Asset Pricing 3Pub Date : 2018-12-07DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3069553
Di Luo
{"title":"Capital Heterogeneity, Time-to-Build, and Return Predictability","authors":"Di Luo","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3069553","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3069553","url":null,"abstract":"I study how and why the two major types of business investment, equipment investment and structures investment, are differently linked to stock returns. I empirically show that equipment investment has a significantly stronger predictive power for stock market returns than structures investment, both in-sample and out-of-sample. To explain this empirical finding, I build a general equilibrium production model featuring a shorter time-to-build for equipment investment than for structures investment. In the model, equipment investment reacts to productivity shocks in a more timely manner, and reflects more of the information contained in stock prices.","PeriodicalId":150185,"journal":{"name":"Asset Pricing 3","volume":"88 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131891193","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Asset Pricing 3Pub Date : 2010-09-13DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1649880
D. Galagedera
{"title":"Some Analytical and Empirical Results on the Relation between Idiosyncratic Volatility and Expected Stock Return","authors":"D. Galagedera","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1649880","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1649880","url":null,"abstract":"We show analytically that the cross-sectional relation between idiosyncratic volatility estimated as the variance of the residuals in a single factor model and expected stock return may be represented by a truncated parabola that opens to the left and has horizontal axis. This relation is uncovered for stocks of similar volatility and no abnormal return estimated in the factor model. The sensitivity of the relation between idiosyncratic volatility and expected stock return to these restrictions are discussed. Our findings may be extended to the multi-factor case as well. A non-linear inverse relation between idiosyncratic volatility and expected return is more likely to be observed when portfolios are formed controlling for abnormal return and total risk. Our interpretation of the idiosyncratic volatility and expected return relation help explain the inconsistency in the cross-sectional relation between idiosyncratic volatility and expected stock return observed in empirical studies. We provide empirical evidence to suggest that the relation between (i) idiosyncratic volatility and expected return is generally positive and is robust to the portfolio formation scheme and sample period and (ii) lagged idiosyncratic volatility and expected return is sensitive to the sample period.","PeriodicalId":150185,"journal":{"name":"Asset Pricing 3","volume":"18 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2010-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115183347","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}