经验法则:在相关流上并行运行的许多类型的控制图的虚警运行长度是渐近独立的

IF 3.2 1区 数学 Q1 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
M. Pollak
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引用次数: 0

摘要

考虑一个生成一系列独立的同分布向量的过程。潜在状态的变化可能在一个或多个边际分布的修改中变得明显。通常,坐标之间的依赖结构是未知的,阻碍了基于联合分布的监视。一种流行的方法是分别为每个坐标构建控制图,并在任何(或某些)控制图发出信号时发出警报。困难在于获得到虚警的总平均游程长度(ARL2FA)的表达式。我们认为,尽管存在依赖结构,但当过程处于控制状态时,对于大的ARL到虚警,许多类型的控制图并行运行的游程长度是渐近独立的。此外,通常情况下,控制行程长度是渐近指数分布的,这使得ARL2FA能够得到简单的渐近表达式。我们在某些Cusum和Shiryaev–Roberts型控制图上证明了这一断言,并通过仿真进行了说明。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A rule of thumb: Run lengths to false alarm of many types of control charts run in parallel on dependent streams are asymptotically independent
Consider a process that produces a series of independent identically distributed vectors. A change in an underlying state may become manifest in a modification of one or more of the marginal distributions. Often, the dependence structure between coordinates is unknown, impeding surveillance based on the joint distribution. A popular approach is to construct control charts for each coordinate separately and raise an alarm the first time any (or some) of the control charts signals. The difficulty is obtaining an expression for the overall average run length to false alarm (ARL2FA).We argue that despite the dependence structure, when the process is in control, for large ARLs to false alarm, run lengths of many types of control charts run in parallel are asymptotically independent. Furthermore, often, in-control run lengths are asymptotically exponentially distributed, enabling uncomplicated asymptotic expressions for the ARL2FA.We prove this assertion for certain Cusum and Shiryaev–Roberts-type control charts and illustrate it by simulations.
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来源期刊
Annals of Statistics
Annals of Statistics 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
9.30
自引率
8.90%
发文量
119
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Annals of Statistics aim to publish research papers of highest quality reflecting the many facets of contemporary statistics. Primary emphasis is placed on importance and originality, not on formalism. The journal aims to cover all areas of statistics, especially mathematical statistics and applied & interdisciplinary statistics. Of course many of the best papers will touch on more than one of these general areas, because the discipline of statistics has deep roots in mathematics, and in substantive scientific fields.
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