Global Health eJournal最新文献

A Systems Analysis of Environmental Factors on Global Influenza Death Rates 全球流感死亡率环境因素的系统分析

Global Health eJournal Pub Date : 2021-05-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3849752

John R. Evans

引用次数: 0

Persuasion and Public Health: Evidence from An Experiment with Religious Leaders during COVID-19 in Pakistan 说服与公共卫生:来自巴基斯坦2019冠状病毒病期间宗教领袖实验的证据

Global Health eJournal Pub Date : 2021-05-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3842048

Kate Vyborny

引用次数: 104

The COVID-19 Vaccine Patent Waiver: The Wrong Tool for the Right Goal COVID-19疫苗专利豁免:正确目标的错误工具

Global Health eJournal Pub Date : 2021-05-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3840486

Ana Santos Rutschman, Julia Barnes-Weise

引用次数: 4

The Monitoring of COVID-19 Infected Cases by Continent under the Application of MDNIDC-Mapping Simulator 基于mmdnidc -制图模拟器的大陆COVID-19感染病例监测

Global Health eJournal Pub Date : 2020-02-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3545233

Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada

引用次数: 1

A Generalizable Data Assembly Algorithm for Modeling Ebola Virus Disease in the Eastern DR Congo 刚果民主共和国东部埃博拉病毒病建模的可推广数据组装算法

Global Health eJournal Pub Date : 2019-11-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3291591

M. Majumder, Sherri Rose

{"title":"A Generalizable Data Assembly Algorithm for Modeling Ebola Virus Disease in the Eastern DR Congo","authors":"M. Majumder, Sherri Rose","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3291591","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3291591","url":null,"abstract":"Background. Over the last 19 months, the Democratic Republic of the Congo has reported approximately 3000 cases of Ebola virus disease (EVD). Since August 2018, an experimental vaccine has been deployed to curb transmission. \u0000 \u0000Methods. A generalizable data assembly algorithm was developed to automatically curate publicly available cumulative reported case count and vaccine deployment data from the Ministere de la Sante. The Incidence Decay and Exponential Adjustment model was then used to estimate basic and observed reproduction numbers associated with the outbreak for three health zones that have been most affected as well as for the country as a whole. Reproduction number estimates at the national level were paired with a sensitivity analysis to assess immunization rates and to project end-of-year case counts under three different transmission scenarios. \u0000 \u0000Findings. Basic and observed reproduction number estimates at the national level range from 1.13 to 1.99 and from 1.06 to 1.34, respectively. These estimates suggest that approximately 2% to 20% of the affected population across the country has thus far been effectively immunized against EVD and that the outbreak would likely be 4–34 times greater in size today had the vaccine not been deployed. Assuming no changes in transmission dynamics, we estimate that the expected cumulative case count will range between 3479 and 4249 by late December 2019; alternative transmission dynamics scenarios result in lesser and greater case count estimates. \u0000 \u0000Interpretation. Transmission dynamics associated with the outbreak suggest that though the experimental vaccine has likely helped curb the spread of EVD, the outbreak may continue into 2020. Data assembly algorithms like the one presented here will continue to prove useful as this outbreak and others like it persist. \u0000 \u0000Funding. Research reported in this work was supported by the National Institutes of Health through an NIH Director’s New Innovator Award DP2-MD012722.","PeriodicalId":373780,"journal":{"name":"Global Health eJournal","volume":"5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133940898","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Planetary Health and the Global Financial System 地球健康与全球金融体系

Global Health eJournal Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3537673

Hugues Chenet

{"title":"Planetary Health and the Global Financial System","authors":"Hugues Chenet","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3537673","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3537673","url":null,"abstract":"• The financial system is not structurally well equipped to address long-term global public goods issues like planetary health. Relying on the financial system to solve planetary health is therefore challenging. • Planetary health finance should shift current global investment flows towards economic activities compatible with planetary health; it is also important to cease financing those activities that create environmental and health problems. • Public finance has a strong role to play in planetary health to support innovation and crowd-in private actors. • The volume of available financial capital appears to be large enough to be substantially mobilised for planetary health. • Nature conservation finance is a promising approach to target concrete impact on the ground, but it may be difficult to scale to global level. • There is a need to channel capital towards planetary health and manage the related risks to the financial system, but the traditional mechanics of risk pricing cannot work in this case because markets cannot manage the fundamental uncertainty and long time horizons at stake. • A precautionary approach to the financial risks associated with planetary health is needed, as is the application of a new approach to supervision and regulation of the financial system. • Mobilizing finance for planetary health is likely to require deeper regulation of the financial system, although measures taken will strongly depend on each country’s current approach to financial regulation.","PeriodicalId":373780,"journal":{"name":"Global Health eJournal","volume":"235 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131994094","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 8

Never Mind the Science, Here’s the Convention on Biological Diversity: Viral Sovereignty in the Smallpox Destruction Debate 别管科学，这是《生物多样性公约》:天花毁灭辩论中的病毒主权

Global Health eJournal Pub Date : 2018-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3130900

M. Rourke

引用次数: 3