中国老年人与儿童同居地区差异的决定因素

IF 2.6 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY
Simin Dai, Albert Esteve, Joan García-Román
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着人口老龄化的加速,了解老年人的生活安排,特别是他们与子女共同居住,对于解决他们的多样化需求至关重要。随着时间的推移,各国对代际共居问题进行了广泛的研究,但各国内部的区域差异仍未得到充分探讨。本研究通过研究中国老年人代际同居的地区差异来解决这一差距。中国历史上以高同居水平为特征,但在过去几十年里面临着快速老龄化、深刻的社会经济变化和不断扩大的地区差异。利用2000年中国人口普查数据和多层次模型,我们分析了340个地级市871123名老年人的同居模式。我们的研究结果显示了显著的地区差异,同居率从20%到86%不等。个人因素只能解释8%的差异,而区域因素,特别是老年人和农业就业的比例,是最重要的决定因素。残差分析显示,考虑到社会人口因素后,最发达城市中心的老年人同居的可能性高于平均水平,这表明随着家庭适应快速现代化,代际同居的持续存在。这项研究强调需要进行区域研究,为有针对性的政策提供信息,特别是在面临加速老龄化、青年外迁和养老体系不足的欠发达地区。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Determinants of Regional Disparities in Older Adult – Child Coresidence in China

Determinants of Regional Disparities in Older Adult – Child Coresidence in China

As population aging accelerates, understanding the living arrangements of older adults – particularly their coresidence with children – is crucial to addressing their diverse needs. While intergenerational coresidence has been widely studied across countries and over time, regional differences within countries remain underexplored. This study addresses this gap by examining regional variations in intergenerational coresidence among older adults in China, a country historically marked by high coresidence levels but facing rapid aging, profound socioeconomic changes, and widening regional disparities in past decades. Using data from the 2000 Chinese Census and multilevel modelling, we analyze coresidence patterns among 871,123 older adults across 340 prefectures. Our findings reveal significant regional variation, with coresidence rates ranging from 20% to 86%. Individual factors explain only 8% of this variation, while regional factors, particularly the proportion of elderly and agricultural employment, are the strongest determinants. Residual analysis shows that older adults in the most developed urban centres exhibit a higher-than-average likelihood of coresidence after accounting for sociodemographic factors, suggesting the sustaining of intergenerational coresidence as families adapt to rapid modernisation. This study underscores the need for regional research to inform targeted policies, particularly in less-developed areas facing accelerated aging, youth outmigration, and inadequate eldercare systems.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.00
自引率
12.50%
发文量
87
期刊介绍: Population, Space and Place aims to be the leading English-language research journal in the field of geographical population studies. It intends to: - Inform population researchers of the best theoretical and empirical research on topics related to population, space and place - Promote and further enhance the international standing of population research through the exchange of views on what constitutes best research practice - Facilitate debate on issues of policy relevance and encourage the widest possible discussion and dissemination of the applications of research on populations - Review and evaluate the significance of recent research findings and provide an international platform where researchers can discuss the future course of population research
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