生育、电力和电视：有联系吗？1990年至2018年来自巴基斯坦的证据

IF 1.3 4区经济学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY

Journal of Demographic Economics Pub Date : 2022-03-07 DOI:10.1017/dem.2022.6

L. Tasciotti, Farooq Sulehria, N. Wagner

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引用次数: 2

摘要

在20世纪60年代的巴基斯坦，每个妇女平均要生6个以上的孩子。2021年，巴基斯坦的生育率仍然是南亚第二高的，平均每位妇女生育3.4个孩子。本文使用四波人口与健康调查数据，实证分析了1990年至2018年间巴基斯坦生育率的趋势；考虑到财富、教育和地理位置的差异，本文研究了降低生育率的三种额外途径：（i）电气化，（ii）电视和（iii）电视上播放的计划生育广告。结果表明，用电不会降低生育率，而看电视对降低生育率有显著影响。还讨论了巴基斯坦肥皂剧的内容和演变，认为这些肥皂剧所传达的榜样、家庭类型和信息可能代表了生育率下降的有力途径。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Fertility, electricity and television: is there a link? Evidence from Pakistan, 1990–2018

In 1960s Pakistan, every woman was giving birth to more than 6 children on average. In 2021, Pakistan still has the second-highest fertility rate in South Asia with every woman giving birth to 3.4 children on average. This paper uses four waves of Demographic and Health Survey data to empirically analyze trends in fertility in Pakistan between 1990 and 2018; accounting for wealth, education and locational differences, this paper looks at three additional pathways for reducing fertility: (i) electrification, (ii) access to TV and (iii) family planning commercials broadcast on television. Results show that electricity does not reduce fertility whereas access to television has a significant effect in reducing fertility rates. The content and evolution of Pakistani soap-operas are also discussed, and it is argued that the role models, the types of households and the messages conveyed by these soap-operas may represent strong pathways for the fertility decline.

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来源期刊

Journal of Demographic Economics Multiple-

CiteScore

2.30

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Demographic variables such as fertility, mortality, migration and family structures notably respond to economic incentives and in turn affect the economic development of societies. Journal of Demographic Economics welcomes both empirical and theoretical papers on issues relevant to Demographic Economics with a preference for combining abstract economic or demographic models together with data to highlight major mechanisms. The journal was first published in 1929 as Bulletin de l’Institut des Sciences Economiques. It later became known as Louvain Economic Review, and continued till 2014 to publish under this title. In 2015, it moved to Cambridge University Press, increased its international character and changed its focus exclusively to demographic economics.