厄瓜多尔的外部部门、限制和经济增长

Q4 Social Sciences

Problemas del Desarrollo Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI:10.1016/j.rpd.2017.11.005

Rafael Alvarado, Stefany Iglesias

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引用次数: 11

摘要

本研究利用协整技术考察了1980-2015年期间厄瓜多尔外部部门对经济增长的约束。结果与所使用的理论框架一致，并得出结论，即外部部门确实阻碍了厄瓜多尔的增长。在分析的时间跨度中，我们发现厄瓜多尔表现出较高的边际进口倾向:当国民收入增加1%时，进口增加1.57%。此外，我们表明出口在短期和长期与外部收入密切相关。这项研究得出的一个政策启示是，支持发展中国家经济增长的两种机制可能涉及扩大国内需求和使出口目的地多样化。

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SECTOR EXTERNO, RESTRICCIONES Y CRECIMIENTO ECONÓMICO EN ECUADOR

This research examines the constraint imposed by the external sector on growth in Ecuador in the time period 1980-2015 using cointegration techniques. The results are consistent with the theoretical framework used and conclude that the external sector does indeed hinder Ecuadorian growth. In the timespan analyzed, we found that Ecuador exhibits an elevated marginal propensity to import: when national income rises 1%, imports go up by 1.57%. Moreover, we show that exports are closely related in the short and long term with external income. One policy implication derived from this research is that two mechanisms to shore up economic growth in developing countries could involve bolstering domestic demand and diversifying export destinations.

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来源期刊

Problemas del Desarrollo Social Sciences-Development

CiteScore

0.70

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： roblemas del Desarrollo. Revista Latinoamericana de Economía, publicación trimestral, es el órgano oficial de divulgación del Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas de la Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (UNAM), el que atento a la propuesta de sus fundadores, recibe todas las interpretaciones teóricas que con rigor científico, pretendan analizar las diferentes dificultades planteadas por el desarrollo económico, a fin de generar crítica, refutación y reconocer desacuerdos entre predicciones como cualquier teoría científica es capaz de hacerlo.