半马尔可夫模型与马尔可夫模型在人员预测中的应用比较

IF 2.8 4区管理学 Q2 MANAGEMENT

DECISION SCIENCES Pub Date : 1977-04-01 DOI:10.1111/j.1540-5915.1977.tb01095.x

Richard Valliant, George Milkovich

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引用次数: 7

摘要

本文报告了一个半马尔可夫模型的开发、应用和评估的探索性研究，该模型预测了主要雇主内部的人员流动性。通过将模型生成的结果与简单马尔可夫模型的结果和观察到的组织内部行为进行比较，来研究模型的准确性。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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COMPARISON OF SEMI-MARKOV AND MARKOV MODELS IN A PERSONNEL FORECASTING APPLICATION

This paper reports an exploratory study of the development, application, and evaluation of a semi-Markov model which forecasts personnel mobility rates within a major employer. The accuracy of the model is investigated by comparing the results generated by it to the results from a simple Markov model and to the observed behavior within the organization.

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来源期刊

DECISION SCIENCES MANAGEMENT-

CiteScore

12.40

自引率

1.80%

发文量

期刊介绍： Decision Sciences, a premier journal of the Decision Sciences Institute, publishes scholarly research about decision making within the boundaries of an organization, as well as decisions involving inter-firm coordination. The journal promotes research advancing decision making at the interfaces of business functions and organizational boundaries. The journal also seeks articles extending established lines of work assuming the results of the research have the potential to substantially impact either decision making theory or industry practice. Ground-breaking research articles that enhance managerial understanding of decision making processes and stimulate further research in multi-disciplinary domains are particularly encouraged.