and controlling for several firm and deal characteristics, as well as accounting for firm-, industry-, and year-fixed effects. Collectively, the findings imply that multinationality could be a source of value creation for acquiring firms, particularly in foreign acquisitions, which tend to be complex, and thereby, require superior managerial capabilities to succeed.","PeriodicalId":139826,"journal":{"name":"SWIFT Institute Research Paper Series","volume":"9 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114932696","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Knowledge Discovery Through Structure Learning in Sequential Gaussian Graphical Models","authors":"Faisal I. Qureshi","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3340225","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3340225","url":null,"abstract":"Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) offer a robust yet intuitive framework to deal with uncertainty and complexity and have been effectively applied to diverse problems across multiple domains. While the majority of work has focused on cross-sectional data, there has been a recent increase of interest in developing temporal or sequential extensions to PGMs. In this paper we temporally extend structure learning in Gaussian Graphical Models to facilitate knowledge discovery in multivariate time series. We demonstrate the real world effectiveness of Sequential Gaussian Graphical Models (SEQ-GGMs) by obtaining unique insights into crypto-currency markets. We also propose novel time-domain metrics to analyze SEQ-GGMs. We develop numerical methods to improve computational efficiency and novel graph similarity metrics to evaluate SEQ-GGM prediction accuracy. Our interpolation approach obtains 4x speedup with 80% relative graph similarity accuracy.","PeriodicalId":139826,"journal":{"name":"SWIFT Institute Research Paper Series","volume":"22 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-10-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127781179","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Sharing Insider Threat Indicators: Examining the Potential Use of Swift’s Messaging Platform to Combat Cyber Fraud","authors":"E. Petrie, Casey Evans","doi":"10.17606/RG51-KY88","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17606/RG51-KY88","url":null,"abstract":"Cyber actors are operating under a shared services model giving them access to infrastructure, tools, targets and the ability to monetize their exploits. As a result, organizations across industries must enhance communication channels to share threat information in order to preempt cyber fraud schemes. This requires both an ability to identify the patterns of behavior that indicate cyber fraud activity is occurring and a platform for communicating potential threat information. This report focuses on identifying the patterns of behavior typically indicative of efforts by criminals to use insiders to cash out on fraudulent activity. The objective of this research is to explore the potential for organizations to use an existing telecommunication platform, such as SWIFT, to communicate cyber fraud threat information by establishing indicators of cashout behavior, which could warn of cyber fraud activity.","PeriodicalId":139826,"journal":{"name":"SWIFT Institute Research Paper Series","volume":"27 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133461835","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Two New Risk Metrics: Liquidity Asian Put VaR(TM) and Shortfall(TM) to LIQUIDATION Based on Tail Volatilities & Correlations 'The Need for New Valuation, Risk and Policy Making Models'","authors":"C. Crousillat","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2920226","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2920226","url":null,"abstract":"This paper derives two new improved risk metrics LAPVaR and LAPSF. Traditional VaRDeltaNormal valuation exaggerates market and liquidity risks to the point it could be larger than the actual portfolio value. Put VaR – PVaR – as well as Put Shortfall – PSF – uses option theory to solve the problem that, under any circumstance, the risk amount is never greater than the portfolio value. Risk to LIQUIDATION means every day-t, a portion of portfolio assets-i, for integer i ϵ (1, N) is unwound without disturbing the market; thus the final unwind price equals the sum-product of asset-i and price-return-(i,t), where for each asset-i ϵ (1, N), there is t ϵ (1, Hi,t), such that day-Hi, t is the last unwind day of asset-i. This method calculates Asian PVaR – APVaR – and Asian PSF – APSF – because it’s marked at the asset-i average unwind price from day-1 to day Hi,t. A formula is derived to estimate a horizon-Ĥ necessary to measure analytic VaRs. Liquidity haircut-Li are incorporated endogenously modifying forward-i value in the analytic formulas – LAPVaR and LAPSF – representing a great advantage over calculating exogenously Liquidity Haircuts in traditional VaRHistorical and analytic VaRDeltaNormal. The new formula is compared to the traditional risk measure, the Bullet Historical VaR to LIQUIDATION – i.e. VaR Historical.","PeriodicalId":139826,"journal":{"name":"SWIFT Institute Research Paper Series","volume":"44 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-02-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126543214","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Глобалният валутен пазар и резервните валути - макрофинансови аспекти (The Global Forex Market and the Reserve Currencies - Macrofinancial Aspects)","authors":"Andrey Zahariev","doi":"10.2139/SSRN.2917014","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.2917014","url":null,"abstract":"Bulgarian Abstract: Областта на научните изследвания в статията е валутният пазар, докато обекта – факторите, които влияят на обменните курсове на водещите световни резерви валути. Във фокуса на анализа е тезата на нарастващата роля на резервните валути за разширяване на сделките на валутните пазари при условия за запазване на способността им да се балансира бюджетните дисбаланси в търговските потоци чрез механизма на плаващ обменен курс. Главната цел на статията е да представи актуална гледна точка за оценка на факторите, които влияят на обменните курсове на глобалните резервни валути, които също са и основа на преобладаващите обеми от сделки на световните валутни пазари. \u0000English Abstract: The area of research in the paper is the foreign exchange market, while the object – the factors to influence the exchange rates of the leading world reserve currencies. Into the focus of the analysis is the thesis of the growing role of reserve currencies for the expansion of the transactions of foreign exchange markets under conditions of preserving their ability to rebalance budgetary imbalances in trade flows through the mechanism of floating exchange rates. The main goal of the paper is to present up-to-date perspective to evaluate the factors influencing the exchange rates of global reserve currencies that are also and the basis of the predominant volume of deals on global currency markets.","PeriodicalId":139826,"journal":{"name":"SWIFT Institute Research Paper Series","volume":"50 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131572829","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Open Economy as a Recovery Factor for the SEE and the BSEC Countries – Before and after the Crises (2003-2011)","authors":"A. Zahariev","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2807598","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2807598","url":null,"abstract":"The aim of this study is to provide a critical analysis of the economic development trends of the SEE and the BSEC countries in terms of identification of key factors supporting GDP growth and post-crisis recovery. The paper is structured in two parts. The first part presents a comparative monitoring analysis of the trends in the import and export flows for the period 2003-2011 in the selected SEE and the BSEC countries. The second part presents GDP growth rate models of the selected SEE and the BSEC countries in terms of the level of openness of their economies and the dynamics of their export and import flows (single and multiple regressions).","PeriodicalId":139826,"journal":{"name":"SWIFT Institute Research Paper Series","volume":"67 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-07-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134613454","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Modeling the Costs of Trade Finance During the Financial Crisis of 2008-2009: An Application of Dynamic Hierarchical Linear Model","authors":"S. Mullick, Ashwin Malshe, Nicolas Glady","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2803172","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2803172","url":null,"abstract":"The authors propose a dynamic hierarchical linear model (DHLM) to study the variations in the costs of trade finance across multiple countries during the global financial crisis of 2008-2009. Specifically, they examine how the impact of a set of four macroeconomic indicators on trade finance costs varied in and around the financial crisis. They find that countries with higher GDP growth faced lower costs of trade finance and countries with higher trade intensity (Trade/GDP) experienced higher trade finance costs in 2009 and 2010. Somewhat surprisingly, the countries with more stock market capitalization compared to GDP also faced higher costs of trade finance during and post crisis. Finally, inflation had a weak statistically significant impact on trade finance costs in 2009. The authors propose extensions to the model and discuss its alternative uses in different contexts.","PeriodicalId":139826,"journal":{"name":"SWIFT Institute Research Paper Series","volume":"113 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"117290101","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Analysis of Taxation in Romania Using Laffer Curve, 1990-2012","authors":"Elena Pădurean","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2658053","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2658053","url":null,"abstract":"Fiscal policy offers the Member States of the European Union, and in particular the countries that have adopted the common currency, an important tool in influencing economic activity and, we could say, the only one that remained available for the governments of these economies after the unification of monetary policy. Through taxes and budgetary expenditures used as economic levers, tax policy can have a contractible or expansionary effect on the national economy. From our point of view, the Laffer curve, applied by its simplicity, is a tool that allows the analysis of tax impacts.","PeriodicalId":139826,"journal":{"name":"SWIFT Institute Research Paper Series","volume":"57 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-09-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125183218","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A Cost of Production Model for Bitcoin","authors":"Adam S. Hayes","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2580904","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2580904","url":null,"abstract":"As bitcoin becomes more important as a worldwide financial phenomenon, it also becomes important to understand its sources of value formation. There are three ways to obtain bitcoins: buy them outright, accept them in exchange, or else produce them by 'mining'. Mining employs computational effort which requires electrical consumption for operation. The cost of electricity per kWh, the efficiency of mining as measured by watts per unit of mining effort, the market price of bitcoin, and the difficulty of mining all matter in making the decision to produce. Bitcoin production seems to resemble a competitive market, so in theory miners will produce until their marginal costs equal their marginal product. Break-even points are modeled for market price, energy cost, efficiency and difficulty to produce. The cost of production price may represent a theoretical value around which market prices tend to gravitate. As the average efficiency increases over time due to competition driving technological progress – as inefficient capital becomes obsolete it is removed while new capital replaces them – the break-even production cost of bitcoins denominated in dollars will fall. Increased efficiency, although necessary to maintain competitive advantage over other miners could serve to drive the value of bitcoin down, however adjustments in the mining difficulty and the regular halving of the block reward throughout time will tend to counteract a decreasing tendency in cost of production.","PeriodicalId":139826,"journal":{"name":"SWIFT Institute Research Paper Series","volume":"12 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-03-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127433590","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}