FEEM: Climate Change & Sustainable Development (Topic)最新文献

Integrated Assessment of Climate Catastrophes with Endogenous Uncertainty: Does the Risk of Ice Sheet Collapse Justify Precautionary Mitigation? 具有内生不确定性的气候灾害的综合评估:冰盖崩塌的风险是否证明预防性缓解是合理的?

FEEM: Climate Change & Sustainable Development (Topic) Pub Date : 2015-07-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2628601

Delavane Diaz

{"title":"Integrated Assessment of Climate Catastrophes with Endogenous Uncertainty: Does the Risk of Ice Sheet Collapse Justify Precautionary Mitigation?","authors":"Delavane Diaz","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2628601","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2628601","url":null,"abstract":"Greenhouse gas policies confront the trade-off between the costs of reducing emissions and the benefits of avoided climate change. The risk of uncertain and potentially irreversible catastrophes is an important issue related to the latter, and one that has not yet been well incorporated into economic models for climate change policy analysis. This paper demonstrates a multistage stochastic programming framework for catastrophe modeling with endogenous uncertainty, applied to a benchmark integrated assessment model. This study moves beyond recent catastrophe or tipping point studies with arbitrary risk, instead investigating the specific threat of the uncertain collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS), characterized in accordance with recent expert elicitations, empirical results, and physical relationships. The stochastic DICE-WAIS model introduced here informs risk management strategies that balance uncertain future climate change impacts with the costs of mitigation investments today. This work finds that accounting for the consequences of the possible WAIS collapse in a stochastic setting with endogenous uncertainty leads to more stringent climate policy recommendations (increasing the CO2 control rate by an additional 4% of global emissions and raising the social cost of carbon by $10), reflecting the need to hedge against uncertainties with downside risk as well as pursue precautionary mitigation.","PeriodicalId":110280,"journal":{"name":"FEEM: Climate Change & Sustainable Development (Topic)","volume":"63 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-07-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123801642","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 7

The Rise and Fall of the Great Fish Pact Under Endogenous Risk of Stock Collapse 种群崩溃内生风险下《渔业大公约》的兴衰

FEEM: Climate Change & Sustainable Development (Topic) Pub Date : 2015-06-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2622409

Adam N. Walker, H. Weikard, A. Richter

引用次数: 1

Greening Up or Not? The Determinants Political Parties’ Environmental Concern: An Empirical Analysis Based on European Data (1970-2008) 绿化与否?政党环境关注的决定因素:基于欧洲数据的实证分析(1970-2008)

FEEM: Climate Change & Sustainable Development (Topic) Pub Date : 2015-03-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2596575

Benjamin Michallet, G. Gaeta, F. Facchini

引用次数: 9

The Passive Use Value of the Mediterranean Forest 地中海森林的被动利用价值

FEEM: Climate Change & Sustainable Development (Topic) Pub Date : 2014-10-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2511284

Vladimir Otrachshenkoy

引用次数: 1

Energy Poverty Alleviation and Climate Change Mitigation: Is There a Trade Off? 缓解能源贫困与减缓气候变化:是否存在取舍?

FEEM: Climate Change & Sustainable Development (Topic) Pub Date : 2013-04-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2245631

Shoibal Chakravarty, M. Tavoni

{"title":"Energy Poverty Alleviation and Climate Change Mitigation: Is There a Trade Off?","authors":"Shoibal Chakravarty, M. Tavoni","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2245631","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2245631","url":null,"abstract":"Energy poverty alleviation has become an important political issue in the most recent years. Several initiatives and policies have been proposed to deal with poor access to modern sources of energy in many developing countries. Given the large number of people lacking basic energy services, an important question is whether providing universal access to modern energy could significantly increase CO2 emissions. This paper provides one of the few formal assessments of this problem by means of a simple but robust model of current and future energy consumption. The model allows mapping energy consumption globally for different classes of energy use, quantifying current and future imbalances in the distribution of energy consumption. Our results indicate that an energy poverty eradication policy to be met by 2030 would increase global final energy consumption by about 7% (or 19EJ). This is the same quantity of energy which would be added between now and 2030 by individuals with energy consumption above current European standards. The additional energy infrastructure needed to eradicate energy poverty would produce 16-131 GtCO2 over the 21st century and contribute at most 0.1C of additional warming.","PeriodicalId":110280,"journal":{"name":"FEEM: Climate Change & Sustainable Development (Topic)","volume":"29 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-04-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132903506","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 157

Quantifying Sustainability: A New Approach and World Ranking 量化可持续发展:一种新的方法和世界排名

FEEM: Climate Change & Sustainable Development (Topic) Pub Date : 2013-01-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2200903

C. Carraro, L. Campagnolo, F. Eboli, E. Lanzi, R. Parrado, E. Portale

{"title":"Quantifying Sustainability: A New Approach and World Ranking","authors":"C. Carraro, L. Campagnolo, F. Eboli, E. Lanzi, R. Parrado, E. Portale","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2200903","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2200903","url":null,"abstract":"This paper proposes a new tool to assess sustainability and make the concept of sustainable development operational. It considers its multi-dimensional structure combining the information deriving from a selection of relevant sustainability indicators belonging to economic, social and environmental pillars. It reproduces the dynamics of these indicators over time and countries. Then, it aggregates these indicators using a new approach based on Choquet’s integrals. The main novelties of this approach are indeed: (i) the modelling framework, a recursive-dynamic computable general equilibrium used to calculate the evolution of all indicators over time throughout the world, and (ii) the aggregation methodology to reconcile them in one aggregate index to measure overall sustainability. The former allows capturing the sector and regional interactions and higher-order effects driven by background assumptions on relevant variables to depict future scenarios. The latter makes it possible to compare sustainability performances, under alternative scenarios, across countries and over time. Main results show that the current sustainability at world level differs from what the traditional measure of well-being, the GDP, depicts, highlighting the trade-offs among different components of sustainability. Moreover, in the next decade a slight decrease in world sustainability may occur, in spite of an expected increase in world domestic product. Finally, dedicated policies increase overall sustainability, showing that social and environmental benefits may be greater than the correlated economic costs.","PeriodicalId":110280,"journal":{"name":"FEEM: Climate Change & Sustainable Development (Topic)","volume":"57 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-01-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132777946","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 7

Bioenergy and CO2 Sequestration: Climate Policies Beyond Technological Constraints 生物能源和二氧化碳封存:超越技术限制的气候政策

FEEM: Climate Change & Sustainable Development (Topic) Pub Date : 2012-12-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2192031

Ruben Bibas, Aurélie Méjean

引用次数: 0

Advanced Biofuels: Future Perspectives from an Expert Elicitation Survey 先进生物燃料:来自专家启发调查的未来展望

FEEM: Climate Change & Sustainable Development (Topic) Pub Date : 2012-10-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2162834

G. Fiorese, M. Catenacci, Elena Verdolini, V. Bosetti

引用次数: 76

Economic Growth and the Environment with Clean and Dirty Consumption 经济增长与环境与清洁和肮脏消费

FEEM: Climate Change & Sustainable Development (Topic) Pub Date : 2011-08-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1915838

C. Orecchia, M. Tessitore

{"title":"Economic Growth and the Environment with Clean and Dirty Consumption","authors":"C. Orecchia, M. Tessitore","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1915838","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1915838","url":null,"abstract":"This paper aims to verify the existence of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) or inverted U-shaped relationship between economic growth and environmental degradation in the context of endogenous growth. An important feature of this study is that the EKC is examined in the presence of pollution as a by product of consumption activities; also, pollution is a stock variable rather than a flow and tends to accumulate over time. In order to highlight the role of consumption on the environment, consumers do not consider directly pollution in the maximization problem and are assumed to choose between two different consumption types, characterized by a different impact on the environment (i.e. dirty and clean consumption). We find that substitution of dirty consumption with clean consumption alone is not sufficient to reduce environmental pollution. The result depends on the product differentiation and the cost to achieve it. From a social welfare perspective, more environmental awareness is unambiguously desirable when it generates less pollution. However, it could be that more environmental awareness leads to a lower level of social welfare depending on the costs of product differentiation and social marginal damage of pollution.","PeriodicalId":110280,"journal":{"name":"FEEM: Climate Change & Sustainable Development (Topic)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2011-08-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128956920","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 29

Myopic or Farsighted? An Experiment on Network Formation 近视还是远视?网络形成实验

FEEM: Climate Change & Sustainable Development (Topic) Pub Date : 2011-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1871709

M. Mantovani, G. Kirchsteiger, A. Mauleon, Vincent Vannetelbosch

引用次数: 32