Econometric Modeling: Agriculture最新文献

Econometric Modeling: Agriculture Pub Date : 2021-09-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3918520

Ranie Lin, Lala Ma, T. Phan

引用次数: 2

Climate Change and (a Culture of) Cooperation in the World's Most Agricultural Countries. 全球农业大国的气候变化与合作文化。

Econometric Modeling: Agriculture Pub Date : 2021-08-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3912442

Giacomo Benati, C. Guerriero

{"title":"Climate Change and (a Culture of) Cooperation in the World's Most Agricultural Countries.","authors":"Giacomo Benati, C. Guerriero","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3912442","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3912442","url":null,"abstract":"Overwhelming evidence suggests that a “culture of cooperation,” which is the implicit reward from cooperating in any economic activity, represents one of the most successful humanly devised social structures. Yet, our understanding of its determinants and impact is still limited. To clarify these issues, we propose a time inconsistency theory of state-building and we document that, in the world's most agricultural countries, adverse climate shocks push the nonelites to accumulate strong norms of cooperation. To illustrate, a strong culture signals the nonelites’ commitment to cooperate with the elites in joint investment activities despite the small expected payoff and encourages the elites to reciprocate by granting a more inclusive political process. These reforms, in turn, help convince the nonelites that a sufficient part of the investment returns will be shared via public good provision. Our estimates imply that the severity of droughts has two short run effects on agricultural output, a negative impact due to worse farming conditions and a positive effect due to stronger norms of trust and respect. Accordingly, policymakers should consider the direct and indirect impacts of climate change and favor endogenous cultural formation. Moreover, environmental policies should be designed through a more credible interdisciplinary approach.","PeriodicalId":105811,"journal":{"name":"Econometric Modeling: Agriculture","volume":"27 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133139777","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Strengthening Gender Justice in a Just Transition: A Research Agenda Based on a Systematic Map of Gender in Coal Transitions 在公正转型中加强性别公正:基于煤炭转型性别系统图的研究议程

Econometric Modeling: Agriculture Pub Date : 2021-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3905835

Paula Walk, Isabell Braunger, Josephine Semb, Carolin Brodtmann, P. oei, C. Kemfert

{"title":"Strengthening Gender Justice in a Just Transition: A Research Agenda Based on a Systematic Map of Gender in Coal Transitions","authors":"Paula Walk, Isabell Braunger, Josephine Semb, Carolin Brodtmann, P. oei, C. Kemfert","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3905835","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3905835","url":null,"abstract":"For climate change mitigation, a rapid phase-out of fossil fuels such as coal is necessary. This has far-reaching gender-specific consequences. This paper presents a systematic map of the literature that examines the impact of historical coal phase-out processes on women and their role in these processes. The search process consisted of screening over 3100 abstracts and reading 247 full-text studies. The analysis of the 73 publications ultimately included in the systematic map shows that past coal phase-outs meant both opportunities (e.g., increased labour market participation) as well as burdens for women (e.g., double burden of job and household). It becomes clear that agency within coal transitions was also gendered. For example, it was difficult for women to gain access to union structures, which led them to organise themselves into grassroots movements. Our research shows that policies aiming for a just sustainability transition should always be explicitly gender-responsive. However, the impact of sustainability transitions on women’s lives remains largely under-researched. Therefore, we propose a research agenda based on our findings containing six key issues that need to be addressed scientifically.","PeriodicalId":105811,"journal":{"name":"Econometric Modeling: Agriculture","volume":"28 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126806495","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 11

Demand Shocks and Supply Chain Resilience: An Agent Based Modelling Approach and Application to the Potato Supply Chain 需求冲击与供应链弹性:基于Agent的建模方法及其在马铃薯供应链中的应用

Econometric Modeling: Agriculture Pub Date : 2021-08-01 DOI: 10.3386/w29166

Liang Lu, R. Nguyen, Md Mamunur Rahman, Jason A. Winfree

引用次数: 5

Oil Shocks and the U.S. Economy in a Data-rich Model 石油冲击与数据丰富的美国经济模型

Econometric Modeling: Agriculture Pub Date : 2021-07-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3658783

Kuhelika De, Ryan A. Compton, Daniel C. Giedeman

引用次数: 9

Does News Tone help forecast Oil? 新闻语调有助于预测油价吗?

Econometric Modeling: Agriculture Pub Date : 2021-04-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3835768

B. Lucey, Boru Ren

引用次数: 4

Infrastructure Development Projects and Access to Services of Farm Families 基础设施发展项目和农民家庭获得服务的机会

Econometric Modeling: Agriculture Pub Date : 2021-04-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3828883

June Vana, D. Vargas, C. Vallejo, P. Rafael, P. Hail

{"title":"Infrastructure Development Projects and Access to Services of Farm Families","authors":"June Vana, D. Vargas, C. Vallejo, P. Rafael, P. Hail","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3828883","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3828883","url":null,"abstract":"In general, the study aimed to determine the infrastructure development projects and access to services of farm families. This study used a descriptive-quantitative correlation design. A total of 3 key informants and 90 farm families head composed of the respondents. A survey questionnaire was prepared as an instrument in gathering the required information. The mean of 51.69 years old signifies that most of the respondents' ages were at the prime working age. A majority (95.70%) of the households were headed by male farmers and have no other source of income other than farming. Concrete roads were constructed as early as 2013 and 2018 in the area of study. The frequency and time of travel of the respondents after the construction of the roads going to the market and other places were lessened/reduce. There was an increase in the frequency of respondents’ access to health services. From “sometimes”, to more often than before. Even after the construction of the infrastructure specifically classroom, school attendance and level of enrolment have no significant changes at all. After the development of the infrastructure, it can be seen that the frequency of their access to support services changes from 'seldom' to 'sometimes.' There was no difference in terms of the use of technology before and after the development of the infrastructure. It can be seen that there were no differences before and after in their frequency of access in all services in financial and market institutions.","PeriodicalId":105811,"journal":{"name":"Econometric Modeling: Agriculture","volume":"50 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115521899","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The Importance of Well Yield in Groundwater Demand Specification 井产量在地下水需求规范中的重要性

Econometric Modeling: Agriculture Pub Date : 2021-04-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3825888

T. Mieno, Mani Rouhi Rad, Jordan F. Suter, R. Hrozencik

引用次数: 1

Incorporating Learning-by-Doing into Mixed Complementarity Equilibrium Models 将边做边学纳入混合互补均衡模型

Econometric Modeling: Agriculture Pub Date : 2021-04-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3801193

Baturay Çalci, B. Leibowicz, J. Bard, Gopika G. Jayadev

{"title":"Incorporating Learning-by-Doing into Mixed Complementarity Equilibrium Models","authors":"Baturay Çalci, B. Leibowicz, J. Bard, Gopika G. Jayadev","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3801193","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3801193","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Market equilibrium models are often specified and solved as mixed complementarity problems (MCPs). These formulations combine the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker (KKT) optimality conditions of the optimization problems faced by multiple strategic players with market-clearing conditions, such that the solution to this system provides the Nash equilibrium prices and quantities. MCPs are widely applied to energy markets including those for electricity, oil, and natural gas. While researchers have made substantial progress on expanding the model features included in MCPs and on solving these problems, a limitation of existing MCPs is that they treat costs as exogenous input parameters. Therefore, MCPs have not been able to capture learning-by-doing (LBD), the empirically observed phenomenon whereby production costs tend to decline as a function of cumulative production experience. In this paper, we demonstrate the incorporation of LBD into a mixed complementarity equilibrium model. We consider two closely related, but nevertheless distinct, LBD formulations: one with discrete changes in cost from period to period, and another where cost declines continuously. Through theoretical analysis and numerical exploration, we establish the conditions under which these LBD formulations lead to convex optimization problems. Confirming convexity is important because it guarantees that their KKT conditions are sufficient for optimality. Then, we demonstrate the practical application of a mixed complementarity equilibrium model with LBD using the North American natural gas market as an example. When LBD is incorporated into the cost of liquefaction, North America exports more liquefied natural gas, which raises prices and reduces domestic consumption.","PeriodicalId":105811,"journal":{"name":"Econometric Modeling: Agriculture","volume":"28 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134325860","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Pricing Mortgage Stress. Lessons from Covid-19 and the Credit Risk Transfers. 抵押贷款压力定价。Covid-19的教训和信贷风险转移。

Econometric Modeling: Agriculture Pub Date : 2021-03-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3613211

Pedro Gete, Athena Tsouderou, Susan M. Wachter

引用次数: 2