人群疏散中有序-无序相变的控制策略

IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL
Wenfeng Yi , Wenhan Wu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人群疏散可能在有序和无序运动之间经历突然的、危险的转变,但网络拓扑结构和有针对性的干预措施如何共同塑造这种转变仍不清楚。我们将一个动态的、加权的小世界传染层与一个扩展的社会力量模型相结合,并设计了针对高程度(HD)和高k壳(HK)节点的自适应的、拓扑感知的干预措施。模拟描绘了由风险引起的过渡:低风险允许自发恢复,中等风险触发对齐的关键崩溃,高风险将系统锁定为无序。针对一小部分代理(10%-20%)降低集体不耐烦并保持对齐,HD在高密度下保留更多益处。在高风险的双出口房间中——短随机行走迷失方向规则和压力-情绪耦合是主动的——通过目标控制提高对齐可以减少疏散时间,重新平衡出口的使用,并降低峰值接触力。这些效应在出口宽度变化、长期传染概率p(t)的增加和适度的个体间异质性中保持强劲。对真实人群记录的分析进一步表明,HD和HK的选择仅部分重叠,支持覆盖密集核心和结构桥梁的动态混合政策。总之,研究结果提供了一个拓扑感知控制框架,将网络结构与紧急疏散行为联系起来,对规划、公共安全和人群弹性具有直接影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Control strategies for order–disorder phase transition in crowd evacuation
Crowd evacuation can undergo abrupt, hazardous shifts between ordered and disordered motion, yet how network topology and targeted interventions jointly shape this transition remains unclear. We integrate a dynamic, weighted small-world contagion layer with an extended social force model and design adaptive, topology-aware interventions that target high-degree (HD) and high k-shell (HK) nodes. Simulations map a risk-induced transition: low risk permits spontaneous recovery, medium risk triggers a critical collapse of alignment, and high risk locks the system into disorder. Targeting a small fraction of agents (10%–20%) lowers collective impatience and preserves alignment, with HD retaining more benefit at higher densities. In dual-exit rooms under high risk — where a short random-walk disorientation rule and a pressure–emotion coupling are active — raising alignment via targeted control reduces evacuation time, re-balances exit usage, and lowers peak contact forces. These effects remain robust across exit-width changes, increases in the long-range contagion probability p(t), and moderate inter-individual heterogeneity. Analyses of real crowd recordings further show that HD and HK selections overlap only partially, supporting dynamic, hybrid policies that cover both dense cores and structural bridges. Together, the results provide a topology-aware control framework that links network structure to emergent evacuation behavior, with direct implications for planning, public safety, and crowd resilience.
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来源期刊
Reliability Engineering & System Safety
Reliability Engineering & System Safety 管理科学-工程:工业
CiteScore
15.20
自引率
39.50%
发文量
621
审稿时长
67 days
期刊介绍: Elsevier publishes Reliability Engineering & System Safety in association with the European Safety and Reliability Association and the Safety Engineering and Risk Analysis Division. The international journal is devoted to developing and applying methods to enhance the safety and reliability of complex technological systems, like nuclear power plants, chemical plants, hazardous waste facilities, space systems, offshore and maritime systems, transportation systems, constructed infrastructure, and manufacturing plants. The journal normally publishes only articles that involve the analysis of substantive problems related to the reliability of complex systems or present techniques and/or theoretical results that have a discernable relationship to the solution of such problems. An important aim is to balance academic material and practical applications.
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