Covert Regime ChangePub Date : 2018-12-15DOI: 10.7591/cornell/9781501730658.003.0006
Lindsey A. O’Rourke
{"title":"Rolling Back the Iron Curtain","authors":"Lindsey A. O’Rourke","doi":"10.7591/cornell/9781501730658.003.0006","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.7591/cornell/9781501730658.003.0006","url":null,"abstract":"This chapter explores the causes, conduct, and consequences of the understudied American covert operations in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union. It first explains why these cases were selected. Next, the chapter describes the collective context and objectives of these missions. Third, it asks why the Truman and Eisenhower administrations opted for covert — rather than overt — conduct. The chapter then offers a comparative historical analysis of three cases: Albania, the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic, and Yugoslavia. It considers why the United States intervened in the first two cases, but not in Yugoslavia, even though all were communist regimes. The case studies also address the reasons the missions in Albania and Ukraine failed, and discusses the pros and cons of covert conduct. Finally, the chapter concludes by drawing out the theoretical lessons of these cases.","PeriodicalId":103970,"journal":{"name":"Covert Regime Change","volume":"79 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115526878","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"6. Rolling Back the Iron Curtain","authors":"","doi":"10.7591/9781501730689-008","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.7591/9781501730689-008","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":103970,"journal":{"name":"Covert Regime Change","volume":"7 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115547156","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"5. Overview of US-Backed Regime Changes during the Cold War","authors":"","doi":"10.7591/9781501730689-007","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.7591/9781501730689-007","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":103970,"journal":{"name":"Covert Regime Change","volume":"90 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122440944","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"7. Containment, Coup d’État, and the Covert War in Vietnam","authors":"","doi":"10.7591/9781501730689-009","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.7591/9781501730689-009","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":103970,"journal":{"name":"Covert Regime Change","volume":"45 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125618406","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"3. Conduct: Why Do States Intervene Covertly versus Overtly?","authors":"","doi":"10.7591/9781501730689-005","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.7591/9781501730689-005","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":103970,"journal":{"name":"Covert Regime Change","volume":"23 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115846264","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Covert Regime ChangePub Date : 2018-12-15DOI: 10.7591/cornell/9781501730658.003.0004
Lindsey A. O’Rourke
{"title":"Consequences","authors":"Lindsey A. O’Rourke","doi":"10.7591/cornell/9781501730658.003.0004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.7591/cornell/9781501730658.003.0004","url":null,"abstract":"This chapter asks how America's covert interventions influenced the quality of relations between Washington and the target states. Contrary to the expectations of policymakers, the chapter shows that the United States was more likely to experience militarized interstate disputes with the states that they targeted for covert regime change compared to similar countries where they never intervened. Covert interventions also appeared to harm Washington's relationship with the target state at lower levels of cooperation. The chapter thus introduces several models that use the statistical data preprocessing method of matching to compare the cases where the United States intervened to a set of similar cases where it did not intervene, but which showed a similar propensity for conflict, to confirm that a breakdown in relations was a result of the intervention. It then explores the impact of covert interventions on the targeted states by analyzing the target state's subsequent levels of democratization, civil war, adverse regime changes, and episodes of mass killing compared to similarly matched samples of cases.","PeriodicalId":103970,"journal":{"name":"Covert Regime Change","volume":"31 8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122756694","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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