电力系统的预测需求分析和机器学习,以提高弹性和效率

IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS
Wadim Strielkowski , Andrey Vlasov , Kirill Selivanov , Aleksandr Rasuk , Luboš Smutka
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引用次数: 0

摘要

物联网(IoT)、人工智能(AI)、云计算和大数据的快速发展大大加速了电力系统中预测分析的采用。预测分析的集成为自动化控制和监测过程提供了大量机会,从而提高了电网的弹性和运行效率。本文介绍了一种新颖的预测分析框架,该框架独特地集成了监督和无监督机器学习方法,特别是线性和逻辑回归,决策树,随机森林和聚类算法,以同时预测短期电力需求并准确检测短路和系统故障的早期迹象。利用来自美国能源部开放能源数据计划(OEDI)的电网负荷数据,我们的研究系统地说明了专门为电力系统量身定制的选定机器学习算法的实施、优化和集成。我们的实证结果表明,电力系统的效率大幅提高,范围从14% %到24% %,在可靠性指标、经济节约、环境影响减少(温室气体排放减少)和优化基础设施利用率方面都有可测量的增强。此外,本文明确指出了监管障碍和行业采用挑战,概述了预测分析如何在传统保守的电力行业战略性地促进技术整合。最后,本文提供了更深入的理论综合,并提出了几个具体的未来研究途径,强调可扩展性到不同的电网环境,可再生能源的整合,并进一步探索监管动态。总的来说,这项研究不仅强调了预测分析的实际好处,而且对能源部门的理论进步、战略规划和知情决策做出了重大贡献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Predictive demand analytics and machine learning in electric power systems for enhancing resilience and efficiency
Rapid advancements of the Internet of Things (IoT), Artificial Intelligence (AI), cloud computing, and Big Data have significantly accelerated the adoption of predictive analytics within electric power systems. The integration of predictive analytics offers substantial opportunities for automating control and monitoring processes, thereby enhancing both the resilience and operational efficiency of power grids. This paper introduces a novel predictive analytics framework that uniquely integrates supervised and unsupervised machine learning methods, specifically linear and logistic regression, decision trees, random forests, and clustering algorithms, to simultaneously predict short-term power demand and accurately detect early signs of short circuits and system faults. Utilizing the grid load data from the U.S. Department of Energy's Open Energy Data Initiative (OEDI), our research systematically illustrates the implementation, optimization, and integration of selected machine learning algorithms specifically tailored for power systems. Our empirical results demonstrate substantial efficiency improvements in electric power systems ranging from 14 % to 24 %, with measurable enhancements across reliability indices, economic savings, reductions in environmental impact (lower greenhouse gas emissions), and optimized infrastructure utilization. Furthermore, the paper explicitly addresses regulatory hurdles and industry adoption challenges, outlining how predictive analytics can strategically facilitate technology integration in traditionally conservative power sectors. Finally, the paper provides deeper theoretical synthesis and proposes several specific future research avenues, emphasizing scalability to diverse grid contexts, renewable energy integration, and further exploration of regulatory dynamics. Overall, this study not only highlights the practical benefits of predictive analytics but also significantly contributes to theoretical advancements, strategic planning, and informed policymaking within the energy sector.
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来源期刊
Sustainable Energy Grids & Networks
Sustainable Energy Grids & Networks Energy-Energy Engineering and Power Technology
CiteScore
7.90
自引率
13.00%
发文量
206
审稿时长
49 days
期刊介绍: Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks (SEGAN)is an international peer-reviewed publication for theoretical and applied research dealing with energy, information grids and power networks, including smart grids from super to micro grid scales. SEGAN welcomes papers describing fundamental advances in mathematical, statistical or computational methods with application to power and energy systems, as well as papers on applications, computation and modeling in the areas of electrical and energy systems with coupled information and communication technologies.
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