Proceedings of the 2020 3rd International Conference on Mathematics and Statistics最新文献

筛选
英文 中文
PM10 Prediction Using CART Method Depending on the Number of Observations 基于观测数的CART法PM10预测
M. Stoimenova-Minova, S. Gocheva-Ilieva, A. Ivanov
{"title":"PM10 Prediction Using CART Method Depending on the Number of Observations","authors":"M. Stoimenova-Minova, S. Gocheva-Ilieva, A. Ivanov","doi":"10.1145/3409915.3409919","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3409915.3409919","url":null,"abstract":"The main air pollutant all around the world is particulate matter PM10. This is particulate matter smaller than 10 microns. In the human body, harmful particles lead to serious health problems, causing chronic lung disease, asthma, bronchitis, and heart failure. Statistics for Bulgaria show that an average of 66-68% of mortality is due to exactly such cardiovascular disease. This paper applies the powerful Classification and Regression Tree (CART) method to analyze data about PM10 air pollution for the city of Smolyan. The modeling procedure found that depending on the number of observations, the obtained models approximate the actual data to a different degree. The study uses mean daily measurements for the period from 1 January 2010 to 27 April 2018. The obtained results show that the best model approximates the actual measured values of PM10 up to 87%. The selected best CART model is applied to forecast future pollution 3 days ahead.","PeriodicalId":114746,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the 2020 3rd International Conference on Mathematics and Statistics","volume":"6 4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-06-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127268707","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Estimating of Factors Influencing the Brewing Market by Using Decision Trees: A Case of Bulgaria 用决策树估计影响酿酒市场的因素:以保加利亚为例
H. Kulina, S. Gocheva-Ilieva, A. Ivanov
{"title":"Estimating of Factors Influencing the Brewing Market by Using Decision Trees: A Case of Bulgaria","authors":"H. Kulina, S. Gocheva-Ilieva, A. Ivanov","doi":"10.1145/3409915.3409918","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3409915.3409918","url":null,"abstract":"This study examines the influence of key market factors - price, distribution, digital and non-digital advertising, atmospheric temperature and others on the sales of the brewing sector in Bulgaria. The monthly observations over nearly five years are analyzed for a major brand of beer. The data are modeled using the powerful data mining technique of Classification and Regression Trees (CART). The built models describe beer sales in relation to the studied factors with high goodness-of-fit statistics: coefficient of determination up to R2 = 94% and RMSE = 3.11. Cross-validation and holdout data sampling are used to assess the quality of obtained models. The models are applied for forecasting the volume of beer sales for one month ahead.","PeriodicalId":114746,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the 2020 3rd International Conference on Mathematics and Statistics","volume":"28 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-06-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126820468","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Proceedings of the 2020 3rd International Conference on Mathematics and Statistics 2020年第三届国际数学与统计会议论文集
{"title":"Proceedings of the 2020 3rd International Conference on Mathematics and Statistics","authors":"","doi":"10.1145/3409915","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3409915","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":114746,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the 2020 3rd International Conference on Mathematics and Statistics","volume":"39 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125662123","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
相关产品
×
本文献相关产品
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术官方微信