{"title":"The tragic future of a ‘many russias’ hypothesis. Foresight and scenarios | O future trágico de uma hipotética ‘muitas rússias’. Previsões e cenários","authors":"Armando Marques Guedes, Isidro De Morais Pereira","doi":"10.59071/2795-4765.rpcp2023.19/pp.23-36","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.59071/2795-4765.rpcp2023.19/pp.23-36","url":null,"abstract":"Under international law, the territorial integrity of Ukraine must be ensured in accordance with the collectively agreed 1991 borders. Should the Russian Federation collapse, the Wider West and particularly Europe, should manage a stable sphere of military security on the Continent and a better articulation of North America and beyond it. A Russian defeat in Ukraine creates opportunities as well as risks. Trusting that a defeated Kremlin will abandon its imperial designs could be a mistake. In this article, we have drawn out several prospective scenarios to which we assign different degrees of probability.","PeriodicalId":485472,"journal":{"name":"Revista Portuguesa de Ciência Política / Portuguese Journal of Political Science","volume":"21 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135194442","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"How the West Can Help Ukraine: Three Strategies for Achieving a Ukrainian Victory and Rebirth | Como pode o Ocidente ajudar a Ucrânia: Três estratégias para alcançar a vitória e o renascimento da Ucrânia","authors":"Andreas Umland","doi":"10.59071/2795-4765.rpcp2023.19/pp.85-98","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.59071/2795-4765.rpcp2023.19/pp.85-98","url":null,"abstract":"
 The geopolitical salience of the Russia–Ukraine War and the remoteness of Ukraine’s accession to the European Union or NATO call for intensification and modification of and innovation in current Western approaches. While some existing instruments can be strengthened and adapted, new tools are needed, accompanied by better explanations of the rationale for long-term Western aid to Ukraine. Such support is not just about international solidarity, but Western states’ national security, as well as winning not only the war but also the peace afterward and renewing rather than merely rebuilding Ukraine. Ukraine’s defence, security, transport, communications and energy infrastructures are priority areas for support. Reconstruction should be closely linked to Ukraine’s staged accession to the EU as well as further decentralization. More direct contacts between Ukrainian and Western communities and companies could be promoted through simplified residence rules for EU and other citizens and insuring foreign investors and trading partners against political risk, among other things. Central to conditions for continuing Western help will be Kyiv’s ongoing strengthening of the rule of law and fight against corruption. Even after the current war, strong armament of Ukraine as a European frontier state will be unavoidable before the country’s full accession to NATO and beyond.","PeriodicalId":485472,"journal":{"name":"Revista Portuguesa de Ciência Política / Portuguese Journal of Political Science","volume":"69 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135194443","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"As funções estratégicas dos Açores: uma tipologia | The Strategic Functions of the Azores: a typology","authors":"Tomé Ribeiro Fernandes","doi":"10.59071/2795-4565.rpcp2022.18/pp.137-153","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.59071/2795-4565.rpcp2022.18/pp.137-153","url":null,"abstract":"Este artigo propõe uma tipologia de seis funções estratégicas desempenhadas recorrentemente pelos Açores ao longo dos seus cinco séculos de história. Os Açores são utilizados diversas vezes como (1) teatro de refúgio; (2) reunião de forças; (3) plataforma de invasão; (4) apoio logístico; (5) estação informativa; e (6) trunfo diplomático. Na esteira da dicotomia sugerida por José Medeiros Ferreira dos Açores como “fronteira” ou como plataforma para a “articulação” entre continentes, com esta sistematização procura-se reduzir a complexidade histórica a categorias informadas por uma leitura dos acontecimentos através da lente teórica dos estudos estratégicos. Através dela, procuramos identificar continuidades essenciais e fatores que as determinam, assim como examinar a relação não linear entre a dinâmicas estratégicas dos Açores e a estratégia de Portugal. No contexto da incerteza que permeia o as perceções da utilidade estratégica do arquipélago após a redução de pessoal da Base das Lajes a partir de 2015, esta análise procura transferir os contributos da historiografia dos Açores para o campo da estratégia, e assim trazer algo de novo a esse debate.","PeriodicalId":485472,"journal":{"name":"Revista Portuguesa de Ciência Política / Portuguese Journal of Political Science","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135429061","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}