{"title":"电力系统的预测需求分析和机器学习,以提高弹性和效率","authors":"Wadim Strielkowski , Andrey Vlasov , Kirill Selivanov , Aleksandr Rasuk , Luboš Smutka","doi":"10.1016/j.segan.2025.101722","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rapid advancements of the Internet of Things (IoT), Artificial Intelligence (AI), cloud computing, and Big Data have significantly accelerated the adoption of predictive analytics within electric power systems. The integration of predictive analytics offers substantial opportunities for automating control and monitoring processes, thereby enhancing both the resilience and operational efficiency of power grids. This paper introduces a novel predictive analytics framework that uniquely integrates supervised and unsupervised machine learning methods, specifically linear and logistic regression, decision trees, random forests, and clustering algorithms, to simultaneously predict short-term power demand and accurately detect early signs of short circuits and system faults. Utilizing the grid load data from the U.S. Department of Energy's Open Energy Data Initiative (OEDI), our research systematically illustrates the implementation, optimization, and integration of selected machine learning algorithms specifically tailored for power systems. Our empirical results demonstrate substantial efficiency improvements in electric power systems ranging from 14 % to 24 %, with measurable enhancements across reliability indices, economic savings, reductions in environmental impact (lower greenhouse gas emissions), and optimized infrastructure utilization. Furthermore, the paper explicitly addresses regulatory hurdles and industry adoption challenges, outlining how predictive analytics can strategically facilitate technology integration in traditionally conservative power sectors. Finally, the paper provides deeper theoretical synthesis and proposes several specific future research avenues, emphasizing scalability to diverse grid contexts, renewable energy integration, and further exploration of regulatory dynamics. Overall, this study not only highlights the practical benefits of predictive analytics but also significantly contributes to theoretical advancements, strategic planning, and informed policymaking within the energy sector.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":56142,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Energy Grids & Networks","volume":"42 ","pages":"Article 101722"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Predictive demand analytics and machine learning in electric power systems for enhancing resilience and efficiency\",\"authors\":\"Wadim Strielkowski , Andrey Vlasov , Kirill Selivanov , Aleksandr Rasuk , Luboš Smutka\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.segan.2025.101722\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Rapid advancements of the Internet of Things (IoT), Artificial Intelligence (AI), cloud computing, and Big Data have significantly accelerated the adoption of predictive analytics within electric power systems. The integration of predictive analytics offers substantial opportunities for automating control and monitoring processes, thereby enhancing both the resilience and operational efficiency of power grids. This paper introduces a novel predictive analytics framework that uniquely integrates supervised and unsupervised machine learning methods, specifically linear and logistic regression, decision trees, random forests, and clustering algorithms, to simultaneously predict short-term power demand and accurately detect early signs of short circuits and system faults. Utilizing the grid load data from the U.S. Department of Energy's Open Energy Data Initiative (OEDI), our research systematically illustrates the implementation, optimization, and integration of selected machine learning algorithms specifically tailored for power systems. Our empirical results demonstrate substantial efficiency improvements in electric power systems ranging from 14 % to 24 %, with measurable enhancements across reliability indices, economic savings, reductions in environmental impact (lower greenhouse gas emissions), and optimized infrastructure utilization. Furthermore, the paper explicitly addresses regulatory hurdles and industry adoption challenges, outlining how predictive analytics can strategically facilitate technology integration in traditionally conservative power sectors. Finally, the paper provides deeper theoretical synthesis and proposes several specific future research avenues, emphasizing scalability to diverse grid contexts, renewable energy integration, and further exploration of regulatory dynamics. Overall, this study not only highlights the practical benefits of predictive analytics but also significantly contributes to theoretical advancements, strategic planning, and informed policymaking within the energy sector.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":56142,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Sustainable Energy Grids & Networks\",\"volume\":\"42 \",\"pages\":\"Article 101722\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-04-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Sustainable Energy Grids & Networks\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352467725001043\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ENERGY & FUELS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Sustainable Energy Grids & Networks","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352467725001043","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ENERGY & FUELS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Predictive demand analytics and machine learning in electric power systems for enhancing resilience and efficiency
Rapid advancements of the Internet of Things (IoT), Artificial Intelligence (AI), cloud computing, and Big Data have significantly accelerated the adoption of predictive analytics within electric power systems. The integration of predictive analytics offers substantial opportunities for automating control and monitoring processes, thereby enhancing both the resilience and operational efficiency of power grids. This paper introduces a novel predictive analytics framework that uniquely integrates supervised and unsupervised machine learning methods, specifically linear and logistic regression, decision trees, random forests, and clustering algorithms, to simultaneously predict short-term power demand and accurately detect early signs of short circuits and system faults. Utilizing the grid load data from the U.S. Department of Energy's Open Energy Data Initiative (OEDI), our research systematically illustrates the implementation, optimization, and integration of selected machine learning algorithms specifically tailored for power systems. Our empirical results demonstrate substantial efficiency improvements in electric power systems ranging from 14 % to 24 %, with measurable enhancements across reliability indices, economic savings, reductions in environmental impact (lower greenhouse gas emissions), and optimized infrastructure utilization. Furthermore, the paper explicitly addresses regulatory hurdles and industry adoption challenges, outlining how predictive analytics can strategically facilitate technology integration in traditionally conservative power sectors. Finally, the paper provides deeper theoretical synthesis and proposes several specific future research avenues, emphasizing scalability to diverse grid contexts, renewable energy integration, and further exploration of regulatory dynamics. Overall, this study not only highlights the practical benefits of predictive analytics but also significantly contributes to theoretical advancements, strategic planning, and informed policymaking within the energy sector.
期刊介绍:
Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks (SEGAN)is an international peer-reviewed publication for theoretical and applied research dealing with energy, information grids and power networks, including smart grids from super to micro grid scales. SEGAN welcomes papers describing fundamental advances in mathematical, statistical or computational methods with application to power and energy systems, as well as papers on applications, computation and modeling in the areas of electrical and energy systems with coupled information and communication technologies.