基于航路级联故障传播动力学建模和多维影响分析的两层空中交通动态网络

IF 11 1区工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL

Reliability Engineering & System Safety Pub Date : 2025-06-07 DOI:10.1016/j.ress.2025.111350

Dan Chen , Jianan Yin , Yugang Zhong , Cheng Tang

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引用次数: 0

摘要

通过表征空中交通的时空传输与故障传播导致的空中交通网络结构演化之间的动态交互作用，提出了基于双层空中交通动态网络的级联故障传播动力学模型。在此基础上，采用多维影响分析方法，从网络结构、控制服务能力、流量需求、运营效率等方面评估级联故障的整体影响。以上海某航线网络为例，验证了所提出的级联故障演化框架在成功捕获故障传播和自恢复的动态过程中的有效性，以及所提出的多维影响分析方法在更好地反映级联故障对航线网络整体影响方面的准确性。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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A two-layer air traffic dynamic network based en route cascading failure propagation dynamics modeling and multi-dimensional impact analysis

This study proposes an en route cascading failure propagation dynamics model based on a two-layer air traffic dynamic network by characterizing the dynamic interaction between the spatial–temporal transmission of air traffic and the evolution of the en route network structure due to failure propagation. On this basis, a multi-dimensional impact analysis method is conducted to evaluate the overall impact of cascading failures from various aspects, including network structure, control service capacity, traffic demand, and operational efficiency. A case study of an en route network in Shanghai demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed cascading failure evolution framework in successfully capturing the dynamic process of failure propagation and self-recovery, as well as the accuracy of the proposed multi-dimensional impact analysis method to better reflect the overall impact of cascading failures in the en route network.

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来源期刊

Reliability Engineering & System Safety 管理科学-工程：工业

CiteScore

15.20

自引率

39.50%

发文量

621

审稿时长

67 days

期刊介绍： Elsevier publishes Reliability Engineering & System Safety in association with the European Safety and Reliability Association and the Safety Engineering and Risk Analysis Division. The international journal is devoted to developing and applying methods to enhance the safety and reliability of complex technological systems, like nuclear power plants, chemical plants, hazardous waste facilities, space systems, offshore and maritime systems, transportation systems, constructed infrastructure, and manufacturing plants. The journal normally publishes only articles that involve the analysis of substantive problems related to the reliability of complex systems or present techniques and/or theoretical results that have a discernable relationship to the solution of such problems. An important aim is to balance academic material and practical applications.