变化点检测分析空气污染及其经济影响:指数加权移动平均视角。

IF 1.1 4区 数学 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
Journal of Applied Statistics Pub Date : 2025-02-02 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI:10.1080/02664763.2025.2455636
Shabbir Ahmad, Muhammad Riaz, Tahir Mahmood, Nasir Abbas
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引用次数: 0

摘要

空气污染对每个社会都有直接的影响,并对一个国家的经济产生相应的影响。空气质量差对人类健康产生不利影响,导致各种经济后果,如医疗保健成本上升、劳动生产率下降、对旅游业和生活水平产生负面影响、企业监管费用增加以及经济差距加剧。有效的控制方法对于监测包括空气质量在内的影响经济的因素至关重要。空气中有毒物质的存在降低了空气质量,因此有必要通过PM10等指数进行监测。在统计过程控制工具中,控制图是最突出的有效的变化点检测工具。本研究引入了一种新的过程监控工具,如果可用,它将附加的辅助信息与感兴趣的主要变量结合在一起。所提出的方法确保检测能力保持鲁棒性,即使在辅助变量的干扰下。此外,数学分析表明,对于特定的灵敏度参数值,许多现有的统计质量控制工具成为所提出结构的特殊情况。通过对运行长度分布特性的评估,所提出的图可以通过调整其灵敏度参数来控制鲁棒性与效率的平衡。实际应用表明,该图表在监测空气质量数据方面是有效的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Change point detection to analyze air pollution and its economic effects: an exponentially weighted moving average perspective.

Air pollution has a direct impact on every society, leading to consequential effects on the economy of a nation. Poor air quality adversely affects human health, resulting in various economic outcomes such as rising healthcare costs, diminished labor productivity, negative impacts on tourism and living standards, increased regulatory expenses for businesses, and heightened economic disparities. Effective control methods are essential to monitor factors influencing the economy, including air quality. The presence of toxic substances in the air reduces air quality, necessitating its monitoring through indices like PM10. Among statistical process control tools, control charts are the most prominent for efficient change point detection. This study introduces a new process monitoring tool that incorporates additional auxiliary information, if available, alongside the main variable of interest. The proposed methodology ensures detection ability remains robust, even under disturbances in the auxiliary variable. Furthermore, mathematical analyses reveal that many existing statistical quality control tools become special cases of the proposed structure for specific sensitivity parameter values. Evaluated through properties of run length distribution, the proposed chart allows control of the robustness-efficiency balance by adjusting its sensitivity parameter. A practical implementation demonstrates the effectiveness of the chart in monitoring air quality data.

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来源期刊
Journal of Applied Statistics
Journal of Applied Statistics 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
126
审稿时长
6 months
期刊介绍: Journal of Applied Statistics provides a forum for communication between both applied statisticians and users of applied statistical techniques across a wide range of disciplines. These areas include business, computing, economics, ecology, education, management, medicine, operational research and sociology, but papers from other areas are also considered. The editorial policy is to publish rigorous but clear and accessible papers on applied techniques. Purely theoretical papers are avoided but those on theoretical developments which clearly demonstrate significant applied potential are welcomed. Each paper is submitted to at least two independent referees.
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