{"title":"An asymmetric NARDL approach to the J-curve phenomenon and export competitiveness in India-US trade","authors":"Sayed Gulzar Ganai, Javid Ahmad Khan","doi":"10.1080/23322039.2025.2483866","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2025.2483866","url":null,"abstract":"This study explores the asymmetric impact of export competitiveness on India’s trade balance with the United States (US) and examines the presence of the J-curve phenomenon from 1980 to 2023. Using the Non-linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model, impulse response functions, and other econometric techniques, the study investigates both short- and long-run dynamics. The results reveal that India’s trade balance with the US is significantly influenced by the competitiveness of its manufactured exports and industrial production capacity. In the short run, a declining real exchange rate has a negative impact on the trade balance, which is consistent with the J-curve effect, while prior trade surpluses contribute to economic stability. In the long run, the analysis shows that a higher dollar-to-rupee exchange rate leads to an improvement in India’s trade balance, whereas a stronger rupee poses risks to sustaining this surplus. The findings also highlight that increased export competitiveness has strengthened India’s trade balance, even in the face of rising US industrial productivity, which typically boosts American exports to India. Conversely, reductions in US industrial output provide India with opportunities to capture a larger market share, further emphasizing the complex and dynamic relationship between export competitiveness, exchange rates, and trade balances. This research underscores the critical role of export competitiveness in shaping India’s trade balance with the US.","PeriodicalId":10379,"journal":{"name":"Cogent Economics & Finance","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147891077","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A comparative analysis of the spillover effects from human capital skill and infrastructural development on industrial sector growth across sub-regional economies in sub-Saharan Africa","authors":"Sunday Anderu Keji, Gbenga Wilfred Akinola, Josue Mbonigaba","doi":"10.1080/23322039.2024.2402178","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2024.2402178","url":null,"abstract":"Despite the sub-Saharan African (SSA) region’s vast size in terms of human capital and physical capital resources, the industrial output growth in SSA still needs to catch up to the other regions. ...","PeriodicalId":10379,"journal":{"name":"Cogent Economics & Finance","volume":"52 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142255523","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The cost efficiency of the U.S. small banks after the 2008 global financial crisis","authors":"Rasoul Rezvanian, Seyed Mehdian, Mussie Teclezion","doi":"10.1080/23322039.2024.2402558","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2024.2402558","url":null,"abstract":"This paper examines the relative cost efficiency of U.S. small banks after the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (2008 GFC). Using financial information from 10,495 of the same small banks operating fro...","PeriodicalId":10379,"journal":{"name":"Cogent Economics & Finance","volume":"16 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142255524","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Machine learning style rotation – evidence from the Johannesburg Stock Exchange","authors":"Daniel Page, David McClelland, Christo Auret","doi":"10.1080/23322039.2024.2402893","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2024.2402893","url":null,"abstract":"This study evaluates naïve and advanced prediction models when applied to style rotation strategies on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (‘JSE’). We apply 1- and 3-month style momentum as naïve predi...","PeriodicalId":10379,"journal":{"name":"Cogent Economics & Finance","volume":"16 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142255527","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
James Kofi Blay, Akshata Nayak, Isaac Abunyuwah, Huchaiah Lokesha, Gracy Chennothumalil Paily
{"title":"Asymmetric and threshold price transmission dynamics in onion markets in India","authors":"James Kofi Blay, Akshata Nayak, Isaac Abunyuwah, Huchaiah Lokesha, Gracy Chennothumalil Paily","doi":"10.1080/23322039.2024.2402557","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2024.2402557","url":null,"abstract":"Functional agricultural marketing system is purported to be the silver bullet and multiplier for stimulating production and consumption and, accelerating the pace of economic and rural enterprise d...","PeriodicalId":10379,"journal":{"name":"Cogent Economics & Finance","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142255525","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impact of capital structure on the performance of state-invested enterprises in Vietnam","authors":"Thu Hien Nguyen","doi":"10.1080/23322039.2024.2399955","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2024.2399955","url":null,"abstract":"This study examines the impact of capital structure on performance of state-invested enterprises (SIEs). Capital structure is measured by total debt ratio (TDR), long-term debt ratio (LTD), and sho...","PeriodicalId":10379,"journal":{"name":"Cogent Economics & Finance","volume":"42 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142255528","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Exporters’ failure predictors and processes: a multi-country analysis based on the theoretical concept of firms’ financial crisis types","authors":"Oliver Lukason, Tiia Vissak","doi":"10.1080/23322039.2024.2399957","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2024.2399957","url":null,"abstract":"This study aims to identify the financial predictors and processes of (non-)bankrupt exporters’ failure in five European countries. A novel theoretical concept of financial processes based on the d...","PeriodicalId":10379,"journal":{"name":"Cogent Economics & Finance","volume":"140 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142255526","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Mamadou Ndione, Arvind Ashta, Bernard Bahama Bako Liba
{"title":"Banks, microfinance institutions and fintech: how the ratio of male and female entrepreneurs moderates their capacity for financial inclusion","authors":"Mamadou Ndione, Arvind Ashta, Bernard Bahama Bako Liba","doi":"10.1080/23322039.2024.2402031","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2024.2402031","url":null,"abstract":"This article highlights the determinants of financial inclusion within the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU), focusing on the moderating role of the male/female entrepreneurial rate....","PeriodicalId":10379,"journal":{"name":"Cogent Economics & Finance","volume":"43 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142255529","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Unlocking the shale potential: examining the effects on oil prices and the potential for global adoption","authors":"Md. Raghib Nadeem, Shujaat Naeem Azmi","doi":"10.1080/23322039.2024.2402029","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2024.2402029","url":null,"abstract":"Over the last decade, a significant concern in the energy market has been the decline in the USA’s oil imports and fall in energy prices. In this context, we investigate the impact of the shale rev...","PeriodicalId":10379,"journal":{"name":"Cogent Economics & Finance","volume":"281 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142215560","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Advancing human and social dimensions in balanced scorecards for GCC corporations: a nuanced approach","authors":"Emad Awadallah","doi":"10.1080/23322039.2024.2398737","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2024.2398737","url":null,"abstract":"In today’s corporate world, where accountability extends beyond mere economic output to embrace social, environmental, and cultural contributions, it is imperative to reevaluate traditional perform...","PeriodicalId":10379,"journal":{"name":"Cogent Economics & Finance","volume":"8 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142215564","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}